{"id":69686,"date":"2026-10-14T06:46:36","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T06:46:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/us-dollar-trades-near-102-ahead-of-key-cpi-release\/"},"modified":"2026-10-14T06:46:36","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T06:46:36","slug":"us-dollar-trades-near-102-ahead-of-key-cpi-release","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/analysis\/us-dollar-trades-near-102-ahead-of-key-cpi-release\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD Dolar\u0131, Kritik T\u00dcFE Verisi \u00d6ncesinde 102 Seviyesine Yak\u0131n Seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acf0695bdc42.webp\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kan Noktalar<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), 14 Ekim\u2019de 102 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Endeks, pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 18 ay\u0131n zirvesi 102,37\u2019den geri \u00e7ekildi.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dolar, sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,37 geriledi. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) beklentilerindeki de\u011fi\u015fim risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>ABD man\u015fet T\u00dcFE\u2019nin (CPI: t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, enflasyonun ana g\u00f6stergesi) eyl\u00fclde y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,6\u2019ya y\u00fckselmesi bekleniyor (\u00f6nceki: %3,4).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Y\u00fcksek ABD Hazine tahvili faizleri (Treasury yields: devlet tahvilinin getiri\/faiz oran\u0131) dolar\u0131 desteklemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>T\u00dcFE\u2019nin beklentiden y\u00fcksek gelmesi hem dolar\u0131 hem tahvil faizlerini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelmesi ise yeniden sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 do\u011furabilir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Alt\u0131n, EURUSD ve USDJPY\u2019de veri sonras\u0131 pozisyon ayarlamalar\u0131yla daha sert hareketler g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bir sonraki ana kataliz\u00f6r (piyasay\u0131 hareketlendiren veri) ABD T\u00dcFE (14 Ekim); ard\u0131ndan 15 Ekim\u2019de ABD \u00dcFE (PPI: \u00fcretici fiyat endeksi, maliyet\/enflasyon e\u011filimini \u00f6l\u00e7er) gelecek.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Piyasa Hareketi<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dolar\u0131n pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc <strong>18 ay\u0131n zirvesi olan 102,37<\/strong> seviyesine uzanan y\u00fckseli\u015fi, sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ivmesini kaybetti. DXY yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>%0,37<\/strong> geriledi. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f enflasyon endi\u015felerini bir miktar azalt\u0131rken, Fed\u2019e dair beklentiler de de\u011fi\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Son seansta endeks, 102 seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131nda dar bir bantta yatay seyrediyor. G\u00fcn i\u00e7i hareketler dalgal\u0131: Endeks <strong>101,86<\/strong> b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru sark\u0131p ard\u0131ndan 101,90\u2019a toparland\u0131. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, kritik veri \u00f6ncesinde al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri kar\u015f\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Neyi \u0130zliyor?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Piyasan\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 eyl\u00fcl T\u00dcFE verisine kayd\u0131. Man\u015fet enflasyonun y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda <strong>%3,6<\/strong>\u2019ya (\u00f6nceki: %3,4) y\u00fckselmesi bekleniyor. Bu, fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n kolay d\u00fc\u015fmedi\u011fine i\u015faret eder. Enflasyon, Fed\u2019in faiz kararlar\u0131n\u0131 belirleyen ana unsur oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in veri piyasada y\u00f6n tayin edebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Y\u00fcksek ABD tahvil faizleri dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131n\u0131n temel dayanaklar\u0131ndan biri. Bu nedenle enflasyon beklentilerindeki her de\u011fi\u015fim, piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131ca \u00e7evirebilir. 15 Ekim\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak \u00dcFE de enflasyon hik\u00e2yesini ikinci kez test edecek ve oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 per\u015fembeye kadar uzatabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kritik \u0130\u015flem Seviyeleri<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<!-- TradingView Widget BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"tradingview-widget-container\">\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-container__widget\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"tradingview-widget-copyright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/symbols\/PEPPERSTONE-USDX\/\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><span class=\"blue-text\">USDX chart<\/span><\/a><span class=\"trademark\">&nbsp;by TradingView<\/span><\/div>\n  <script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/s3.tradingview.com\/external-embedding\/embed-widget-advanced-chart.js\" async>\n  {\n  \"allow_symbol_change\": true,\n  \"calendar\": false,\n  \"details\": false,\n  \"hide_side_toolbar\": true,\n  \"hide_top_toolbar\": false,\n  \"hide_legend\": false,\n  \"hide_volume\": false,\n  \"hotlist\": false,\n  \"interval\": \"D\",\n  \"locale\": \"en\",\n  \"save_image\": true,\n  \"style\": \"1\",\n  \"symbol\": \"PEPPERSTONE:USDX\",\n  \"theme\": \"dark\",\n  \"timezone\": \"Etc\/UTC\",\n  \"backgroundColor\": \"#0F0F0F\",\n  \"gridColor\": \"rgba(242, 242, 242, 0.2)\",\n  \"watchlist\": [],\n  \"withdateranges\": false,\n  \"compareSymbols\": [],\n  \"support_host\": \"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\",\n  \"studies\": [],\n  \"width\": 900,\n  \"height\": 500\n}\n  <\/script>\n<\/div>\n<!-- TradingView Widget END -->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Seviye<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">T\u00fcr<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u00d6nemi<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102.37<\/td><td>Diren\u00e7<\/td><td>Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fclen 18 ay\u0131n zirvesi<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>102<\/td><td>Pivot \/ psikolojik<\/td><td>\u00d6nemli \u201cyuvarlak\u201d seviye; yeniden \u00fczerine yerle\u015fmesi al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 destekler<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101.99<\/td><td>G\u00fcn i\u00e7i diren\u00e7<\/td><td>Seans\u0131n en y\u00fckse\u011fi<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>101.86<\/td><td>G\u00fcn i\u00e7i destek<\/td><td>Seans\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u011f\u00fc<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yukar\u0131da en kritik seviye, pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fclen 18 ay\u0131n zirvesi <strong>102,37<\/strong>. Dolar geri \u00e7ekilmeden \u00f6nce bu tavan\u0131 a\u015famad\u0131. Bu b\u00f6lgeye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fte sat\u0131\u015fla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131 olas\u0131. \u00dczerinde net bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f ise yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeye i\u015faret eder. Hemen alt\u0131nda <strong>102,00<\/strong> pivot (k\u0131sa vadede y\u00f6n\u00fc belirlemeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 e\u015fik) olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. DXY \u015fu an <strong>101,9<\/strong> civar\u0131ndayken 102,00\u2019nin yeniden kazan\u0131l\u0131p korunmas\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n kontrol\u00fc ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir; burada tekrarlanan reddedilmeler (yukar\u0131 ge\u00e7ememe) ise a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n riskini art\u0131r\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>101,99<\/strong> seans\u0131n en y\u00fckse\u011fi ve ilk diren\u00e7. Band\u0131n alt taraf\u0131nda <strong>101,86<\/strong> seans\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve en yak\u0131n destek. Bu deste\u011fin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 (alt\u0131na sark\u0131p kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k) daha derin bir geri \u00e7ekilmeyi g\u00fcndeme getirebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Y\u00fckseli\u015f ve D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Senaryolar\u0131<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/img_6acf0697307af.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Senaryo<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Tetikleyici<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Teyit<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Y\u00fckseli\u015f<\/td><td>T\u00dcFE\u2019nin y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,6 veya \u00fczerinde gelmesi; tahvil faizlerini y\u00fckseltmesi ve Fed\u2019in \u201c\u015fahin\u201d alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesi (\u015fahin: enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizi y\u00fcksek tutma\/ art\u0131rma e\u011filimi)<\/td><td>DXY\u2019nin 102,00 \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p burada tutunmas\u0131 ve 102,37\u2019ye y\u00f6nelmesi; 102,37 \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015f yeni \u00e7ok ayl\u0131k zirvelerin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7ar<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f<\/td><td>T\u00dcFE\u2019nin y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,6\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda gelmesi; tahvil faizlerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesi ve Fed\u2019in \u015fahin kalaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini zay\u0131flatmas\u0131<\/td><td>DXY\u2019nin 101,86\u2019n\u0131n (seans dibi) alt\u0131na inip burada kalmas\u0131; sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n derinle\u015fmesi. Alt\u0131n ve EURUSD\u2019nin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi olas\u0131<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosunun g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi i\u00e7in endeksin <strong>102,00<\/strong> seviyesini yeniden kazanmas\u0131 ve <strong>102,37<\/strong> seviyesini tekrar test etmesi gerekir. 102,37 \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015f, yeni \u00e7ok ayl\u0131k zirvelerin yolunu a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosunda DXY, <strong>101,86 seans dibi<\/strong> alt\u0131na sarkar ve sat\u0131c\u0131lar daha derin geri \u00e7ekilmeleri hedefler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Sorumluluk Reddi<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Yukar\u0131daki fiyat seviyeleri ve piyasa senaryolar\u0131, yaz\u0131m an\u0131ndaki de\u011ferlendirmeyi yans\u0131t\u0131r. Yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi de\u011fildir ve VT Markets\u2019in resmi \u00f6nerisi olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmemelidir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar kendi analizlerini yapmal\u0131 ve risk y\u00f6netimine (zarar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlama, pozisyon boyutu belirleme) dikkat etmelidir.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">DXY Tahmini: Piyasay\u0131 Ne S\u00fcr\u00fckler?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">K\u0131sa vadede en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc belirleyici ABD enflasyon verileri. Eyl\u00fcl T\u00dcFE\u2019nin y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,6 veya \u00fczerinde gelmesi, Fed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015funu destekler; ABD tahvil faizlerini yukar\u0131 iter ve dolara talep yarat\u0131r. DXY, getiriler aras\u0131ndaki farka (yield differentials: ABD tahvil faizi ile di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomilerin faizleri aras\u0131ndaki fark) duyarl\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in ABD faizlerinin di\u011ferlerine g\u00f6re y\u00fckselmesi endeksi destekler. \u00dcFE de ikinci bir enflasyon okumas\u0131 sundu\u011fundan, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u00dcFE verisi hareketi uzatabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskte ise daha zay\u0131f bir T\u00dcFE, faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini azalt\u0131r, tahvil faizlerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7eker ve dolarda yeni sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 tetikleyebilir. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f de dolar\u0131 bask\u0131layabilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enerji maliyetleri enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131r ve Fed\u2019in sert kalma gerek\u00e7esini zay\u0131flat\u0131r. Fed yetkililerinin s\u00f6ylemindeki de\u011fi\u015fim de benzer etki yapabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">ABD verilerinin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda dolar, endeksin i\u00e7indeki para birimlerinin g\u00fcc\u00fcne de tepki verir. Sepette en b\u00fcy\u00fck pay euroda oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in Euro B\u00f6lgesi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn iyile\u015fmesi veya Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n daha \u015fahin \u00e7izgiye gelmesi DXY\u2019yi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir. Euro ya da yenin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ise endeksi yukar\u0131 itme e\u011filimindedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">VT Markets ile DXY \u0130\u015flemi<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">VT Markets ile yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, d\u00f6viz \u00e7iftlerinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra d\u00f6viz CFD\u2019lerine (CFD: varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n kendisini almadan fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimine dayal\u0131 i\u015flem) eri\u015febilir; ayr\u0131ca alt\u0131n, petrol, endeks, hisse, ETF (borsada i\u015flem g\u00f6ren fon) ve di\u011fer k\u00fcresel CFD piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 tek platformdan takip edebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bu sayede yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, dolar\u0131n genel hareketini izlerken USDJPY, EURUSD, XAUUSD (alt\u0131n\/dolar) ve enerji piyasalar\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmeleri birlikte kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">VT Markets\u2019in grafik ara\u00e7lar\u0131yla destek, diren\u00e7, hareketli ortalamalar (moving averages: fiyat\u0131n belirli g\u00fcn ortalamas\u0131yla trendi yumu\u015fat\u0131p g\u00f6steren g\u00f6sterge) ve k\u0131r\u0131lma davran\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 (breakout: fiyat\u0131n belirli seviyenin \u00fczerine\/alt\u0131na ge\u00e7ip kal\u0131c\u0131 olmas\u0131) izleyebilirsiniz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>SSS<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) nedir?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">DXY, dolar\u0131n de\u011ferini euro, yen ve sterlin gibi ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerinden olu\u015fan bir sepete kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>T\u00dcFE dolar\u0131 neden etkiler?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">T\u00dcFE, fiyatlar\u0131n ne h\u0131zla artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir. Enflasyon y\u00fckselirse Fed\u2019in para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 tutma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 artar; bu da tahvil faizlerini y\u00fckseltir ve genellikle dolar\u0131 destekler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>T\u00dcFE y\u00fcksek gelirse alt\u0131n ne olur?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dolar ve tahvil faizleri y\u00fckseldi\u011finde alt\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu zaman bask\u0131lan\u0131r; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerinde ise toparlanma e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>En \u00e7ok hangi pariteler etkilenir?<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EURUSD ve USDJPY en do\u011frudan tepki verir. Alt\u0131n da dolar ve faizdeki de\u011fi\u015fimlere duyarl\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n<\/details>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/trade-now\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>G\u00f6zler ABD T\u00dcFE\u2019de: DXY 102 civar\u0131nda, 18 ay zirvesi 102,37\u2019den geri \u00e7ekildi. Enflasyon %3,6 \u00fcst\u00fc dolar\/faizi y\u00fckseltebilir; alt\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f getirebilir. Kritik seviyeler: 102,00 ve 101,86.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69685,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69686","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"G\u00f6zler ABD T\u00dcFE\u2019de: DXY 102 civar\u0131nda, 18 ay zirvesi 102,37\u2019den geri \u00e7ekildi. Enflasyon %3,6 \u00fcst\u00fc dolar\/faizi y\u00fckseltebilir; alt\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f getirebilir. 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