{"id":13743,"date":"2024-07-23T02:56:23","date_gmt":"2024-07-23T02:56:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/hk\/?p=13743"},"modified":"2024-07-23T02:56:23","modified_gmt":"2024-07-23T02:56:23","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e8%81%af%e5%84%b2%e9%b4%bf%e8%81%b2%e9%80%a3%e7%99%bc-9%e6%9c%88%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af%e6%88%90%e5%ae%9a%e5%b1%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/outlook\/13743\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u201c\u9d3f\u8072\u201d\u9023\u767c 9\u6708\u964d\u606f\u6210\u5b9a\u5c40?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6700\u8fd1\u5f37\u8abf\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u901a\u8139\u6578\u64da\u589e\u5f37\u4e86\u5be6\u73fe2% \u901a\u8139\u76ee\u6a19\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u9d3f\u6d3e\u7acb\u5834\u53ef\u80fd\u6697\u793a9\u6708\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u5468\uff0cVT Markets\u5206\u6790\u5718\u968a\u767c\u73fe\u7f8e\u570b 6 \u6708\u96f6\u552e\u984d\uff08\u4e0d\u5305\u62ec\u6c7d\u8eca\uff09\u589e\u9577 0.4%\uff0c\u8d85\u51fa\u9810\u671f\u3002\u7528\u65bc GDP \u4f30\u7b97\u7684\u96f6\u552e\u92b7\u552e\u63a7\u5236\u7d44\u98c6\u5347 0.9%\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u6d88\u8cbb\u652f\u51fa\u5f37\u52c1\u3002\u6839\u64da\u4ee5\u5f80\u7d93\u9a57\uff0c\u5f37\u52c1\u7684\u96f6\u552e\u92b7\u552e\u5f80\u5f80\u8f49\u5316\u70ba\u66f4\u52a0\u6a02\u89c0\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u672c\u6b21\u7a4d\u6975\u4fe1\u865f\u4e5f\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0e\u81f4\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6 GDP \u589e\u9577\u9810\u671f\u4e0a\u8abf\u3002<br \/>\n\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\u51fa\u73fe\u75b2\u8edf\u8de1\u8c61\uff0c\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8acb\u5931\u696d\u6551\u6fdf\u4eba\u6578\u5347\u81f3 243,000 \u4eba\uff0c\u8d85\u904e\u9810\u671f\u7684 225,000 \u4eba\u3002VT Markets\u5206\u6790\u5718\u968a\u8a8d\u70ba\uff1a\u7533\u8acb\u5931\u696d\u6551\u6fdf\u4eba\u6578\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u8da8\u52e2\u53ef\u80fd\u6697\u793a\u7d93\u6fdf\u653e\u7de9\uff0c\u6216\u8feb\u4f7f\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u8003\u616e\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u63a1\u53d6\u5bec\u9b06\u63aa\u65bd\u652f\u6301\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5e02\u5834\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u5168\u7403\u5176\u4ed6\u91cd\u8981\u5e02\u5834\u7126\u9ede<\/h2>\n<p>\u82f1\u570b6\u6708\u7e3d\u9ad4\u901a\u8139\u73872%\u7565\u9ad8\u65bc\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8139\u7387\u540c\u6bd4\u7a69\u5b9a\u57283.5%\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u901a\u8139\u58d3\u529b\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u4fc3\u4f7f\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u7dad\u6301\u6216\u6536\u7dca\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u884c\u9577\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u5f37\u8abf\u672a\u4f86\u6c7a\u7b56\u5c07\u63a1\u7528\u6578\u64da\u9a45\u52d5\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e2d\u570b\u65b9\u9762\uff0c2\u5b63\u5ea6GDP\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u95774.7%\uff0c\u4f4e\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u76845.1%\uff0c\u662f2023\u5e741\u5b63\u5ea6\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u6700\u6162\u589e\u901f\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u7d93\u6fdf\u653e\u7de9\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u623f\u50f9\u4e5f\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u540c\u6bd4\u4e0b\u964d4.5%\u3002\u7d93\u6fdf\u653e\u7de9\u6216\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u63a1\u53d6\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65e5\u672c6\u6708\u901a\u8139\u7e7c\u7e8c\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8139\u540c\u6bd4\u9054\u52302.6%\u3002\u672a\u4f86\u82e5\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u91cd\u65b0\u8003\u616e\u5176\u5bec\u9b06\u7acb\u5834\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9e6\u6708\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5e02\u5834\u65b0\u589e\u5c31\u696d\u5d17\u4f4d50,200\u500b\uff0c\u4f46\u96a8\u8457\u53c3\u8207\u7387\u5347\u81f366.9%\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u5347\u81f34.1%\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u7522\u54c1\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790<\/h2>\n<p>\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u60c5\u7dd2\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u3002\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u672c\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc1.72%\u81f3\u6bcf\u687680.80\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u7d50\u675f\u4e86\u9023\u7e8c\u56db\u5468\u7684\u4e0a\u6f32\u52e2\u982d\u3002\u91d1\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f321.39%\u81f32444\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5275\u6b77\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad82483\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ee5 VIX \u6307\u6578\u8861\u91cf\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u60c5\u7dd2\u5f9e 12.45 \u98c6\u5347\u81f3 15.92\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u5e02\u5834\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u52a0\u5287\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u672c\u5468\u91cd\u8981\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/h2>\n<p>\u5c55\u671b\u672a\u4f86\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u770b\u5230\u4e00\u4e9b\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u97ff\u5e02\u5834\u52d5\u614b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>7 \u6708 24 \u65e5\u661f\u671f\u4e09\uff0c\u65e5\u672cJibun PMI \u9810\u89bd\u5c07\u63d0\u4f9b\u5c0d\u696d\u52d9\u589e\u9577\u7684\u6d1e\u5bdf\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u670d\u52d9\u696d PMI \u5f9e 5 \u6708\u7684 53.8 \u964d\u81f3 6 \u6708\u7684 49.4\uff0c\u81ea 2022 \u5e74 8 \u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\u9996\u6b21\u6536\u7e2e\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u9ad8\u7269\u50f9\u5c0e\u81f4\u570b\u5167\u9700\u6c42\u6e1b\u5c11\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u65bc\u65e5\u5143\u75b2\u8edf\uff0c\u570b\u969b\u92b7\u552e\u4ecd\u7136\u5f37\u52c1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u88fd\u9020\u696d PMI \u7dad\u6301\u5728 50.0\u3002\u5373\u5c07\u516c\u4f48\u7684 PMI \u6578\u64da\u5c07\u662f\u78ba\u5b9a\u65b0\u696d\u52d9\u589e\u9577\u80fd\u5426\u6062\u5fa9\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u540c\u65e5\uff0c\u6b50\u6d32HCOB \u63a1\u8cfc\u7d93\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6578 (PMI) \u521d\u503c\u5c07\u516c\u4f48\uff0c\u5728\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u6c7a\u5b9a\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\u5f8c\uff0c\u9019\u9805\u6578\u64da\u53d7\u5230\u5bc6\u5207\u95dc\u6ce8\u3002 6\u6708\u7d9c\u5408PMI\u5f9e52.2\u964d\u81f350.9\uff0c\u6253\u7834\u4e86\u4e94\u500b\u6708\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u8da8\u52e2\u3002 \u9810\u6e2c7 \u6708\u6216\u7565\u6709\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u4e0a\u6f32\u81f3 51.2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e02\u5834\u76ee\u524d\u6b63\u5728\u6839\u64da\u9019\u4e9b\u6578\u64da\u9810\u6e2c9 \u6708\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>7 \u6708 25 \u65e5\u661f\u671f\u56db\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c07\u516c\u4f48\u95dc\u9375\u6307\u6a19\u4e4b\u4e00\u2014\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6 GDP \u589e\u9577\u7387\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6 GDP \u589e\u901f\u4e0b\u8abf\u81f3 1.4%\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u96f6\u552e\u92b7\u552e\u5f37\u52c1\u7684\u63a8\u52d5\u4e0b\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u589e\u9577\u81f3 1.8%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e9e\u7279\u862d\u5927\u806f\u5132\u9810\u8a08\u589e\u9577\u7387\u66f4\u9ad8\uff0c\u70ba 2.5%\u3002\u5f37\u52c1\u7684 GDP\u6578\u64da\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u63a8\u9072\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u9810\u671f\u7684\u964d\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>7 \u6708 26 \u65e5\u661f\u671f\u4e94\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u6838\u5fc3 PCE \u901a\u8139\u6578\u64da\u4e5f\u5c07\u51fa\u7210\u3002 \u9810\u8a08 6\u6708\u7e3d\u9ad4PCE\u5c07\u74b0\u6bd4\u589e\u95770.1%\uff0c\u5e74\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u81f32.5%\uff1b\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u74b0\u6bd4\u589e\u95770.2%\uff0c\u5e74\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u57282.6%\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u6578\u64da\u5c0d\u65bc\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u81f3\u95dc\u91cd\u8981\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6700\u8fd1\u5f37\u8abf\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u901a\u8139\u6578\u64da\u589e\u5f37\u4e86\u5be6\u73fe2% \u901a\u8139\u76ee\u6a19\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u9d3f\u6d3e\u7acb\u5834\u53ef\u80fd\u6697\u793a9\u6708\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002 \u672c\u5468\uff0cVT Markets\u5206\u6790\u5718\u968a\u767c\u73fe\u7f8e\u570b 6 \u6708\u96f6\u552e\u984d\uff08\u4e0d\u5305\u62ec\u6c7d\u8eca\uff09\u589e\u9577 0.4%\uff0c\u8d85\u51fa\u9810\u671f\u3002\u7528\u65bc GDP \u4f30\u7b97\u7684\u96f6\u552e\u92b7\u552e\u63a7\u5236\u7d44\u98c6\u5347 0.9%\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u6d88\u8cbb\u652f\u51fa\u5f37\u52c1\u3002\u6839\u64da\u4ee5\u5f80\u7d93\u9a57\uff0c\u5f37\u52c1\u7684\u96f6\u552e\u92b7\u552e\u5f80\u5f80\u8f49\u5316\u70ba\u66f4\u52a0\u6a02\u89c0\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u672c\u6b21\u7a4d\u6975\u4fe1\u865f\u4e5f\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0e\u81f4\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6 GDP \u589e\u9577\u9810\u671f\u4e0a\u8abf\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\u51fa\u73fe\u75b2\u8edf\u8de1\u8c61\uff0c\u9996\u6b21\u7533\u8acb\u5931\u696d\u6551\u6fdf\u4eba\u6578\u5347\u81f3 243,000 \u4eba\uff0c\u8d85\u904e\u9810\u671f\u7684 225,000 \u4eba\u3002VT Markets\u5206\u6790\u5718\u968a\u8a8d\u70ba\uff1a\u7533\u8acb\u5931\u696d\u6551\u6fdf\u4eba\u6578\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u8da8\u52e2\u53ef\u80fd\u6697\u793a\u7d93\u6fdf\u653e\u7de9\uff0c\u6216\u8feb\u4f7f\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u8003\u616e\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u63a1\u53d6\u5bec\u9b06\u63aa\u65bd\u652f\u6301\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5e02\u5834\u3002 \u5168\u7403\u5176\u4ed6\u91cd\u8981\u5e02\u5834\u7126\u9ede \u82f1\u570b6\u6708\u7e3d\u9ad4\u901a\u8139\u73872%\u7565\u9ad8\u65bc\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8139\u7387\u540c\u6bd4\u7a69\u5b9a\u57283.5%\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u901a\u8139\u58d3\u529b\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u4fc3\u4f7f\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u7dad\u6301\u6216\u6536\u7dca\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u3002 \u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u884c\u9577\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u5f37\u8abf\u672a\u4f86\u6c7a\u7b56\u5c07\u63a1\u7528\u6578\u64da\u9a45\u52d5\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002 \u4e2d\u570b\u65b9\u9762\uff0c2\u5b63\u5ea6GDP\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u95774.7%\uff0c\u4f4e\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u76845.1%\uff0c\u662f2023\u5e741\u5b63\u5ea6\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u6700\u6162\u589e\u901f\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u7d93\u6fdf\u653e\u7de9\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u623f\u50f9\u4e5f\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u540c\u6bd4\u4e0b\u964d4.5%\u3002\u7d93\u6fdf\u653e\u7de9\u6216\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u63a1\u53d6\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u3002 \u65e5\u672c6\u6708\u901a\u8139\u7e7c\u7e8c\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8139\u540c\u6bd4\u9054\u52302.6%\u3002\u672a\u4f86\u82e5\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u91cd\u65b0\u8003\u616e\u5176\u5bec\u9b06\u7acb\u5834\u3002 \u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9e6\u6708\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5e02\u5834\u65b0\u589e\u5c31\u696d\u5d17\u4f4d50,200\u500b\uff0c\u4f46\u96a8\u8457\u53c3\u8207\u7387\u5347\u81f366.9%\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u5347\u81f34.1%\u3002 \u7522\u54c1\u884c\u60c5\u5206\u6790 \u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u60c5\u7dd2\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u3002\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u672c\u5468\u4e0b\u8dcc1.72%\u81f3\u6bcf\u687680.80\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u7d50\u675f\u4e86\u9023\u7e8c\u56db\u5468\u7684\u4e0a\u6f32\u52e2\u982d\u3002\u91d1\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f321.39%\u81f32444\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5275\u6b77\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad82483\u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u4ee5 VIX \u6307\u6578\u8861\u91cf\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u60c5\u7dd2\u5f9e 12.45 \u98c6\u5347\u81f3 15.92\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u5e02\u5834\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u52a0\u5287\u3002 \u672c\u5468\u91cd\u8981\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e8b\u4ef6 \u5c55\u671b\u672a\u4f86\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u770b\u5230\u4e00\u4e9b\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u97ff\u5e02\u5834\u52d5\u614b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002 7 \u6708 24 \u65e5\u661f\u671f\u4e09\uff0c\u65e5\u672cJibun PMI \u9810\u89bd\u5c07\u63d0\u4f9b\u5c0d\u696d\u52d9\u589e\u9577\u7684\u6d1e\u5bdf\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u670d\u52d9\u696d PMI \u5f9e 5 \u6708\u7684 53.8 \u964d\u81f3 6 \u6708\u7684 49.4\uff0c\u81ea 2022 \u5e74 8 \u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\u9996\u6b21\u6536\u7e2e\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u9ad8\u7269\u50f9\u5c0e\u81f4\u570b\u5167\u9700\u6c42\u6e1b\u5c11\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u65bc\u65e5\u5143\u75b2\u8edf\uff0c\u570b\u969b\u92b7\u552e\u4ecd\u7136\u5f37\u52c1\u3002 \u88fd\u9020\u696d PMI <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/outlook\/13743\/\" class=\"read-more\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[42],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13743","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-outlook"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13743","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13743"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13743\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13743"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13743"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/zh-ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13743"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}