EUR\/USD, Asya i\u015flemlerinin erken saatlerinde 1,1215 civar\u0131na geriledi; euro, Fransa\u2019da yeniden alevlenen mali ve siyasi bask\u0131lar\u0131n etkisiyle zay\u0131flad\u0131. Fransa ve Almanya 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k devlet tahvilleri aras\u0131ndaki getiri fark\u0131 150 baz puan\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak 2011\u2019deki Euro B\u00f6lgesi bor\u00e7 krizinden bu yana en geni\u015f seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Fransa\u2019da ayr\u0131ca polis ile protestocular aras\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ya\u015fan\u0131rken, ECB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Christine Lagarde Fransa\u2019n\u0131n yap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7 maliye politikas\u0131yla ele almas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Di\u011fer tarafta \u0130spanya, 29 Kas\u0131m\u2019da erken genel se\u00e7ime gidiyor; bu da blok genelindeki belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
ABD\u2019de ise Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh, gelecekteki faiz ad\u0131mlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin net bir sinyal vermekten ka\u00e7\u0131nd\u0131. CME FedWatch Tool\u2019a g\u00f6re piyasadaki fiyatlama, bu ay\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6neminde faizlerin de\u011fi\u015fmeden b\u0131rak\u0131lma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n %83,9\u2019a y\u00fckseldi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor; bu oran bir ay \u00f6nce %49 seviyesindeydi. Bir banka tahmini, ECB\u2019nin Aral\u0131k ve Mart 2027\u2019de iki\u015fer 25 baz puanl\u0131k iki art\u0131\u015f daha yaparak mevduat faizini %3\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcrken, daha uzun vadeli euro getirilerinde orta vadede s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyele kar\u015f\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede geri \u00e7ekilme alan\u0131 bulundu\u011funu vurgulad\u0131. Warsh\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131, FXS Speechtracker\u2019da 10 \u00fczerinden 5,6 puan alarak 6,1\u2019lik tarihsel ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131; FXS Fed Duyarl\u0131l\u0131k Endeksi ise 0,00 puanl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fim sonras\u0131 127,51\u2019de yatay seyretti. Teknik tarafta RSI 37,5 seviyesinde bulunuyor; diren\u00e7 1,1270, 1,1440 ve 1,1465 b\u00f6lgelerinde, destek ise 1,1100 civar\u0131nda izleniyor.<\/p>\n\n
anahtar kelimeler: Frans\u0131z Alman tahvil spreadi 2011 krizi 150 bp opsiyon volatilitesi EURUSD <\/p>\n
ara “Frans\u0131z Alman getiri spreadi 2011 zirve” “OAT Bund spreadi 2011” <\/p>\n\n
ara “EUR USD RSI 40 alt\u0131 istatistik getiri” OR “EURUSD Bollinger band\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131”<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Euro\u2019da alarm zilleri: EUR\/USD 1,1215\u2019e indi. Fransa\u2019daki siyasi\/mali gerilim OAT-Bund spreadini 150 bp\u2019yi a\u015ft\u0131. Fed belirsiz, duraklama olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %83,9. RSI 37,5; destek 1,1100.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69899,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69900","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t