{"id":69894,"date":"2026-10-19T06:44:46","date_gmt":"2026-10-19T06:44:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/week-ahead-gold-price-outlook-as-fed-rate-hike-bets-shape-markets\/"},"modified":"2026-10-19T06:44:46","modified_gmt":"2026-10-19T06:44:46","slug":"week-ahead-gold-price-outlook-as-fed-rate-hike-bets-shape-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/featured\/week-ahead-gold-price-outlook-as-fed-rate-hike-bets-shape-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki Hafta: Fed\u2019in Faiz Art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 Beklentileri Piyasalar\u0131 \u015eekillendirirken Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131 G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad5869287608.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Genel Bak\u0131\u015f<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Piyasalar\u0131n ana belirleyicisi, Fed\u2019in (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) faiz beklentileri olmaya devam ediyor. Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda ABD T\u00dcFE (T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi) y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda <strong>%3,7<\/strong> artt\u0131; \u00dcFE (\u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi) ise <strong>%6,3<\/strong> y\u00fckseldi. Bu veriler, para politikas\u0131nda ek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma (faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve daha k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 duru\u015f) beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>ABD tahvil getirileri (devlet tahvillerinin faizi) kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyal veriyor. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi, \u00fcretici enflasyonu daha s\u0131cak gelmesine ra\u011fmen <strong>%5,09<\/strong> seviyesine geriledi; teknoloji hisselerindeki zay\u0131fl\u0131kla yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar daha g\u00fcvenli g\u00f6r\u00fclen devlet tahvillerine y\u00f6neldi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Alt\u0131n, ABD dolar\u0131 ve hisse senetleri z\u0131t bask\u0131lar alt\u0131nda. Daha y\u00fcksek faizler dolar\u0131 destekleyip alt\u0131n ve hisseler \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurabilir. Ancak \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d talebi (belirsizlikte yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6nelmesi) bu hareketlerin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 tersine \u00e7evirebilir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Enflasyon verileri k\u0131sa vadeli pozisyonlara y\u00f6n verecek. <strong>19 Ekim<\/strong> haftas\u0131nda Kanada T\u00dcFE, \u0130ngiltere T\u00dcFE ve Yeni Zelanda T\u00dcFE a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Bu veriler, Fed\u2019in <strong>27\u201328 Ekim<\/strong> toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde yak\u0131ndan izlenecek.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fed\u2019in Faiz Art\u0131\u015f\u0131 Beklentileri Wall Street\u2019i Tedirgin Tutuyor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wall Street, <strong>19 Ekim<\/strong> haftas\u0131na y\u00fckselen enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 ve Fed\u2019in bir sonraki ad\u0131m\u0131na dair belirsizlikle giriyor. Piyasalar, bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerinin (kredi ve tahvil faizlerinin) ne kadar s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek kalabilece\u011fini ve ekonominin ek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmay\u0131 kald\u0131r\u0131p kald\u0131ramayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tart\u0131yor. Eyl\u00fcl enflasyon raporlar\u0131, ilave faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Man\u015fet ABD t\u00fcketici enflasyonu y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda <strong>%3,7<\/strong> oldu; \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131 (\u015firketlerin maliyetlerini yans\u0131tan \u00dcFE) <strong>%6,3<\/strong> artt\u0131. Bu tablo, hem t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131 hem de \u015firket maliyetleri taraf\u0131nda fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Breaking: Inflation heated up last month. Consumer prices rose 3.7%, while a core reading picked up to 2.6%. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ZxUpLut12s\">https:\/\/t.co\/ZxUpLut12s<\/a><\/p>&mdash; The Wall Street Journal (@WSJ) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/WSJ\/status\/2110349085236396284?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 14, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Buna kar\u015f\u0131n, finansal piyasalar\u0131n daha y\u00fcksek enflasyona tepkisi ayn\u0131 y\u00f6nde olmad\u0131. Enflasyon daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelmesine ra\u011fmen ABD tahvil faizleri gerilerken, teknoloji hisselerindeki zay\u0131fl\u0131k yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 daha g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara y\u00f6neltti. Bu durum; ABD dolar\u0131, alt\u0131n ve hisseler i\u00e7in karma\u015f\u0131k bir tablo yarat\u0131yor. Enflasyon daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131 destekleyebilir; ancak b\u00fcy\u00fcme endi\u015feleri devlet tahvilleri gibi varl\u0131klara talebi art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ekim mi Aral\u0131k m\u0131: Fed Faizi Ne Zaman Art\u0131rabilir?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Faiz vadeli i\u015flemleri (piyasan\u0131n gelecekteki faiz seviyesine dair fiyatlama yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 kontratlar), piyasalar\u0131n ek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; ancak Ekim\u2019de hemen art\u0131\u015f yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 net de\u011fil. \u015eu an beklenti, daha \u00e7ok Aral\u0131k\u2019ta s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fed politika senaryosu<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Piyasan\u0131n fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131k<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Ekim: Faiz de\u011fi\u015fmez<\/td><td>72.00%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Ekim: 25 bp art\u0131\u015f<\/td><td>28.00%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Aral\u0131k: Faiz mevcut seviyede kal\u0131r<\/td><td>10.70%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Aral\u0131k: Faiz 25 bp daha y\u00fcksek<\/td><td>65.70%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Aral\u0131k: Faiz 50 bp daha y\u00fcksek<\/td><td>23.60%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Fed may now have to hike twice or increase by a half point in December, traders bet <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/KSAudm3ZTw\">https:\/\/t.co\/KSAudm3ZTw<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CNBC\/status\/2110368204358828441?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 14, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bu olas\u0131l\u0131klar, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar bir sonraki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ertelese bile yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n Fed\u2019in k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 duru\u015funu (ekonomiyi so\u011futmay\u0131 ama\u00e7layan y\u00fcksek faiz yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131) koruyaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. Aral\u0131k\u2019a kadar beklemek, Fed\u2019e yeni enflasyon verilerini, istihdam ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131 ve t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirme zaman\u0131 verir. Ayr\u0131ca son fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon mu yoksa enerji maliyetlerinden kaynaklanan ge\u00e7ici bir bask\u0131 m\u0131 oldu\u011funu ay\u0131rt etmeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0130\u015flem yapanlar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, bir sonraki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n zamanlamas\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00f6viz hareketlerini etkileyebilir. Daha \u201c\u015fahin\u201d g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm (faizi art\u0131rmaya daha meyilli duru\u015f) ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyebilir. Erteleme ve zay\u0131f ekonomik veriler ise dolar \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Y\u00fcksek Bor\u00e7lanma Maliyeti 2027\u2019ye Uzayabilir<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Federal fon hedef aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n (Fed\u2019in bankalar aras\u0131 gecelik faiz i\u00e7in hedefledi\u011fi aral\u0131k) Mart 2027\u2019ye kadar <strong>%4,25\u2013%4,50<\/strong>, Haziran 2027\u2019ye kadar ise <strong>%4,50\u2013%4,75<\/strong> band\u0131na ula\u015fmas\u0131 daha olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bor\u00e7lanma maliyetleri 2027\u2019ye kadar y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rsa, \u015firketler ve hanehalk\u0131 daha uzun s\u00fcre pahal\u0131 finansmanla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalabilir. B\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi bor\u00e7la finanse eden \u015firketlerde faiz gideri artar; bu da yat\u0131r\u0131m ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilecek nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 azaltabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Teknoloji \u015firketleri \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 daha belirgin: Yapay zek\u00e2 altyap\u0131s\u0131 ve veri merkezleri (data centre) b\u00fcy\u00fck sermaye harcamas\u0131 (capex: bina, donan\u0131m, altyap\u0131 gibi uzun vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131m harcamalar\u0131) gerektiriyor. Finansman maliyetinin y\u00fckselmesi, bu projelerden beklenen getiriyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilir; \u00f6zellikle gelir art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamazsa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yine de faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 her zaman hisse fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi anlam\u0131na gelmez. Bilan\u00e7osu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, k\u00e2r\u0131 istikrarl\u0131 ve nakit \u00fcretimi iyi \u015firketler daha y\u00fcksek faiz ortam\u0131n\u0131 daha rahat y\u00f6netebilir. Daha b\u00fcy\u00fck risk, politikan\u0131n piyasan\u0131n bekledi\u011finden daha sert s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131d\u0131r. Enflasyon Fed\u2019i daha agresif art\u0131r\u0131mlara zorlarsa, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u015firket k\u00e2r tahminlerini, hisse de\u011ferlemelerini ve bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerini yeniden g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irmesi gerekebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Enflasyon Is\u0131n\u0131rken ABD Tahvil Faizleri Neden D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tahvil piyasas\u0131 ge\u00e7en hafta yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 beklentilerindeki \u00e7eli\u015fkinin en net i\u015faretlerinden birini verdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">15 Ekim\u2019de Eyl\u00fcl \u00dcFE ayl\u0131k bazda <strong>%1,3<\/strong> artarak <strong>%0,5\u2013%0,6<\/strong> beklentisini a\u015ft\u0131. G\u0131da ve enerji hari\u00e7 \u00e7ekirdek \u00dcFE (daha oynak kalemleri d\u0131\u015far\u0131da b\u0131rakan g\u00f6sterge) <strong>%0,7<\/strong> y\u00fckseldi. \u00dcretici enflasyonunun g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi normalde politika faizi beklentilerini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekerek tahvil faizlerini art\u0131r\u0131r. Ancak bunun yerine, g\u00f6sterge ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi Per\u015fembe seans\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 10 baz puan (bp: y\u00fczde puan\u0131n 1\/100\u2019\u00fc; 10 bp = %0,10) gerileyerek <strong>%5,09<\/strong> oldu. Bu hareket, teknoloji hisseleri bask\u0131 alt\u0131ndayken ABD devlet tahvillerine gelen talebin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar tahvil ald\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tahvil fiyat\u0131 y\u00fckselir, tahvil faizi (getiri) d\u00fc\u015fer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Treasury yields sank as investors sought safe havens during Thursday&#39;s tech rout, <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/XTJmAdbvux\">https:\/\/t.co\/XTJmAdbvux<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Business Insider (@BusinessInsider) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BusinessInsider\/status\/2110783122698567989?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 15, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u015eu anda tahvil faizlerini iki g\u00fc\u00e7 \u015fekillendiriyor: enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 ve g\u00fcvenli liman talebi. Politika faizinin daha da artaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi tahvil faizlerini yukar\u0131 iterken, tahvil al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 tahvil fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltip faizleri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7eker. Bir sonraki y\u00f6n, hangi g\u00fcc\u00fcn bask\u0131n olaca\u011f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131. Kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon tahvil sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 yeniden h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir; hisselerde yeni bir zay\u0131flama ise devlet tahvillerine talebi canl\u0131 tutabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Daha Y\u00fcksek Faizler Alt\u0131n, Hisseler ve ABD Dolar\u0131n\u0131 Nas\u0131l Etkileyebilir?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">ABD dolar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, g\u00f6reli olarak daha y\u00fcksek faizler (ABD faizinin di\u011fer \u00fclkelere k\u0131yasla daha cazip hale gelmesi) dolar cinsi varl\u0131klara talebi art\u0131rabilir. Ancak tahvil faizlerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bu deste\u011fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir; \u00f6zellikle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ABD b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlamaya ba\u015flarsa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Alt\u0131nda da benzer bir denge var. Reel getiri (enflasyondan ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f faiz) y\u00fckselir ve dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lenirse, faiz getirisi olmayan alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 artar. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n tahvil faizleri d\u00fc\u015fer ve g\u00fcvenli liman talebi g\u00fc\u00e7lenirse, alt\u0131n toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131 koruyabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Teknoloji hisseleri ekonomik ko\u015fullara daha hassas. Daha y\u00fcksek faiz; gelecekte beklenen k\u00e2rlar\u0131n bug\u00fcnk\u00fc de\u011ferini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr (iskonto etkisi), ayr\u0131ca bor\u00e7lanma maliyetinin y\u00fckselmesi yapay zek\u00e2 yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapan \u015firketleri zorlayabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Accelerating US inflation and tremors across the AI sector jolted stocks in recent days, and some investors are now betting that bigger swings in tech shares will finally spread to the broader market. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/JJq37FY4SE\">https:\/\/t.co\/JJq37FY4SE<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/business\/status\/2111830953756594362?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 18, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Finans hisseleri (bankalar) farkl\u0131 tepki verebilir. Kredi faizlerinin y\u00fckselmesi faiz gelirini destekleyebilir; ancak b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve artan kredi riski (geri \u00f6dememe ihtimali) bu fayday\u0131 azaltabilir. Bu nedenle i\u015flem yapanlar\u0131n yaln\u0131zca enflasyon verisine de\u011fil; tahvil faizlerine, hisse performans\u0131na ve dolara birlikte bakmas\u0131 gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Yakla\u015fan Kritik Ekonomik Veriler<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta, Fed\u2019in <strong>27\u201328 Ekim<\/strong> toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde maj\u00f6r para birimlerini etkileyebilecek birka\u00e7 enflasyon verisi a\u00e7\u0131klanacak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kanada T\u00dcFE <strong>19 Ekim<\/strong>\u2019de, \u0130ngiltere T\u00dcFE <strong>21 Ekim<\/strong>\u2019de, Yeni Zelanda T\u00dcFE ise <strong>22 Ekim<\/strong>\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Bu raporlar, ilgili \u00fclkelerin para politikas\u0131 beklentilerini etkileyebilir ve CAD, GBP ve NZD paritelerinde k\u0131sa vadeli oynakl\u0131k yaratabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ard\u0131ndan daha yo\u011fun bir \u201cpolitika takvimine\u201d ge\u00e7ilecek: Avustralya enflasyonu, Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Resm\u00ee Nakit Faizi (OCR: merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n politika faizi) karar\u0131, Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131, FOMC a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 (Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 alan komitenin metni) ve ABD PCE enflasyonu (Ki\u015fisel T\u00fcketim Harcamalar\u0131 fiyat endeksi; Fed\u2019in yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fi enflasyon g\u00f6stergesi). <strong>30 Ekim<\/strong>\u2019de Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz karar\u0131 da USDJPY \u00fczerinde etkili olabilir. Ancak piyasa tepkisi, ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmenin beklentiden ne kadar sapt\u0131\u011f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olacak. Beklentiyi teyit eden veri genelde daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 etki yarat\u0131rken, s\u00fcrpriz bir y\u00f6nlendirme daha sert fiyatlamaya yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u0130zlenmesi Gereken Ba\u015fl\u0131ca Semboller<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>XAUUSD | USDX | EURUSD | GBPUSD | SP500<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Yakla\u015fan Etkinlikler<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Tarih<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Para birimi<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Veri \/ Etkinlik<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Beklenti<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u00d6nceki<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Analist Notu<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>19 Eki<\/td><td>CAD<\/td><td>T\u00dcFE a\/a (ayl\u0131k)<\/td><td>0.20%<\/td><td>-0.10%<\/td><td>Daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir veri, faiz beklentilerini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekerek CAD\u2019i destekleyebilir. Teyit i\u00e7in USDCAD izlenebilir.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>21 Eki<\/td><td>GBP<\/td><td>T\u00dcFE y\/y (y\u0131ll\u0131k)<\/td><td>3.40%<\/td><td>3.10%<\/td><td>Enflasyonun y\u00fckselmesi, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 politikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentiyi g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir; GBPUSD etkilenebilir.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>22 Eki<\/td><td>NZD<\/td><td>T\u00dcFE \u00e7\/\u00e7 (\u00e7eyreklik)<\/td><td>0.80%<\/td><td>1.50%<\/td><td>Daha zay\u0131f enflasyon, ek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltabilir ve NZDUSD \u00fczerinde etkili olabilir.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Haftan\u0131n \u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kan Hareketleri<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">XAUUSD<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad58694009a8.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Alt\u0131n, 4.080 seviyesinden ikinci kez toparland\u0131ktan sonra y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fiyat daha da y\u00fckselirse, 4.280 civar\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sinyalleri (sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 fiyat davran\u0131\u015f\u0131) aranabilir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fiyat a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 gelirse, 4.055 civar\u0131nda yukar\u0131 tepki (al\u0131\u015flar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fi fiyat davran\u0131\u015f\u0131) izlenebilir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USDX<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad58694d19bf.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>USDX\u2019te (Dolar Endeksi: dolar\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fc) 102,55 seviyesi Cuma kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131nda diren\u00e7 olarak kald\u0131.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>USDX yataya d\u00f6ner (konsolidasyon: dar bantta dalgalanma) ise fiyat a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 kayabilir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>B\u00f6yle bir senaryoda 101,00 \u00e7evresindeki fiyat hareketi izlenebilir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EURUSD<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad58695d6499.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>EURUSD, 1,1110 olarak izlenen b\u00f6lgeden yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fiyat yataya ba\u011flarsa EURUSD daha yukar\u0131 i\u015flem g\u00f6rebilir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bu durumda 1,1350 civar\u0131ndaki fiyat davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 takip edilebilir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">GBPUSD<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad58696c8912.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>GBPUSD, \u015fu anda 1,3380 olarak izlenen b\u00f6lgede diren\u00e7le kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131yor.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>GBPUSD y\u00fckselirse 1,3480 civar\u0131ndaki fiyat hareketi izlenebilir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">SP500<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6ad58697d70f7.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>S&amp;P 500 (ABD\u2019nin geni\u015f kapsaml\u0131 hisse endeksi) \u015fu anda 7.660 olarak izlenen b\u00f6lgede i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fiyat yukar\u0131 giderse 7.755 civar\u0131ndaki fiyat hareketi takip edilebilir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sonu\u00e7<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Piyasalar <strong>19 Ekim<\/strong> haftas\u0131na, kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyonu; b\u00fcy\u00fcme kayg\u0131lar\u0131 ve y\u00fckselen bor\u00e7lanma maliyetleriyle dengede tutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015farak giriyor. Fed\u2019in Ekim karar\u0131 belirsizli\u011fini korurken, vadeli piyasa g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc faizlerin sabit kalmas\u0131na; Aral\u0131k\u2019ta ise olas\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Alt\u0131n toparlanma s\u00fcrerse <strong>4.280<\/strong> seviyesini test edebilir. ABD dolar\u0131nda <strong>102,55<\/strong> direnci \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, S&amp;P 500 <strong>7.660<\/strong> civar\u0131nda karar b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015f\u0131yor. Bu hafta Kanada, \u0130ngiltere ve Yeni Zelanda enflasyon verileri d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131nda dalgalanmay\u0131 art\u0131rabilir; sonraki hafta oda\u011fa FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131 ve ek enflasyon verileri yerle\u015fecek. Bu teknik seviyelerde gelecek fiyat teyidi, toparlanman\u0131n s\u00fcr\u00fcp s\u00fcrmeyece\u011fini ya da yeniden sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fup olu\u015fmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>S\u0131k Sorulan Sorular (SSS)<\/strong><\/summary>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. Fed\u2019in ilave faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 nas\u0131l etkiler?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fed faizlerinin y\u00fckselmesi, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyip tahvil faizlerini (getirilerini) art\u0131rarak alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilir. Ancak s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye dair endi\u015feleri art\u0131r\u0131rsa, g\u00fcvenli liman talebi alt\u0131na destek verebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. Fed Ekim 2026\u2019da faiz art\u0131r\u0131r m\u0131?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Piyasa, Ekim\u2019de 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %28, faizin sabit kalma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %72 olarak fiyatlad\u0131. Ek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma beklentisi Aral\u0131k i\u00e7in daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olsa da g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm enflasyon ve ekonomik verilere ba\u011fl\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. Enflasyon y\u00fckselirken ABD tahvil faizleri neden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Piyasa belirsizli\u011finin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar devlet tahvillerine talebi art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tahvil faizleri d\u00fc\u015febilir. Enflasyon genelde daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirse de, teknoloji hisselerine y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feler ve b\u00fcy\u00fcme kayg\u0131lar\u0131 tahvil al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabilir; bu da tahvil fiyat\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltip faizi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">4. Bu hafta i\u00e7in alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 beklentisi nedir?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Alt\u0131n, 4.080 b\u00f6lgesinden toparland\u0131ktan sonra 4.280\u2019e do\u011fru y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilir. Ancak 4.280 civar\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 fiyat davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. Sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 artarsa 4.055 ve 3.942,70 alt\u0131ndaki b\u00f6lge, olas\u0131 yukar\u0131 tepki a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan izlenebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">5. Daha y\u00fcksek faizler ABD dolar\u0131 ve borsay\u0131 nas\u0131l etkileyebilir?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Daha y\u00fcksek faizler, dolar cinsi varl\u0131klar\u0131 daha cazip hale getirerek ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir. Hisselerde ise y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7lanma maliyeti \u015firket k\u00e2rlar\u0131n\u0131 ve de\u011ferlemeleri bask\u0131layabilir; \u00f6zellikle teknoloji \u015firketlerinde. Piyasa tepkisi, Fed\u2019in sonraki kararlar\u0131n\u0131n mevcut beklentilerle uyumuna ba\u011fl\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">6. Bu hafta hangi ekonomik geli\u015fmeler izlenmeli?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">19\u201323 Ekim 2026 d\u00f6neminde \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan veriler: 19 Ekim\u2019de Kanada T\u00dcFE, 21 Ekim\u2019de \u0130ngiltere T\u00dcFE, 22 Ekim\u2019de Yeni Zelanda T\u00dcFE. Bu raporlar USDCAD, GBPUSD ve NZDUSD \u00fczerinde etkili olabilir. Ard\u0131ndan odak, Fed\u2019in 27\u201328 Ekim toplant\u0131s\u0131 ve yakla\u015fan ABD enflasyon verilerine kayacak.<\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/trade-now\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fed korkusu yeniden masada: ABD\u2019de T\u00dcFE %3,7, \u00dcFE %6,3. Piyasa Aral\u0131k\u2019ta faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor; tahvil getirileri g\u00fcvenli limanla geriliyor. Alt\u0131n, dolar ve hisseler kritik seviyelerde. Bu hafta Kanada\/\u0130ngiltere\/Yeni Zelanda enflasyonu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69893,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,73],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69894","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-week_ahead"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fed korkusu yeniden masada: ABD\u2019de T\u00dcFE %3,7, \u00dcFE %6,3. Piyasa Aral\u0131k\u2019ta faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor; tahvil getirileri g\u00fcvenli limanla geriliyor. Alt\u0131n, dolar ve hisseler kritik seviyelerde. 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Piyasa Aral\u0131k\u2019ta faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor; tahvil getirileri g\u00fcvenli limanla geriliyor. Alt\u0131n, dolar ve hisseler kritik seviyelerde. 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Alt\u0131n, dolar ve hisseler kritik seviyelerde. 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Bu hafta Kanada\/\u0130ngiltere\/Yeni Zelanda enflasyonu."},"aioseo_meta_data":{"post_id":"69894","title":null,"description":null,"keywords":null,"keyphrases":null,"primary_term":null,"canonical_url":null,"og_title":null,"og_description":null,"og_object_type":"default","og_image_type":"default","og_image_url":null,"og_image_width":null,"og_image_height":null,"og_image_custom_url":null,"og_image_custom_fields":null,"og_video":null,"og_custom_url":null,"og_article_section":null,"og_article_tags":null,"twitter_use_og":false,"twitter_card":"default","twitter_image_type":"default","twitter_image_url":null,"twitter_image_custom_url":null,"twitter_image_custom_fields":null,"twitter_title":null,"twitter_description":null,"schema":{"blockGraphs":[],"customGraphs":[],"default":{"data":{"Article":[],"Course":[],"Dataset":[],"FAQPage":[],"Movie":[],"Person":[],"Product":[],"ProductReview":[],"Car":[],"Recipe":[],"Service":[],"SoftwareApplication":[],"WebPage":[]},"graphName":"","isEnabled":true},"graphs":[]},"schema_type":"default","schema_type_options":null,"pillar_content":false,"robots_default":true,"robots_noindex":false,"robots_noarchive":false,"robots_nosnippet":false,"robots_nofollow":false,"robots_noimageindex":false,"robots_noodp":false,"robots_notranslate":false,"robots_max_snippet":null,"robots_max_videopreview":null,"robots_max_imagepreview":"large","priority":null,"frequency":null,"local_seo":null,"seo_analyzer_scan_date":"2026-10-19 06:46:13","breadcrumb_settings":null,"limit_modified_date":false,"open_ai":null,"ai":null,"created":"2026-10-19 06:44:46","updated":"2026-10-19 06:46:14","focus_keyword":null,"additional_keywords":null,"truseo_locale":null},"aioseo_breadcrumb":"<div class=\"aioseo-breadcrumbs\"><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\" title=\"Home\">Home<\/a>\n<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">&raquo;<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/featured\/\" title=\"Featured\">Featured<\/a>\n<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">&raquo;<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki Hafta: Fed\u2019in Faiz Art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 Beklentileri Piyasalar\u0131 \u015eekillendirirken Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131 G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc\n<\/span><\/div>","aioseo_breadcrumb_json":[{"label":"Home","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena"},{"label":"Featured","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/featured\/"},{"label":"\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki Hafta: Fed\u2019in Faiz Art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 Beklentileri Piyasalar\u0131 \u015eekillendirirken Alt\u0131n Fiyat\u0131 G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/featured\/week-ahead-gold-price-outlook-as-fed-rate-hike-bets-shape-markets\/"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69894","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=69894"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/69894\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/69893"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69894"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=69894"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=69894"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}