The US Oil Rig Count stood at 465, disappointing compared to the anticipated 473

    by VT Markets
    /
    May 24, 2025

    The Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count recorded 465 rigs, falling short of the projected 473. This data point offers a pulse on the health and activity levels of the energy sector.

    Market sentiments on EUR/USD improved, returning to the 1.1330 level after retreating to 1.1300. The currency pair fluctuated following a proposal of a high tariff on European imports.

    Pound Momentum

    GBP/USD reached above 1.3500, buoyed by the decline in US Dollar strength. The upbeat UK retail sales data provided additional support to the pound’s momentum.

    Gold prices remain strong, around $3,350 per troy ounce, amid the US Dollar’s weakening. The proposed tariffs on European goods influence market dynamics as economic uncertainties loom.

    Apple’s share price dropped below $200 as new tariff threats emerged. The proposed levy could impact the production locations and costs for US-sold iPhones.

    XRP shows recovery signals as whale accumulation increases and exchange reserves change. These movements suggest growing interest and support for XRP, with notable trading indicators shifting.

    Oil Rig Count Effects

    The lower-than-expected count in US oil rigs, falling short by eight, illustrates a pause in exploration investment or scaling back in drilling activity. This could shift attention back onto supply levels and broader energy input costs, particularly if the trend continues through the following weeks. We might expect some volatility in long-dated energy contracts, especially as traders look to reposition in response to a softer production outlook. Those exposed to energy-linked instruments may need to reassess hedging strategies, particularly if inventory drawdowns increase.

    In currency markets, support around 1.1300 on EUR/USD has held for now, after easing fears tied to proposed tariffs on European products. The recovery back to 1.1330 keeps the pair within its short-term channel, though it remains sensitive to any policy noise from trade officials. What we’ve observed here is a fast adjustment to geopolitical risk, followed by appetite returning as clarity improved. For short-term positioning on euro-dollar pairs, the key is responsiveness and being prepared to adapt if protectionist actions progress beyond rhetoric.

    Sterling’s climb beyond 1.3500 reflects two-fold strength: weakness in the greenback and a burst in consumer demand at home. The market read the UK retail data as evidence of stronger fundamentals, a narrative that could persist if inflation eases or growth continues to surprise. There may still be room for upwards moves in the pound, but caution is warranted ahead of BoE commentary and labour market releases. Option activity might rise near upcoming events, so pricing in anticipated moves could offer better risk management than outright directional exposure.

    Gold has stuck close to the $3,350 mark, with the US Dollar moving lower and trade tensions heightening. The resistance for gold near that level won’t likely break without another strong catalyst, such as new macroeconomic data disappointments or expansion of the tariff dispute. Current flows into safe havens suggest that hesitance persists among investors. Premiums in gold-related derivative contracts may soften if equity sentiment finds footing, so monitoring skew changes and open interest could signal the next pivot.

    Apple’s fall under $200 reflects cost concerns linked to threatened tariffs on European-linked supply chains. The company’s reliance on globally integrated production leaves its equity under added pressure from trade discussions. Traders watching US tech names may need to keep an eye on similar firms that share the same international exposure. In terms of options activity, implied volatility likely saw a pop—making premium selling strategies potentially more attractive if the headlines cool.

    XRP has begun to show signs of recovery that are difficult to ignore. Increased accumulation by large holders, combined with lowered reserves on exchanges, hints at stronger conviction from participants. The recent shift in technical patterns, underpinned by volume, supports the rally thesis—but we’ve seen false signals before. That said, interest around XRP-linked products may gain ground, particularly as sentiment stabilises and speculative flows pick up. Those observing alt-coin derivatives may want to lean on volume-based indicators and flow analysis rather than directional bias alone for the next few sessions.

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