{"id":69656,"date":"2026-10-14T03:52:08","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T03:52:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/dollar-index-tops-102-50-as-oil-lifts-greenback-leaving-gold-braced-for-sell-off\/"},"modified":"2026-10-14T03:52:08","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T03:52:08","slug":"dollar-index-tops-102-50-as-oil-lifts-greenback-leaving-gold-braced-for-sell-off","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/dollar-index-tops-102-50-as-oil-lifts-greenback-leaving-gold-braced-for-sell-off\/","title":{"rendered":"Petrol\u00fcn dolar\u0131 desteklemesiyle Dolar Endeksi 102,50\u2019nin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; alt\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 tetikte"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) pazartesi 102,59\u2019a y\u00fckselerek Nisan 2025\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve 5, 7 ve 8 Ekim\u2019de izlenen 102,50 tavan\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; ancak petrol ve tahvil getirilerindeki geri \u00e7ekilmeyle birlikte yakla\u015f\u0131k 102,35\u2019e gev\u015fedi. Alt\u0131n ise ters y\u00f6nde hareket ederek 25,70 dolar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 4.190,60 dolardan kapan\u0131rken, bu sabah 4.210 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; dolar yeni zirvesinde olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen alt\u0131n 7 Ekim kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n h\u00e2l\u00e2 yakla\u015f\u0131k 50 dolar \u00fczerinde. G\u00fcn i\u00e7inde ola\u011fan ili\u015fki ge\u00e7erliydi: dolar %0,37 y\u00fckselirken petrol %2 artt\u0131, alt\u0131n ise %0,61 geriledi. Daha geni\u015f \u00f6l\u00e7ekli ayr\u0131\u015fma, petrol kaynakl\u0131 d\u00f6viz ak\u0131mlar\u0131na ba\u011flan\u0131yor; endeksin %71\u2019ini euro ve yen olu\u015fturuyor. Euro 1,1158 dolar civar\u0131ndayd\u0131 ve \u0130ran Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n iki g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc bir s\u00fcpertankeri ate\u015fe verdi\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n\n

Alt\u0131n\u0131n diren\u00e7li g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, d\u00f6rt y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fckse\u011fine \u00e7\u0131kan alt\u0131n destekli ETF giri\u015fleri ve tamamlanan bir omuz-ba\u015f-omuz formasyonu sonras\u0131 teknik konumlanmayla da ili\u015fkilendiriliyor. Fed fiyatlamas\u0131 ise daha istikrarl\u0131; aral\u0131k ay\u0131 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %85\u2019e yak\u0131n seyrediyor. Yap\u0131lan kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma eyl\u00fcl sonuna i\u015faret ediyor: DXY, 14\u201324 Eyl\u00fcl aras\u0131nda 99,5\u2019in alt\u0131ndan 101,09\u2019a t\u0131rman\u0131rken alt\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 4.300\u20134.440 dolar band\u0131nda tutunmu\u015f, buna kar\u015f\u0131n 28 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de dolar yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,1 y\u00fckselmi\u015f olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen alt\u0131n bir g\u00fcnde 152,80 dolar d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Alt\u0131n 30 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de 4.251 dolar\u0131n, 2 Ekim\u2019de ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 4.239 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmaya devam ediyor. Daha uzun vadeli bir paralelde ise ETF varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n Aral\u0131k 2012\u2019de 2.632 tona y\u00fckselmesi ve 2013\u2019te yakla\u015f\u0131k 800 tonluk net \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ya\u015fanmas\u0131; fiyat\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 1.800 dolardan 1.200 dolara gerilemesiyle ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neme denk geliyor.<\/p>\n\n

K\u0131ymetli Metallerde Sert Bir Sat\u0131\u015fa Konumlanma<\/h3>\n\n

Alt\u0131n\u0131n mevcut fiyat dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00fcvenmek yerine, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda k\u0131ymetli metallerde sert bir sat\u0131\u015fa kar\u015f\u0131 konumlanmal\u0131y\u0131z. ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin 102,50 \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, alt\u0131n\u0131n 4.210 dolar civar\u0131nda seyretmesinin yaln\u0131zca ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc geciktirdi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ge\u00e7ici tepki y\u00fckseli\u015flerini, alt\u0131n, g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f ve madencilik hisselerinde ay\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc t\u00fcrev stratejileri veya sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in kullanmal\u0131.<\/p>\n\n

Enerji maliyetlerindeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca rakip para birimlerini zay\u0131flatmas\u0131yla dolar\u0131n 105 seviyesine do\u011fru y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesini bekliyoruz. Piyasa istatistikleri, faiz beklentilerinin kilitli kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131; aral\u0131k toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n %85 civar\u0131nda seyretti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. D\u00f6viz ak\u0131mlar\u0131 eninde sonunda alt\u0131n\u0131 uyumlanmaya zorlayaca\u011f\u0131ndan, korunmas\u0131z uzun pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131mak y\u00fcksek risk bar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n

G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, Madenciler ve Ters G\u00f6sterge ETF Ak\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n \u0130\u015faret Etti\u011fi Riskler<\/h3>\n\n

G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f ve madencilik hisselerini yak\u0131ndan izlememiz gerekiyor; zira \u015fimdiden daha derin bir sorun riskine i\u015faret ediyorlar. G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f son tepki y\u00fckseli\u015flerini geri verdi ve madenciler son seanslarda fiziksel alt\u0131na k\u0131yasla \u00fc\u00e7 kat daha h\u0131zl\u0131 geriledi; bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, eyl\u00fcl sonunda alt\u0131n\u0131n bir g\u00fcnde 152 dolarl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden \u00f6nce g\u00f6r\u00fclen davran\u0131\u015f\u0131n ayn\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 taklit ediyor. \u0130li\u015fkili varl\u0131klardan gelen bu teyit eksikli\u011fi, k\u0131sa tarafa e\u011filim almay\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destekliyor.<\/p>\n\n

Alt\u0131n ETF giri\u015flerindeki son d\u00f6rt y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesini, uzun pozisyonda kalma gerek\u00e7esinden ziyade klasik bir ters g\u00f6sterge (contrarian) sinyali olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. 2012 verileri, alt\u0131n ETF varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n 2.632 tonla rekor seviyeye ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131; ard\u0131ndan 800 tonluk tasfiyenin 2013\u2019te fiyat\u0131 1.200 dolara kadar iten %33\u2019l\u00fck \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc besledi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu h\u0131zl\u0131 para (fast-money) ETF al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131, man\u015fet etkisi zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz \u015fekilde \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fa ge\u00e7ti\u011finde, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131yan t\u00fcrev i\u015flemcilerinin en fazla fayda sa\u011flamas\u0131 beklenir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

DXY 102,59 ile zirve tazeleyip 102,35\u2019e inse de g\u00fc\u00e7lenme s\u00fcr\u00fcyor; alt\u0131n 4.210\u2019da diren\u00e7li. ETF giri\u015fleri ters sinyal; g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f-madenciler zay\u0131f. Strateji: k\u0131ymetli metallerde sert sat\u0131\u015fa haz\u0131rlan\u0131n. DXY 105 hedefleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69655,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69656","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t