{"id":69765,"date":"2026-10-15T07:55:53","date_gmt":"2026-10-15T07:55:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/gold-holds-below-4150-as-softer-dollar-offsets-hot-us-cpi-and-middle-east-risks\/"},"modified":"2026-10-15T07:55:53","modified_gmt":"2026-10-15T07:55:53","slug":"gold-holds-below-4150-as-softer-dollar-offsets-hot-us-cpi-and-middle-east-risks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gold-holds-below-4150-as-softer-dollar-offsets-hot-us-cpi-and-middle-east-risks\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n, zay\u0131flayan dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD T\u00dcFE\u2019si ve Orta Do\u011fu risklerini dengelemesiyle 4.150 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda tutunuyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n, Asya seans\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrememesinin ard\u0131ndan 4.150 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; ancak ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fen Hazine tahvili getirileriyle yumu\u015famas\u0131 sayesinde \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcnl\u00fck kay\u0131p serisini sonland\u0131rd\u0131. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc beklentilerin \u00fczerindeki T\u00dcFE verisi ilk etapta faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirse de, piyasalar\u0131n ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) hemen harekete ge\u00e7mesinin olas\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kanaatiyle bu hareket s\u00f6n\u00fcmlendi; bu da politika belirsizli\u011fini y\u00fcksek tutan yayg\u0131n fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131na ra\u011fmen, faiz getirisi olmayan k\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131na destek verdi.<\/p>\n\n

ABD \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma \u0130statistikleri B\u00fcrosu (BLS), man\u015fet T\u00dcFE\u2019nin y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %3,4\u2019ten %3,7\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi\u011fini; \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE\u2019nin ise %2,4\u2019ten %2,6\u2019ya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131 ve bu durum Fed\u2019in patikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin fiyatlamalar\u0131n yeniden g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irilmesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131. FXS Speechtracker, Mary Daly\u2019yi tarihsel 6,1\/10 ortalamas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 6,8\/10 seviyesinde konumland\u0131r\u0131rken, FXS Fed Sentiment Index 0,84 puan gerileyerek 128,17\u2019ye indi. Piyasalar y\u0131l sonuna kadar bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha ihtimalini h\u00e2l\u00e2 %85\u2019in \u00fczerinde fiyatl\u0131yor; ayr\u0131ca bir konteyner gemisinin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda bir sald\u0131r\u0131 sonras\u0131 batmas\u0131 ve Husilerin sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesiyle Orta Do\u011fu riskleri de odakta. G\u00f6zler ABD \u00dcFE verisine ve IMF ile D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n yapaca\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmaya \u00e7evrildi. Teknik tarafta XAU\/USD, 4 saatlik grafikte 100 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda bask\u0131lanmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, MACD negatif; diren\u00e7 4.215-4.220 dolar band\u0131nda, destek ise 4.075-4.065 dolar civar\u0131nda izleniyor.<\/p>\n\n

\u0130\u015flem Stratejisi ve Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n\n

Alt\u0131n 4.150 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmaya devam ederken agresif bo\u011fa y\u00f6nl\u00fc t\u00fcrev pozisyonlara acele edilmemeli. Teknik g\u00f6stergeler a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor; 100 periyotluk hareketli ortalama, fiyat hareketlerini 4.180 dolar civar\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Tarihsel olarak, faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n %85\u2019in \u00fczerinde seyretti\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerde uzun pozisyon a\u00e7mak daha y\u00fcksek risk bar\u0131nd\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n i\u00e7in 4.215\u20134.220 band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lma g\u00f6r\u00fclmeden yeni hedeflere y\u00f6nelmemek gerekir.<\/p>\n\n

A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da, 4.100 dolardaki ilk destek seviyesi \u00e7ok yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na sarkma, fiyat\u0131n yak\u0131n zamanda bir haftan\u0131n dibinden tepki verdi\u011fi 4.075\u20134.065 dolar kritik talep b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru alan a\u00e7ar. Sat\u0131c\u0131lar fiyat\u0131 4.065 dolar\u0131n da alt\u0131na iterse, yeni bir k\u0131r\u0131lmadan faydalanmak i\u00e7in ay\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc t\u00fcrev stratejilerine d\u00f6n\u00fclmeli.<\/p>\n\n

Makro ve Jeopolitik Risk Y\u00f6netimi<\/h3>\n\n

ABD man\u015fet enflasyonunun %3,4\u2019ten %3,7\u2019ye s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, yakla\u015fan seanslarda makroekonomik geli\u015fmeler sert fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131n\u0131 tetikleyebilir. Bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanacak \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (\u00dcFE) verisi ve Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n konu\u015fmas\u0131yla, para politikas\u0131na dair beklentiler h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde de\u011fi\u015fiyor. Bu ortamda, portf\u00f6y\u00fc korunmas\u0131z y\u00f6nsel risklere maruz b\u0131rakmadan ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in tan\u0131ml\u0131 riskli opsiyon stratejileri kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n\n

Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik gerilimler; drone sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresindeki ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k aksakl\u0131klar\u0131 \u00fczerinden emtialara kal\u0131c\u0131 bir risk primi ekliyor. Benzer arz y\u00f6nl\u00fc \u015foklarda, tarihsel oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6stergeleri alt\u0131n opsiyon primlerinin kuyruk risklerine kar\u015f\u0131 korunma talebiyle h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Sar\u0131 metal ile ABD Dolar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki g\u00fcvenli liman ak\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n rekabeti sert ve d\u00fczensiz fiyat savrulmalar\u0131 yaratabilece\u011finden, t\u00fcm a\u00e7\u0131k pozisyonlarda s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes seviyeleri korunmal\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n 4.150 dolar alt\u0131nda dalgalan\u0131rken, d\u00fc\u015fen tahvil getirileri kay\u0131plar\u0131 durdurdu. T\u00dcFE s\u00fcrprizi faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisini diri tutsa da Fed bekle-g\u00f6r modunda. G\u00f6zler \u00dcFE, Warsh konu\u015fmas\u0131 ve Ortado\u011fu risklerinde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69764,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69765","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t