{"id":69707,"date":"2026-10-15T01:54:25","date_gmt":"2026-10-15T01:54:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/gold-slips-towards-4102-as-hotter-us-inflation-lifts-dollar-and-treasury-yields\/"},"modified":"2026-10-15T01:54:25","modified_gmt":"2026-10-15T01:54:25","slug":"gold-slips-towards-4102-as-hotter-us-inflation-lifts-dollar-and-treasury-yields","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gold-slips-towards-4102-as-hotter-us-inflation-lifts-dollar-and-treasury-yields\/","title":{"rendered":"S\u0131cak gelen ABD enflasyonu dolar ve Hazine tahvil getirilerini y\u00fckseltirken alt\u0131n 4.102 dolara do\u011fru geriliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), ABD enflasyon verilerinin ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ve Hazine tahvil getirilerini yukar\u0131 itmesinin ard\u0131ndan \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc geriledi. Metal, g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %1,41 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 4.102 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Eyl\u00fcl T\u00dcFE ayl\u0131k bazda %0,6 artarak A\u011fustos\u2019taki %0,4\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; man\u015fet enflasyon ise y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %3,4\u2019ten %3,7\u2019ye h\u0131zland\u0131 ve %3,6\u2019l\u0131k beklentiyi a\u015ft\u0131. \u00c7ekirdek T\u00dcFE ayl\u0131k bazda beklentilerdeki %0,2\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 %0,3 y\u00fckselirken, y\u0131ll\u0131k \u00e7ekirdek oran %2,4\u2019ten %2,6\u2019ya \u00e7\u0131karak %2,5 tahminini ge\u00e7ti. Dolar Endeksi (DXY) yakla\u015f\u0131k 102,67\u2019ye t\u0131rmanarak Nisan 2025\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc; 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k getiri de yakla\u015f\u0131k 10 baz puan art\u0131\u015fla %5,28\u2019e y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n\n

Orta Do\u011fu gerilimleriyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131, enflasyonun s\u00fcregelen bir itici g\u00fcc\u00fc olarak g\u00f6sterildi; bu durum enflasyonun Fed\u2019in %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde kalma riskini art\u0131r\u0131yor. Para piyasalar\u0131, 2027 sonuna kadar \u00fc\u00e7 ek faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha fazla fiyatlarken, CME FedWatch verilerine g\u00f6re 27-28 Ekim toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimali %22\u2019den %43,7\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi; Aral\u0131k i\u00e7in ihtimal ise %90\u2019a yak\u0131n. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde XAU\/USD, 4.100-4.200 dolar band\u0131n\u0131 korurken 50, 100 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n (SMA) alt\u0131nda seyrediyordu; RSI yakla\u015f\u0131k 42 seviyesinde, MACD ise hafif pozitifti. Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 4.200, 4.249, 4.337, 4.400 ve 4.525 dolar olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken; destek 4.100 dolar, ard\u0131ndan 4.000-3.950 dolar b\u00f6lgesi olarak izleniyor.<\/p>\n\n

T\u00fcrev \u0130\u015flemler G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\n\n

Artan getirilerin faiz getirisi olmayan varl\u0131klar \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurmas\u0131 nedeniyle, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta alt\u0131n taraf\u0131nda t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n temkinli, k\u0131sa pozisyon a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 ile n\u00f6tr aras\u0131nda bir duru\u015fa y\u00f6nelmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. ABD\u2019de man\u015fet enflasyonun y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,7\u2019ye h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 ve 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k Hazine tahvil getirilerinin %5,28\u2019e ula\u015fmas\u0131, \u015fu a\u015famada alt\u0131n ta\u015f\u0131man\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyetini y\u00fckseltiyor. Tarihsel olarak, \u015fahin Fed d\u00f6ng\u00fclerinde g\u00f6sterge getiriler %5\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, de\u011ferli metallerin kal\u0131c\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumunu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmekte zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n

Olas\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lmalarda k\u0131sa pozisyon f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 veya ay\u0131 put spread\u2019leri gibi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc opsiyon stratejileri i\u00e7in 4.100 dolardaki kritik destek seviyesinin yak\u0131ndan izlenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. 4.100 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda net bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m, sistematik teknik sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 h\u0131zla 4.000-3.950 dolar destek b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru tetikleyebilir. Tepki y\u00fckseli\u015flerinde sat\u0131\u015f arayan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ilk hedefi, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalama ile uyumlu 4.249 dolar seviyesine yak\u0131n bulunan 4.200 dolar civar\u0131ndaki ilk diren\u00e7 olmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n

Kur ve G\u00fcvenli Liman Dinamikleri<\/h3>\n\n

Kur ve faiz t\u00fcrev piyasalar\u0131nda, k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce 102,67 civar\u0131nda \u00e7ok ayl\u0131k zirvelere \u00e7\u0131kan ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019ndeki y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimiyle uyumlu kal\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Faiz vadeli i\u015flemleri art\u0131k Ekim\u2019de faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %43,7, Aral\u0131k i\u00e7in ise yakla\u015f\u0131k %90 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor; bu da k\u0131sa vadede \u201cGreenback\u201de momentum sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131 man\u015fet enflasyonu yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131maya devam ederken, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck getirili para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 uzun ABD Dolar\u0131 pozisyonlar\u0131 cazip bir strateji olmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n\n

Bununla birlikte, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki s\u00fcregelen gerilimler ve y\u00fcksek ham petrol maliyetleri, g\u00fcvenli liman olarak alt\u0131n alt\u0131nda bir taban olu\u015fturabilece\u011finden \u00e7evik kalmak gerekiyor. Tarihsel olarak kal\u0131c\u0131 enerji \u015foklar\u0131, agresif parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma d\u00f6ng\u00fclerinde bile ani riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f (risk-off) rallilerini tetikleyebilir. 4.337 dolardaki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama gibi kilit diren\u00e7 bariyerleri etraf\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131 risk limitleri kullanmak, beklenmedik yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc volatilitenin y\u00f6netimi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131nda alarm zilleri: ABD T\u00dcFE s\u00fcrprizi Dolar\u0131 ve 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k getiriyi (%5,28) s\u0131\u00e7ratt\u0131, XAU\/USD %1,41 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 4.102 dolara indi. Fed\u2019de ek art\u0131\u015flar fiyatlan\u0131yor; 4.100 kritik destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69706,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69707","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t