Silver appreciates as demand rises, driven by US Dollar weakness following Moody’s downgrade

    by VT Markets
    /
    May 19, 2025

    Silver prices have seen a slight increase, trading above $32.00 on Monday, aided by the weakening US Dollar. This shift follows the downgrade of the US sovereign credit rating by Moody’s, which has spurred concerns regarding fiscal sustainability.

    Currently, Silver is valued around $32.30, up 0.05% on the day, attempting to surpass the 50-day Simple Moving Average at $32.75. The market remains cautious, especially post the Moody’s downgrade that highlights concerns over US debt levels and economic growth prospects.

    The US Dollar index has experienced renewed pressure, influencing the status of the US Dollar in global markets. Silver’s appeal has been enhanced as a result, with geopolitical tensions and trade issues adding to the uncertainties in the market.

    Technical analysis shows Silver trading within a tight range, with resistance near $33.23 and support around $31.96. The Relative Strength Index remains neutral, with analysts watching closely for market shifts that could influence Silver’s trajectory.

    Silver prices can be influenced by various factors such as geopolitical instability, industrial demand, and the US Dollar’s performance. Comparisons to Gold also play a role, with the Gold/Silver ratio being an indicator of their relative valuation.

    What we’re seeing here is a steady, modest lift in silver, pushing just slightly over $32.00 as of Monday, brought about in part by a weaker US Dollar. That dip in the Dollar’s strength seems to have been prompted by a downgrade in US creditworthiness by Moody’s, raising fresh worries about America’s ability to manage growing fiscal deficits. Not only did that shake confidence in the US economy’s medium-term prospects, but it also shifted some support towards precious metals.

    Now silver is hovering at around $32.30, essentially flat with just a 0.05% daily gain. However, it’s pressing against a technical hurdle — the 50-day Simple Moving Average pegged at $32.75. The broader market mood remains on edge, largely due to lingering debt concerns and perceptions that US growth may be slower going forward. Weakness in the US Dollar index is lending some weight to this rally in silver, as the weakening greenback makes USD-priced metals cheaper for overseas buyers.

    We’ve seen that geopolitical risks, particularly those flaring up in key commodity-producing regions, and rising tensions in trade agreements, are helping to sustain interest in safe-haven assets like silver. It’s a defensive play in times like these. That said, the metal’s movement has been mostly restrained, sticking between $31.96 on the lower end and $33.23 on the upside — a compressed, narrow band that’s likely the result of short-term indecision among participants waiting for clearer signals.

    The Relative Strength Index is not tipping its hand either, sitting in a neutral zone. Indicators aren’t leaning decisively bullish or bearish, which means traders looking for directional confirmation might need to exercise patience — or keep positions nimble. For now, silver doesn’t look to be overbought or oversold, merely balanced at this stage.

    It’s worth noting how gold is used in comparison here — particularly through the Gold/Silver ratio. That ratio gives us useful clues about relative value, especially in times when industrial demand for silver and monetary demand for gold diverge. When silver lags in pace to gold’s move, it often points to underlying investor hesitance toward growth-sensitive assets.

    From where we stand, technical support stands firm near the $31.96 line. Any decisive break below that could signal a broader retracement, particularly if risk appetite returns or if US Dollar strength rebounds. Meanwhile, a breakout beyond $33.23 resistance would likely trigger a cascade of stop orders or fresh interest from trend-following strategies.

    The current environment suggests that sensitivity to fiscal policy developments and US macro data will continue to affect the metal’s short-term trajectory. Traders measuring relative movement should closely monitor US inflation prints, central bank commentary, and new Treasury issuance projections. All of these help set the tone for near-term positioning.

    Overall, the market remains responsive to external economic indicators — and for traders, these next sessions could bring setups worth watching.

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