{"id":69839,"date":"2026-10-19T03:51:23","date_gmt":"2026-10-19T03:51:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/bailey-sees-limited-second-round-inflation-as-sterling-eyes-1-37-amid-bank-tax-plans\/"},"modified":"2026-10-19T03:51:23","modified_gmt":"2026-10-19T03:51:23","slug":"bailey-sees-limited-second-round-inflation-as-sterling-eyes-1-37-amid-bank-tax-plans","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/bailey-sees-limited-second-round-inflation-as-sterling-eyes-1-37-amid-bank-tax-plans\/","title":{"rendered":"Bailey, Banka Vergisi Planlar\u0131 G\u00fcndemdeyken Sterlin 1,37\u2019yi Hedeflerken \u0130kinci Tur Enflasyonun S\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 Olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Bailey, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ekonomisini beklentilerin \u00fczerinde diren\u00e7li olarak nitelendirirken, enflasyonda ikinci tur etkilerine dair \u015fu ana kadar \u00e7ok az kan\u0131t bulundu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. A\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan para piyasalar\u0131 sakin seyretti; gecelik endeks swaplar\u0131 (OIS) gelecek ay\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 neredeyse tamamen fiyatl\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131 bir geli\u015fme olarak, Maliye Bakan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kamu maliyesini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek amac\u0131yla kurumlar vergisine uygulanan banka ek vergisini %3\u2019ten %8\u2019e y\u00fckseltecek bir B\u00fct\u00e7e ad\u0131m\u0131 haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildiriliyor.<\/p>\n\n

Sterlin, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD T\u00dcFE verisi sonras\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclen dip seviyelerin ard\u0131ndan g\u00fc\u00e7lenerek GBP\/USD\u2019yi yeniden 1,33\u2019\u00fcn orta band\u0131na do\u011fru ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Haftal\u0131k grafikte bu toparlanma, y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc \u201cd\u0131\u015f aral\u0131k\u201d (bullish outside-range) formasyonu olu\u015fturdu; son i\u015flemler ise Nisan\u2019dan bu yana ge\u00e7erli olan yatay band\u0131n alt s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na yak\u0131n kalmaya devam ediyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyeli canl\u0131 tutuyor ve \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 1,3650\u20131,3675 band\u0131n\u0131n yeniden test edilmesine alan a\u00e7\u0131yor. \u0130lk diren\u00e7, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamayla hizal\u0131 1,3435 seviyesinde izleniyor.<\/p>\n\n

GBP\/USD Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ve \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri<\/h3>\n\n

Sterlinin son bant diplerinden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde toparlanmas\u0131yla birlikte, GBP\/USD t\u00fcrevlerinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum i\u00e7in haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmal\u0131y\u0131z. Piyasa fiyatlamas\u0131 yakla\u015fan merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na neredeyse %100 olas\u0131l\u0131k vermeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, temel faiz farklar\u0131 sterlini destekliyor. Pozisyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, 1,3650\u20131,3675 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki \u00e7ok ayl\u0131k i\u015flem band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 hedefleyen y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc opsiyon yap\u0131lar\u0131na veya uzun spot e\u015fde\u011feri pozisyonlara odaklanabilir.<\/p>\n\n

Tarihsel Ba\u011flam, Temeller ve Risk Y\u00f6netimi<\/h3>\n\n

Tarihsel olarak, GBP\/USD\u2019deki belirgin haftal\u0131k d\u0131\u015f d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f (outside reversal) formasyonlar\u0131, s\u0131kl\u0131kla 200\u2013300 piplik devam hareketi \u00fcreten, \u00e7ok haftaya yay\u0131lan rallilerin \u00f6nc\u00fcs\u00fc olmu\u015ftur. Yak\u0131n izlenmesi gereken ilk e\u015fik, 1,3435 civar\u0131ndaki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama; bu seviye a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 veya k\u0131r\u0131lma (breakout) tipi al\u0131m stoplar\u0131 devreye al\u0131nabilir. Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019ta ekonomik diren\u00e7lili\u011fe i\u015faret eden g\u00f6stergeler\u2014\u00f6rne\u011fin son ayl\u0131k GSYH verilerinde %0,2\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f ve hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde istikrarl\u0131 aktivite\u2014bu teknik d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f i\u00e7in sa\u011flam bir temel zemin sunuyor.<\/p>\n\n

Gelecek maliye politikas\u0131 geli\u015fmeleri, \u00f6zellikle finans sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc hedefleyen olas\u0131 vergi ayarlamalar\u0131 etraf\u0131nda riski de dikkatle y\u00f6netmek gerekiyor. Kurumlar vergisine uygulanan banka ek vergisinin %3\u2019ten %8\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131laca\u011f\u0131na dair haberler, d\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131 faiz farklar\u0131na odakl\u0131 kalsa bile, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k hisse endeksi t\u00fcrevlerinde ge\u00e7ici oynakl\u0131k yaratabilir veya y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. K\u0131sa vadeli opsiyon straddle\u2019lar\u0131 veya hafta ortas\u0131 dip seviyelerine yak\u0131n 1,3250 alt\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kesler, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc maruziyeti korurken b\u00fct\u00e7e kaynakl\u0131 g\u00fcr\u00fclt\u00fcye kar\u015f\u0131 korunmaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

BoE Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Bailey, ekonomiyi diren\u00e7li g\u00f6r\u00fcrken ikinci tur enflasyon etkisi sinyali zay\u0131f; piyasa 25 bp art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor. GBP\/USD toparland\u0131, haftal\u0131k d\u0131\u015f aral\u0131kla 1,3435 direnci hedefte; 1,3650\u20131,3675 g\u00fcndemde. Banka ek vergisi %8 riski.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69838,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69839","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t