Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD) Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,10 gerileyerek 4.163 dolara indi; 4.150 dolar civar\u0131nda seyrederken, ABD Hazine tahvili getirilerindeki y\u00fckseli\u015fin yak\u0131n vadede Fed s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin daha yumu\u015fak beklentileri g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rakmas\u0131yla haftal\u0131k kayba y\u00f6neldi. ABD T\u00dcFE Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %3,7 artarak %3,6\u2019l\u0131k tahminlerin ve A\u011fustos\u2019taki %3,4\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; \u00dcFE ise %5,3 beklentisine kar\u015f\u0131 %6,3\u2019e h\u0131zland\u0131. Enflasyon verileri Ekim art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine %60\u2019a yakla\u015ft\u0131rsa da, para piyasalar\u0131 daha sonra Ekim FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k bir ad\u0131m olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %16\u2019ya i\u015faret ederken, Aral\u0131k ihtimali %89 oldu. 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k getiri \u00fc\u00e7 baz puan art\u0131\u015fla %5,106\u2019ya y\u00fckselirken, ABD Dolar Endeksi %0,10 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 101,87\u2019ye geriledi.<\/p>\n\n
Sanayi \u00dcretimi Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de ayl\u0131k bazda %0,7 artarak %0,4\u2019l\u00fck beklentiyi ve A\u011fustos\u2019taki %0,1\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131; gelecek hafta oda\u011fa konut verileri, Haftal\u0131k \u0130\u015fsizlik Maa\u015f\u0131 Ba\u015fvurular\u0131 ve \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI\u2019lar yerle\u015fecek. Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan alt\u0131n 4.100-4.200 dolar band\u0131nda yatay seyrini koruyor; diren\u00e7 4.200 dolarda, ard\u0131ndan 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 4.242 dolar ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 4.331 dolar seviyelerinde; daha yukar\u0131da 4.500 dolar izleniyor. Destek 4.100 dolarda; bunun alt\u0131nda 4.073, 3.996, 3.959 ve y\u0131l\u0131n dibi olan 3.941 dolar seviyeleri bulunuyor. RSI d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filiminde, ancak hafif bir pozitif uyumsuzluk sinyali \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
Alt\u0131n, 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirilerinin %5,10 seviyesine yakla\u015farak yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmeyi s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131yla 4.100-4.200 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda dar bir bantta s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Fiyat hareketi konsolidasyon s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken k\u0131sa vadeli t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bant i\u00e7i stratejilere odaklanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. S\u0131n\u0131r seviyelere yak\u0131n b\u00f6lgelerde opsiyon primi sat\u0131\u015f\u0131, daha net bir kataliz\u00f6r y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 tetikleyene kadar daha istikrarl\u0131 getiriler sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n\n
Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n %6,3 s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131 ve Aral\u0131k\u2019ta faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n %89\u2019a ula\u015fmas\u0131yla \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, getirileri olmayan varl\u0131klara k\u0131yasla tahvil getirilerini desteklemeye devam ediyor. Tarihsel olarak, %5\u2019in \u00fczerindeki y\u00fcksek g\u00f6sterge getiriler, de\u011ferli metaller piyasalar\u0131ndan kademeli sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 tetikliyor. Reel getiriler \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda y\u00fckselmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrse alt\u0131n kontratlar\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131na haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olunmal\u0131.<\/p>\n\n
4.100 dolar destek seviyesinin alt\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede 4.073 ve kritik 3.996 dolar b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru yolu a\u00e7abilir. Uzun pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131yan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n bu e\u015fi\u011fin alt\u0131nda koruyucu put opsiyonlar\u0131 almay\u0131 veya s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes seviyeleri belirlemeyi de\u011ferlendirmesi uygun olabilir. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015flemlerde, fiyatlar\u0131n 4.242 dolar civar\u0131ndaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerine yerle\u015fmesine kadar temkinli kal\u0131nmal\u0131.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6nc\u00fc PMI\u2019lar ve i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 dahil yakla\u015fan makroekonomik veri a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131, d\u00f6viz ve emtia piyasalar\u0131nda sert volatilite yaratabilir. K\u00fcl\u00e7e-alt\u0131n fiyat hareketlerine kar\u015f\u0131 erken ayr\u0131\u015fma sinyalleri i\u00e7in ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin 101,87 civar\u0131ndaki seyrinin yak\u0131ndan izlenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Makro beklentiler yeniden fiyatlan\u0131rken k\u0131sa vadeli dalgalanmalar\u0131 y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in pozisyon b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn s\u0131k\u0131 kontrol\u00fc yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Alt\u0131nda kritik e\u015fik: XAU\/USD 4.163 dolara inerken %5,10\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kan 10 y\u0131ll\u0131klar bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. T\u00dcFE\/\u00dcFE s\u00fcrprizi Aral\u0131kta art\u0131\u015f beklentisini %89\u2019a ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; 4.100 alt\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f h\u0131zlanabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69858,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69859","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t