{"id":69564,"date":"2026-10-12T10:51:46","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T10:51:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/gold-eases-from-week-high-as-hawkish-fed-lifts-dollar-middle-east-tensions-linger\/"},"modified":"2026-10-12T10:51:46","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T10:51:46","slug":"gold-eases-from-week-high-as-hawkish-fed-lifts-dollar-middle-east-tensions-linger","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gold-eases-from-week-high-as-hawkish-fed-lifts-dollar-middle-east-tensions-linger\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n, \u015fahin Fed\u2019in dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesi ve Orta Do\u011fu gerginliklerinin s\u00fcrmesiyle haftal\u0131k zirveden geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Fed\u2019in \u015fahin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ve s\u00fcregelen ABD-\u0130ran gerilimiyle yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanmas\u0131yla erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde bir haftan\u0131n zirvesinden geri \u00e7ekilerek 4.180 dolar civar\u0131nda g\u00fcn i\u00e7i yeni dip seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki geri \u00e7ekilme, k\u00fcresel tahvil sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 kesti; ancak Dolar\u2019daki genel al\u0131m i\u015ftah\u0131, ABD b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin g\u00f6rece \u00fcst\u00fcn performans\u0131 ve ABD varl\u0131klar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik yabanc\u0131 talep taraf\u0131ndan desteklenmeye devam etti. Faiz beklentileri de\u011fi\u015fti: piyasalar ge\u00e7 Ekim\u2019de olas\u0131 bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde fiyatlamadan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rken, Aral\u0131k\u2019ta 25 baz puanl\u0131k bir ad\u0131m olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 tart\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Eyl\u00fcl FOMC tutanaklar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu g\u00fcndemin merkezinde tutmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, FedWatch g\u00f6stergesi y\u0131l sonuna kadar daha s\u0131k\u0131 politika olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %85 seviyesinde g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n

Jeopolitik risk primi, Yemen\u2019de \u0130ran destekli Husilerin balistik ve seyir f\u00fczeleri ile dronlar\u0131 kullanarak Riyad\u2019daki Kral Halid Uluslararas\u0131 Havaliman\u0131\u2019n\u0131 hedef almas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 korudu. Bu sald\u0131r\u0131 Suudi Arabistan\u2019dan misilleme taahh\u00fcd\u00fcn\u00fc getirirken, ABD\u2019den de \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131 tehditleri ve yeniden aksiyon mesajlar\u0131 geldi. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ABD enflasyon verilerini izliyor: \u00dcFE (PPI) \u00c7ar\u015famba, T\u00dcFE (CPI) ise Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh\u2019\u0131n da Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Bangkok\u2019ta d\u00fczenlenen IMF ve D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 y\u0131ll\u0131k toplant\u0131lar\u0131nda konu\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Teknik tarafta fiyat, d\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte %23,6 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesi ve 100 periyotluk SMA yak\u0131n\u0131nda bask\u0131lan\u0131yor; RSI 63,9 seviyesinde ve MACD h\u00e2l\u00e2 pozitif. Diren\u00e7 4.215-4.220 dolar band\u0131nda, ard\u0131ndan 4.303 ve 4.378 dolar seviyelerinde bulunuyor. Destek ise 4.100 ve 4.063 dolar seviyelerinde izlenirken, bu taban\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 h\u00e2linde 4.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkma riski g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/p>\n\n

\u0130\u015flem G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ve Pozisyon Y\u00f6netimi<\/h3>\n\n

T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki kal\u0131c\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeye kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge) uygularken alt\u0131nda temkinli \u201cy\u00fckseli\u015flerde sat\u0131\u015f\u201d yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD ekonomik performans\u0131 ve devam eden yabanc\u0131 sermaye giri\u015fleri Dolar\u2019\u0131 sa\u011flam destekli tutarak, getiri sa\u011flamayan k\u0131ymetli metal \u00fczerinde s\u00fcrekli bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Tarihsel olarak, bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerinin y\u00fcksek seyretti\u011fi d\u00f6nemler alt\u0131n\u0131n uzun soluklu y\u00fckseli\u015fleri koruma kapasitesini ciddi \u015fekilde s\u0131n\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n\n

Yakla\u015fan ABD T\u00dcFE ve \u00dcFE verileri \u00f6ncesinde pozisyon b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fcklerinin ge\u00e7ici olarak azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 veya zarar-kes seviyelerinin s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 uygun olabilir. Vadeli i\u015flemler piyasas\u0131, y\u0131l sonuna kadar 25 baz puanl\u0131k Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u015fu anda %85 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor; bu da beklentiden s\u0131cak gelecek enflasyon verilerinin sert bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmeyi tetikleyebilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor. Ge\u00e7mi\u015f parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma d\u00f6ng\u00fclerinde, beklenti \u00fcst\u00fc enflasyon s\u00fcrprizleri k\u0131ymetli maden kontratlar\u0131nda g\u00fcn i\u00e7i %1 ila %2\u2019lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri s\u0131k\u00e7a tetiklemi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n

Jeopolitik Geli\u015fmeler ve \u0130zlenecek Taktik Seviyeler<\/h3>\n\n

Bununla birlikte, k\u0131sa pozisyon kurgular\u0131n\u0131 aniden bozabilecek ve g\u00fcvenli liman talebini tetikleyebilecek Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 jeopolitik risk art\u0131\u015f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 da tetikte kalmak gerekiyor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 gibi kritik petrol ge\u00e7i\u015f g\u00fczerg\u00e2hlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin yenilenen tehditler, genellikle enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda h\u0131zl\u0131 s\u0131\u00e7ramalara ve daha geni\u015f piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131na yol a\u00e7ar. Tarihsel olarak, tedarik zinciri kaynakl\u0131 ani t\u0131rman\u0131\u015flar emtia opsiyon piyasalar\u0131nda h\u0131zl\u0131 \u201cshort kapama\u201d rallilerini zorlayarak agresif ay\u0131lar\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131ks\u0131z yakalam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n

Taktik olarak, net y\u00f6n sinyalleri i\u00e7in 4.215 ile 4.220 dolar aras\u0131ndaki kritik diren\u00e7 tavan\u0131n\u0131n izlenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu b\u00f6lgenin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir hareket, 4.303 dolara do\u011fru d\u00fczeltme niteli\u011finde bir y\u00fckseli\u015fi tetikleyebilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, ilk destek olan 4.100 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkma, 4.000 dolar seviyesinin alt\u0131na do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmenin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7ar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131nda kritik viraj: Dolar\u0131n \u015fahin Fed deste\u011fiyle XAU\/USD 4.180\u2019e geriledi. G\u00f6zler T\u00dcFE\/\u00dcFE\u2019de; y\u0131l sonu faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %85. 4.215-4.220 diren\u00e7, 4.100 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 4.000 alt\u0131 g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69563,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69564","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t