{"id":69999,"date":"2026-10-22T06:52:08","date_gmt":"2026-10-22T06:52:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/gold-holds-near-4125-as-fed-rate-outlook-and-middle-east-tensions-vie-for-direction\/"},"modified":"2026-10-22T06:52:08","modified_gmt":"2026-10-22T06:52:08","slug":"gold-holds-near-4125-as-fed-rate-outlook-and-middle-east-tensions-vie-for-direction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gold-holds-near-4125-as-fed-rate-outlook-and-middle-east-tensions-vie-for-direction\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n, Fed\u2019in faiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ve Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi y\u00f6n aray\u0131\u015f\u0131ndayken 4.125 dolar civar\u0131nda tutunuyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n, piyasalar\u0131n Federal Rezerv\u2019in faiz patikas\u0131n\u0131 yeni Orta Do\u011fu gerilimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 tartt\u0131\u011f\u0131 Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Asya i\u015flemlerinde 4.125 dolar civar\u0131nda tutundu. CME FedWatch arac\u0131ndaki fiyatlamalar, Ekim toplant\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmama olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %84 olarak g\u00f6sterirken, enerji maliyetlerinin enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 canl\u0131 tutma riski nedeniyle beklentiler h\u00e2l\u00e2 Aral\u0131k\u2019ta ilave bir ad\u0131ma i\u015faret etti. Daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir getiri ortam\u0131, faiz getirisi olmayan k\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratma e\u011filimindedir. Avrupa\u2019da Fransa\u2019daki siyasi huzursuzluk hisseleri bask\u0131larken, y\u00fckselen ABD Hazine tahvil getirileri dolar\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu; Brent %0,3 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 109,55 dolara gerilerken, alt\u0131n\u0131n %0,6 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 4.141 dolara indi\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n\n

Politika ileti\u015fimi metrikleri yatay ila hafif daha zay\u0131ft\u0131: FXS Speechtracker skoru 5,6\/10 ile 6,1\/10\u2019luk tarihsel ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken, FXS Fed Sentiment Index 0,00 puanl\u0131k hareketin ard\u0131ndan 127,51\u2019de de\u011fi\u015fmedi. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde XAU\/USD, 20 periyot Bollinger basit hareketli ortalamas\u0131 ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken, G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 42,60 seviyesindeydi. Diren\u00e7 4.160 dolar, ard\u0131ndan 4.230 ve 4.255 dolar olarak i\u015faretlenirken; destek 4.070 dolar civar\u0131nda bulunuyordu. Ayr\u0131 olarak, merkez bankalar\u0131 2022\u2019de rezervlerine yakla\u015f\u0131k 70 milyar dolar de\u011ferinde 1.136 ton alt\u0131n ekledi.<\/p>\n\n

\u015eahin Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ortam\u0131nda \u0130\u015flem Stratejisi<\/h3>\n\n

\u015eahin merkez bankas\u0131 beklentilerinin dolar\u0131 desteklemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ortamda, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara alt\u0131n cephesinde yatay ila hafif d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimli bir seyre haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Piyasalar\u0131n bu ay faizlere ara verilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %84 olarak fiyatlamas\u0131 ve ileride olas\u0131 ek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma ihtimaliyle birlikte, y\u00fcksek getiriler faiz getirmeyen varl\u0131klar\u0131 daha az cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor. Tarihsel olarak, uzun s\u00fcren y\u00fcksek faiz d\u00f6nemleri de\u011ferli metallerde kal\u0131c\u0131 rallileri s\u0131n\u0131rlar; \u00f6nceki s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma d\u00f6ng\u00fclerinde g\u00f6r\u00fclen %12\u2019lik geri \u00e7ekilmelerde oldu\u011fu gibi.<\/p>\n\n

Fiyatlar\u0131n 4.160 dolar direncine veya 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n bulundu\u011fu 4.230 dolar civar\u0131na do\u011fru tepki verdi\u011fi durumlarda, k\u0131sa y\u00f6nl\u00fc t\u00fcrev pozisyon f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 aramay\u0131 ya da tan\u0131ml\u0131 riskli opsiyon spread\u2019leri kullanmay\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. RSI gibi momentum g\u00f6stergeleri 42,60 civar\u0131nda zay\u0131f kal\u0131rken, sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 almak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131dan faydalanmam\u0131za olanak tan\u0131rken potansiyel zararlar\u0131 da s\u0131n\u0131rlar. 4.070 dolardaki ilk destek taban\u0131 korunamazsa, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck teknik hedeflere do\u011fru h\u0131zlanan bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n\n

Jeopolitik ve Enerji Piyasas\u0131 Belirsizli\u011fi Ortam\u0131nda Risk Y\u00f6netimi<\/h3>\n\n

Ayn\u0131 zamanda, s\u00fcregelen Orta Do\u011fu gerilimleri ve Fransa\u2019daki siyasi huzursuzluk nedeniyle s\u0131k\u0131 pozisyon boyutland\u0131rmas\u0131 ve koruyucu zarar-kes (stop-loss) emirleri uygulamal\u0131y\u0131z. Ham petrol varil ba\u015f\u0131na 109,55 dolar civar\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini korurken, ani enerji \u015foklar\u0131 beklenmedik g\u00fcvenli liman talebini tetikleyebilir veya enflasyon endi\u015felerini yeniden alevlendirebilir. Tarihsel veriler, jeopolitik \u015foklar\u0131n alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flemlerinde g\u00fcn i\u00e7i %3 ila %5\u2019lik h\u0131zl\u0131 s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131 tetikleyebildi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor; bu da korumas\u0131z (naked) k\u0131sa pozisyonlar\u0131 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 riskli h\u00e2le getiriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131nda kritik kav\u015fak: XAU\/USD 4.125 dolarda yatay. Fed\u2019in \u015fahin patikas\u0131 ve y\u00fckselen tahvil getirileri bask\u0131 kuruyor; Orta Do\u011fu\/Fransa riskleri destekleyebilir. Diren\u00e7 4.160-4.230, destek 4.070.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69998,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69999","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t