In March, Russia’s Consumer Price Index (MoM) decreased to 0.65%, falling from 0.8%

    by VT Markets
    /
    Apr 12, 2025

    The consumer price index in Russia decreased to 0.65% in March, down from the previous 0.8%. This change reflects shifts in market conditions.

    Gold is stabilising near $3,250, driven by safe-haven demand and concerns over trade conflicts, alongside softer US inflation figures. The US Dollar is experiencing heavy losses, trading close to three-year lows.

    Currencies Update

    The EUR/USD pair has retreated to around 1.1300 after peaking at 1.1473. Meanwhile, GBP/USD has moved back to the 1.3050 zone after reaching highs near 1.3150.

    In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, and Cardano have stabilised, with market capitalisation around $2.69 trillion following recent price fluctuations.

    Concerns regarding a potential recession persist, despite a recent surge in Wall Street following tariff delay news from Trump. The trade war with China continues to affect market confidence.

    The article also mentions brokers for trading EUR/USD, offering options for both beginners and experienced traders looking for competitive services.

    The article shows that March’s dip in Russia’s consumer price index from 0.8% to 0.65% suggests inflationary pressures might be easing in the short term, lending some support to using local pricing models that lean less on aggressive forward hedging. If pricing is cooling, so might the need for frequent recalibration of inflation-exposed instruments.

    Gold’s price hovering around $3,250 signals elevated caution. Clearly, investors are anchoring around safer assets, driven not only by persistent trade worries but also by moderating consumer prices in the US. Lower inflation data typically reduces prospects for rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, which is another reason for the sustained pressure on the dollar. As a result, gold remains buoyed, not merely as a commodity but more as a hedge—against both currency depreciation and uncertainty growing out of geopolitical tailwinds.

    In foreign exchange, we’ve seen downward adjustment in major currency pairs. The euro has backed off from a recent climb and settled near 1.1300 against the dollar, which now looks increasingly exposed following its extended losses and weakest levels in three years. Sterling has followed a similar path, pulling back to 1.3050, which can be considered a near-term support after failing to push through the 1.3150 barrier. These levels are noteworthy for short-term positioning – we’re seeing momentum slowing, but not reversing, which may offer opportunities for option structures that benefit from range-bound behaviour, particularly within the euro and sterling pairs.

    Cryptocurrency Market Overview

    Meanwhile, digital assets have found some footing. Market capitalisation stabilising near $2.69 trillion points to a slight lull after what had been a volatile few weeks. We interpret this to mean that speculative appetite remains, although flows seem more measured. This pause could encourage strategies that profit from volatility compression, especially using implied vol skews across the top names like Ethereum and Bitcoin. What’s also interesting is how these instruments are no longer moving in isolation—they’ve started to reflect broader economic themes, as with traditional assets.

    Even with Wall Street enjoying a relief rally on the back of tariff announcement reprieves, recession concerns are hardly off the table. Price action in equity-linked derivatives suggests that underneath the cheer, there’s a defensive level of hedging. From our side, positioning remains cautious, especially given the lingering impact from unresolved trade hostilities with China. This underlying caution should be a prompt to reassess exposure to cyclical sectors—vol products tracking indices with industrial weighting might stay elevated.

    And while the article opens a side discussion on brokers offering access to liquid major pairs like EUR/USD, this deserves more than a passing glance. Tight spreads and robust execution matter, particularly as short-term volatility may continue to offer scalping and pivot-point strategies a return to relevance. With markets sending mixed signals—lower inflation, safe-haven flows, and dollar weakness forming a clear theme—it’s an opportunity to keep focus sharp and adapt models accordingly.

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