{"id":69968,"date":"2026-10-21T02:54:13","date_gmt":"2026-10-21T02:54:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/dollar-index-dips-on-iran-compromise-headlines-as-weak-us-housing-data-shapes-fed-rate-outlook\/"},"modified":"2026-10-21T02:54:13","modified_gmt":"2026-10-21T02:54:13","slug":"dollar-index-dips-on-iran-compromise-headlines-as-weak-us-housing-data-shapes-fed-rate-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/dollar-index-dips-on-iran-compromise-headlines-as-weak-us-housing-data-shapes-fed-rate-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran uzla\u015fmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin haberlerin etkisiyle Dolar Endeksi gerilerken, zay\u0131f ABD konut verileri Fed\u2019in faiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc \u015fekillendiriyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Dolar Endeksi, Washington ile Tahran\u2019\u0131n Katar ve Pakistan\u2019\u0131n arabuluculu\u011funda \u015fekillenen bir uzla\u015fmaya y\u00f6nelik \u00f6n onay verdi\u011fine dair haberlerin ard\u0131ndan geriledi ve 1 Ekim\u2019den bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Endeks 101,75 civar\u0131ndan \u00f6nce yakla\u015f\u0131k 101,65\u2019e, ard\u0131ndan \u0130srail\u2019in Channel 12 kanal\u0131n\u0131n \u015fartlar\u0131 aktarmas\u0131yla 101,50\u2019nin hemen \u00fczerine kadar indi; ancak s\u00fcrece dahil bir diplomat\u0131n \u201canla\u015fma yak\u0131n\u201d iddialar\u0131n\u0131n yanl\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemesiyle 101,70\u2019e do\u011fru toparland\u0131. Ba\u015fl\u0131klarda petrol\u00fcn d\u00fc\u015fmesi, endeks a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yan Euro\u2019yu destekledi; ayr\u0131ca bu hareket, Hazine Bakan\u0131 Bessent\u2019in daha y\u00fcksek ABD faizlerini bir enerji \u015fokuna ba\u011flamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan faiz beklentilerine de yans\u0131d\u0131.<\/p>\n\n

ABD konut verileri zay\u0131f geldi: Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de konut ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7lar\u0131 1,3 milyonluk beklentiye kar\u015f\u0131 1,221 milyona gerilerken, bekleyen konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 %0,5 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisine kar\u015f\u0131n %7,3 d\u00fc\u015ferek rekor d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeye indi. Endeks, her iki verinin a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131\u011f\u0131 mum aral\u0131klar\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi. Fed yetkilileri 27-28 Ekim FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde sessiz d\u00f6neminde; 100 ekonomistle yap\u0131lan ankette 94\u2019\u00fc Ekim\u2019de faizin %3,75-%4,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit kalmas\u0131n\u0131 beklerken, 100\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn tamam\u0131 Aral\u0131k\u2019ta faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor; buna kar\u015f\u0131n 6\u2019s\u0131 Ekim\u2019de ad\u0131m ihtimalini de g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Teknik olarak endeks, 9 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019deki 98,60\u2019tan 14 Ekim\u2019de 103,00\u2019\u00fcn hemen alt\u0131na uzanan y\u00fckseli\u015fin yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7te birini geri verdi; 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA ise 101,00\u2019in hemen alt\u0131nda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n

Man\u015fet Volatilitesi ve K\u0131sa Vadeli \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri<\/h3>\n\n

Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 man\u015fet ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 etraf\u0131nda volatilite artarken ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019ni yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz. Endeksin 101,50 ile 101,70 aras\u0131nda gidip gelmesi, diplomatik haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 teyit edilene kadar net bir trendden ziyade k\u0131sa vadeli dalgal\u0131\/karars\u0131z fiyatlamaya i\u015faret ediyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar k\u0131sa vadeli dolar pozisyonlar\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes seviyeleri kullanmay\u0131 veya ani fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in opsiyon stratejilerinden faydalanmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n\n

Ayr\u0131ca gelecek ABD verilerine haz\u0131rlanmak gerekiyor; zira konut sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde belirgin \u00e7atlaklar g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bekleyen konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 son d\u00f6nemde %7,3 ile sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydetti; bu da tarihsel olarak b\u00fcy\u00fcme momentumunda so\u011fumaya i\u015faret eder ve agresif parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma arg\u00fcman\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131r. Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 ve Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI verileri g\u00fcndemdeyken, bu verilerin ekonomik yumu\u015famay\u0131 teyit etmesi halinde ABD tahvil getirilerinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklere kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyonlama yap\u0131lmal\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n

Fed Politikas\u0131 Beklentileri ve Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n\n

Federal Rezerv\u2019in 27-28 Ekim karar\u0131na giderken sessiz d\u00f6nemde olmas\u0131 nedeniyle piyasa beklentileri tamamen veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve jeopolitik geli\u015fmelerce \u015fekillenecek. Konsens\u00fcs, ankete kat\u0131lan 100 ekonomistin 94\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn bu ay faizin %3,75-%4,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 bekledi\u011fini, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Aral\u0131k\u2019ta olas\u0131 bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. 28 Ekim\u2019deki resmi faiz metni \u00f6ncesinde b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli tek y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon almada temkinli olmak gerekir.<\/p>\n\n

Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda dolar endeksi, Eyl\u00fcl dip seviyesi 98,60\u2019tan Ekim ortas\u0131nda 103,00\u2019e yak\u0131n zirveye uzanan rallinin yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7te birini geri verdi. 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcstel hareketli ortalama civar\u0131ndaki 101,00 b\u00f6lgesi kritik destek olarak izleniyor. Fiyat\u0131n bu seviyenin alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131 halinde, dolar endeksi a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n %57\u2019sinden fazlas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturan Euro gibi maj\u00f6r paritelerde potansiyel \u201cshort\u201d f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u015eok geli\u015fme: ABD-\u0130ran uzla\u015f\u0131 man\u015fetleri Dolar Endeksi\u2019ni 1 Ekim\u2019den beri en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u011fe itti; petrol d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc Euro\u2019yu destekledi. Zay\u0131f konut verisi, Aral\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131, 101,00 kritik destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69967,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69968","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t