Sterlin, \u0130ngiltere\u2019den gelen daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc verileri ve ABD\u2013\u0130ran aras\u0131nda diplomatik ilerleme oldu\u011funa dair haberlerin dolarda sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 tetiklemesiyle, ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,70 y\u00fckselerek 1,3300 civar\u0131ndaki a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 1,3400 yak\u0131nlar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. \u0130srail\u2019in Channel 12 News kanal\u0131, Pakistan Genelkurmay Ba\u015fkan\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan \u00fcst d\u00fczey \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililere sunulan bir \u00f6nerinin ABD taraf\u0131ndan halihaz\u0131rda onayland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve Tahran\u2019dan da \u00f6n mutabakat ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. Habere g\u00f6re Katar, 6 milyar dolar\u0131 \u0130ran lehine serbest b\u0131rakacak ve transfer edecek; buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Tahran ise n\u00fckleer tesislere Uluslararas\u0131 Atom Enerjisi Ajans\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (UAEA) gizli bir ziyaretine izin verecek. ABD Dolar Endeksi %0,32 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 101,66\u2019ya gerilerken, ABD\u2019de bekleyen konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 eyl\u00fclde %7,3 azalarak rekor d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeye indi.<\/p>\n\n
\u0130ngiltere\u2019de i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc, a\u011fustos ay\u0131na kadar olan \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde 102 bin artt\u0131; \u00f6nceki 67 binlik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 gerilerken, ikramiyeler dahil ortalama kazan\u00e7lar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Para piyasalar\u0131, Kas\u0131m toplant\u0131s\u0131nda \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %93 olarak fiyatlad\u0131. Teknik tarafta GBP\/USD 1,3375 seviyesindeydi; 50, 100 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA diren\u00e7leri 1,3411 civar\u0131nda k\u00fcmelenirken, trend \u00e7izgisi direnci 1,3407 b\u00f6lgesinde bulunuyordu; RSI (14) 56,3 seviyesindeydi. \u00d6ne \u00e7\u0131kan seviyeler diren\u00e7te 1,3616 ve 1,3801; destekte ise 1,3273 olarak belirtildi.<\/p>\n\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, kritik 1,3407\u20131,3411 diren\u00e7 k\u00fcmelenmesi yak\u0131n\u0131nda GBP\/USD rallisine temkinli ve hesapl\u0131 yakla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Tarihsel olarak, kilit hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n al\u00e7alan bir trend \u00e7izgisiyle birlikte yak\u0131nsad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde, ek bir makro momentum olmadan s\u0131k\u00e7a \u201csahte k\u0131r\u0131lmalar\u201d g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon almak isteyen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, 1,3616 hedefiyle y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 veya uzun vadeli kontratlar devreye almadan \u00f6nce 1,3411 \u00fczerinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f beklemelidir.<\/p>\n\n
Para piyasalar\u0131, etkileyici 102 binlik istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda BoE faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na %93 olas\u0131l\u0131k bi\u00e7iyor. Tarihsel olarak, faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentileri %90 e\u015fi\u011fini a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, gelen enflasyon verileri tahminleri belirgin \u015fekilde a\u015fmad\u0131k\u00e7a spot kur kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00e7o\u011fu kez ivme kaybeder. Yakla\u015fan \u0130ngiltere enflasyon ve perakende sat\u0131\u015f verileri \u00f6ncesinde, sert fiyat hareketlerini yakalamak i\u00e7in straddle gibi volatilite stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki jeopolitik ilerleme, geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 risk alma i\u015ftah\u0131yla birlikte ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019ni 101,66\u2019ya \u00e7ekti. ABD\u2019de bekleyen konut sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n %7,3 d\u00fc\u015ferek rekor d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelere inmesi\u2014ge\u00e7mi\u015f gayrimenkul yava\u015flamalar\u0131n\u0131 and\u0131ran bu gerilemeyle birlikte\u2014dolar \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesine neden oluyor. Dolar taraf\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc opsiyon stratejileri de\u011ferlendirilebilir; ancak ani jeopolitik ba\u015fl\u0131k riskine kar\u015f\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 risk limitleri korunmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n
GBP\/USD\u2019nin 1,3411 tavan\u0131n\u0131 a\u015famamas\u0131 halinde, 1,3273 civar\u0131ndaki teknik destek seviyesine do\u011fru bir geri \u00e7ekilme bekliyoruz. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon alan t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, riski etkin y\u00f6netmek ad\u0131na 1,3415\u2019in hemen \u00fczerine koruyucu zarar-kes (stop) seviyesi koymal\u0131d\u0131r. Dolar zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalara uzay\u0131p uzamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7mek i\u00e7in ABD\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131ndan izlenmesi kritik olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131 sert esiyor: G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u0130ngiltere istihdam\u0131 ve ABD\u2013\u0130ran diplomasisi dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131; GBP\/USD 1,34\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131. BoE\u2019de %93 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlan\u0131yor; 1,3407\u20131,3411 kritik diren\u00e7.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69965,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69966","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t