WTI, iki seansl\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan geriledi ve Asya saatlerinde varil ba\u015f\u0131na 90,00 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki yeni riskleri tartt\u0131. Riyad\u2019daki Kral Halid Uluslararas\u0131 Havaliman\u0131 pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc yeniden vuruldu; bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nceki sald\u0131r\u0131da 12 ki\u015fi hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetmi\u015f, 300\u2019den fazla ki\u015fi yaralanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 ise Yemen\u2019de \u0130ran destekli Husilere kar\u015f\u0131 misilleme eylemine Suudi Arabistan\u2019la birlikte kat\u0131lmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ayr\u0131 olarak, Umman a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131nda H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n hemen d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, Sohar demirleme sahas\u0131 yak\u0131nlar\u0131nda bir petrol tankerine \u0130HA sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 d\u00fczenlendi. Bu geli\u015fme, Basra K\u00f6rfezi\u2019nden ham petrol ihracat\u0131n\u0131n iyile\u015fti\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki de\u011ferlendirmelere ra\u011fmen, b\u00f6lgesel arz endi\u015felerini art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n
Jeopolitik cephede ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131, ayr\u0131nt\u0131 vermeden Rusya ve Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n bir \u201cenerji ate\u015fkesi\u201d \u00fczerinde anla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Ukrayna Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 ise b\u00f6yle bir paktan haberi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ancak Moskova\u2019n\u0131n kabul etmesi halinde kendisinin de kabul edece\u011fini belirtti. ABD Enerji Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, Kas\u0131rga Isaias\u2019\u0131n yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 kesintileri telafi etmek amac\u0131yla stratejik rezervlerden azami 4 milyon varile kadar ham petrol i\u00e7in acil takas i\u015flemini onaylad\u0131. Piyasa pozisyonlanmas\u0131nda TD Securities, sistematik ak\u0131mlar\u0131n dalgal\u0131 seyretti\u011fini; emtia i\u015flem dan\u0131\u015fmanlar\u0131n\u0131n (CTA) WTI\u2019da \u201cters y\u00f6ne savruldu\u011funu\u201d ve 90 dolar\/varil b\u00f6lgesinin kritik bir seviye olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Metin ayr\u0131ca WTI\u2019\u0131n g\u00f6sterge niteli\u011fini, OPEC ve OPEC+\u2019\u0131n etkisini ve API ile EIA\u2019dan gelen stok sinyallerini yineledi; bu iki kurumun sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n zaman\u0131n %75\u2019inde birbirinden %1 i\u00e7inde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n\n
WTI ham petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn kritik 90,00 dolar\/varil e\u015fi\u011fi etraf\u0131nda dalgaland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu d\u00f6nemde, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede artan oynakl\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Sistematik trend takip\u00e7ileri ve otomatik fonlar bu g\u00f6sterge seviyede h\u0131zl\u0131 pozisyon de\u011fi\u015fimleri tetikledi\u011finden, fiyat hareketleri her iki y\u00f6nde de h\u0131zla \u015fiddetlenebilir. Bu ani sistematik \u201cwhipsaw\u201d hareketlerine kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in, t\u00fcrev pozisyonlar\u0131n tamam\u0131nda kat\u0131 stop-loss emirleri dahil disiplinli risk parametreleri kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki b\u00f6lgesel arz riskleri yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki son \u0130HA sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 ve Riyad havaliman\u0131na y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar, kritik deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 koridorlar\u0131n\u0131 tehdit ediyor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n tarihsel olarak k\u00fcresel petrol s\u0131v\u0131lar\u0131 t\u00fcketiminin yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sinin ge\u00e7i\u015fine arac\u0131l\u0131k etti\u011fi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ABD-Suudi ortak bir askeri ad\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n Husilere kar\u015f\u0131 at\u0131lmas\u0131 vadeli piyasalara h\u0131zla bir risk primi ekleyebilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, Basra K\u00f6rfezi\u2019ndeki beklenmedik arz kesintilerinin yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi ani fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (call) veya dinamik hedge stratejilerini de\u011ferlendirmelidir.<\/p>\n\n
Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc API raporlar\u0131 ile \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc EIA verilerinin zaman\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %75\u2019inde birbirinden %1 i\u00e7inde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ger\u00e7e\u011finden yararlanarak, haftal\u0131k stok verilerine s\u0131k\u0131 \u015fekilde odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. ABD Enerji Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n stratejik rezervlerden azami 4 milyon varile kadar acil takas karar\u0131 kas\u0131rga kaynakl\u0131 kesintilere kar\u015f\u0131 ge\u00e7ici bir tampon sunarken, tarihsel olarak SPR (Stratejik Petrol Rezervi) sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n tek ba\u015f\u0131na uzun vadeli piyasa y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc nadiren de\u011fi\u015ftirdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. T\u00fcrev piyasa yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, mevcut seviyelerde ham petrol\u00fc destekleyecek nihai kullan\u0131c\u0131 talebinin ger\u00e7ekten var olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frulamak i\u00e7in stok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerinde resmi EIA teyidini beklemelidir.<\/p>\n\n
Rusya-Ukrayna aras\u0131nda olas\u0131 enerji ate\u015fkesi gibi do\u011frulanmam\u0131\u015f diplomatik man\u015fetlere kar\u015f\u0131 da temkinli olunmal\u0131; bu t\u00fcr haberler s\u0131kl\u0131kla ge\u00e7ici sat\u0131\u015f dalgalar\u0131n\u0131 tetikler. Tarihsel olarak, OPEC+ gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck arz kartelleri k\u00fcresel dengeyi s\u0131k\u0131 tutmak i\u00e7in \u00fcretim kotalar\u0131n\u0131 kararl\u0131l\u0131kla uygulamay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrse, man\u015fet kaynakl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmeler k\u0131sa \u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc olur. K\u0131sa vadeli opsiyon stratejilerinde esnekli\u011fin korunmas\u0131, s\u00f6ylenti odakl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri y\u00f6netirken k\u00fcresel petrol arz\u0131ndaki daha geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 yap\u0131sal s\u0131k\u0131l\u0131\u011fa y\u00f6nelik pozisyonu kaybetmemeyi sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petrolde tansiyon y\u00fckseliyor: WTI 90 dolar \u00e7evresinde geri \u00e7ekildi. Riyad ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki \u0130HA sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 arz endi\u015fesini b\u00fcy\u00fctt\u00fc. ABD-Suudi misillemesi, SPR takas\u0131 ve belirsiz enerji ate\u015fkesi oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69542,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69543","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t