Sterlin, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019\u0131n eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar verisinin ard\u0131ndan yen kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 210,20 seviyesine y\u00fckseldi. Ulusal \u0130statistik Ofisi (ONS), a\u011fustos ay\u0131ndaki %0,7\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n (%0,5\u2019ten yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize) ard\u0131ndan eyl\u00fclde ayl\u0131k bazda %0,4 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131; piyasa beklentisi %0,1 gerileme y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi. Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda sat\u0131\u015flar %0,8 artt\u0131; %1,5\u2019lik beklentinin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken, \u00f6nceki %2,9\u2019luk ( %2,7\u2019den yukar\u0131 revize) okumaya g\u00f6re de ivme kaybetti. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 \u015fimdi 08:30 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ekim ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u00f6nc\u00fc Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k S&P Global PMI verilerine \u00e7evrildi.<\/p>\n\n
Faiz beklentileri, eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k T\u00dcFE verileri ve a\u011fustosa kadarki \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6neme ili\u015fkin i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 g\u00f6stergelerinin \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) daha s\u0131k\u0131 bir politika izleyece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesiyle g\u00fcndemde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Japonya\u2019da ise taze g\u0131da hari\u00e7 eyl\u00fcl ulusal T\u00dcFE y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %2,1 y\u00fckselerek tahminlerle uyumlu geldi ve a\u011fustostaki %1,8\u2019e g\u00f6re h\u0131zland\u0131; s\u00f6z konusu a\u011fustos verisi %1,7\u2019den yukar\u0131 revize edilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n
GBP\/JPY\u2019nin 210,20 civar\u0131nda tarihi \u00e7ok on y\u0131ll\u0131 zirvelere yak\u0131n i\u015flem g\u00f6rmesi nedeniyle, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n artan volatiliteye haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ayl\u0131k bazda %0,4 d\u00fc\u015fse de, y\u00fcksek seyreden enflasyon verileri BoE\u2019nin kas\u0131mda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentilerini canl\u0131 tutuyor. T\u00fcrev pozisyonlar, zay\u0131f t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131 ile s\u00fcregelen \u015fahin fiyatlamalar aras\u0131ndaki bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n tetikleyebilece\u011fi k\u0131sa vadeli fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131n\u0131 dikkate almal\u0131.<\/p>\n\n
Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoJ) politikas\u0131nda olas\u0131 ani de\u011fi\u015fimlere kar\u015f\u0131, uzun sterlin pozisyonlar\u0131nda put opsiyonlar\u0131yla a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc koruma de\u011ferlendirilmelidir. Japonya\u2019da \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon (taze g\u0131da hari\u00e7) eyl\u00fclde y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,1\u2019e \u00e7\u0131karak a\u011fustostaki %1,8\u2019in \u00fczerine y\u00fckseldi ve Japon politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar \u00fczerindeki faiz art\u0131rma bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. Ge\u00e7mi\u015f piyasa d\u00f6ng\u00fclerinden elde edilen tarihsel veriler, yendeki a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u0131kl\u0131kla d\u00f6viz m\u00fcdahalesini tetikledi\u011fini ve bunun da yen \u00e7aprazlar\u0131nda h\u0131zl\u0131 ters hareketlere yol a\u00e7abildi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n
Faiz fark\u0131ndan yararlanmay\u0131 hedefleyen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, t\u00fcrev hesaplar\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131 risk kontrollerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmelidir. \u0130ngiliz ve Japon tahvilleri aras\u0131ndaki getiri fark\u0131 geni\u015f kalmaya devam etse de, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019ta y\u0131ll\u0131k perakende sat\u0131\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin %0,8\u2019e yava\u015flamas\u0131, i\u00e7 talep kaynakl\u0131 risklere i\u015faret ediyor. Yakla\u015fan PMI verilerinin ekonomide daha fazla so\u011fumaya i\u015faret etmesi halinde, uzun vadeli kontratlar ile al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede sert geri \u00e7ekilmelerle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilir.<\/p>\n\n
Yakla\u015fan makroekonomik veri a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde k\u0131sa vadeli hareketleri yakalamak i\u00e7in, piyasadaki k\u0131r\u0131lmalardan fayda sa\u011flayan straddle gibi opsiyon stratejileri devreye al\u0131nabilir. Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ve Japonya verilerinin ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nceki d\u00f6nemlerde, GBP\/JPY\u2019de \u00e7ok k\u0131sa zaman dilimlerinde y\u00fczlerce piplik hareketler g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda hem Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k PMI verilerinin hem de Japonya\u2019dan gelecek politika g\u00fcncellemelerinin izlenmesi, t\u00fcrev i\u015flemlerde giri\u015f-\u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f zamanlamas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin\/yen 210,20\u2019ye t\u0131rmanarak \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131 zirveye yakla\u015ft\u0131: \u0130ngiltere perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ayl\u0131k %0,4 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, enflasyon BoE faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisini canl\u0131 tutuyor; odak PMI, BoJ s\u00fcrprizi ve oynakl\u0131k.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":70050,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-70051","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t