Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), daha yumu\u015fak bir ABD Dolar\u0131 ve ABD Hazine tahvil getirilerindeki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmenin talebi desteklemesiyle Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseldi. Parite, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc 4.066 dolardaki iki ayl\u0131k dip seviyeden Avrupa\u2019da 4.200 dolar\u0131n hemen \u00fczerindeki g\u00fcn i\u00e7i zirvelere t\u0131rmand\u0131ktan sonra 4.183 dolar b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru gev\u015fedi; son olarak 4.187,01 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Getiriler, ABD 30 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil ihalesinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc talebin ard\u0131ndan Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc geriledi; bu durum getiri e\u011frisinin yatayla\u015fmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olurken Dolar \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratan \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir risk i\u015ftah\u0131 (risk-on) tonunu da destekledi.<\/p>\n\n
Di\u011fer tarafta Brent petrol varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131na katk\u0131 verdi ve daha s\u0131k\u0131 bor\u00e7lanma maliyetleri olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndemde tuttu. St. Louis Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Alberto Musalem, enflasyonun %2 hedefine geri d\u00f6nmesi i\u00e7in daha fazla para politikas\u0131 ad\u0131m\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 duyulaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi; bu arka plan, Dolar\u2019daki ilave d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan alt\u0131n, A\u011fustos zirvelerinden gelen ve yeniden kazan\u0131lm\u0131\u015f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi direncinin \u00fczerinde tutunuyor, ancak 4.200 dolar tavan\u0131n\u0131 test etmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; momentum g\u00f6stergeleri g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olup 4 saatlik RSI (14) 60\u2019a yak\u0131n seyrederken MACD pozitif b\u00f6lgede. Diren\u00e7 4.190\u20134.240 dolar band\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, k\u0131r\u0131lma halinde 4.300 dolar g\u00fcndeme gelebilir; destek ise 4.170 dolar civar\u0131nda, ard\u0131ndan 4.070 ve 4.000 dolar seviyelerinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara, alt\u0131n\u0131n iki ayl\u0131k dip seviyesi olan 4.066 dolardan kritik 4.200 dolar diren\u00e7 seviyesine do\u011fru toparlanmas\u0131yla birlikte artan oynakl\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmalar\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz. Bu toparlanma, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki zay\u0131flama ve 30 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil ihalesinin olduk\u00e7a ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 ge\u00e7mesinin ard\u0131ndan tahvil getirilerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften g\u00fc\u00e7 al\u0131yor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde de\u011ferli metalin bu yak\u0131n bariyerin \u00fczerinde sa\u011flam bir tutunma sa\u011flay\u0131p sa\u011flayamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlemeliyiz.<\/p>\n\n
Y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131 piyasa g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc karma\u015f\u0131kla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor; Brent petrol varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalarak k\u00fcresel enflasyonu y\u00fcksek tutuyor. Bu kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon, Federal Reserve politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 %2 hedefe ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in ilave parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n h\u00e2l\u00e2 gerekli olabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde uyarmaya itti. Son birka\u00e7 y\u0131lda merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131lda 1.000 metrik tonun \u00fczerinde alt\u0131n al\u0131m\u0131 yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, bu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yap\u0131sal talebin y\u00fcksek faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131 r\u00fczg\u00e2rlarla \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Teknik tarafta momentum al\u0131c\u0131lardan yana; 4 saatlik G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 60\u2019a yak\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 4.240 dolar diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesinin \u00fczerinde net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ve teyit g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi, 4.300 dolar seviyesine do\u011fru bir hareketin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7abilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar opsiyonlar veya kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131 kontratlar gibi uzun (long) a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 t\u00fcrev stratejiler kullanarak bu potansiyel yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n\n
Bununla birlikte, merkez bankalar\u0131ndan \u015fahin tonda a\u00e7\u0131klamalar gelmesi halinde ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n aniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklere de haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmal\u0131y\u0131z. 4.170 dolar destek seviyesinin korunamamas\u0131, fiyatlar\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde iki ayl\u0131k dip olan 4.070 dolara do\u011fru geri itebilir. Bu riskleri azaltmak i\u00e7in, bu kritik yap\u0131sal desteklerin hemen alt\u0131na disiplinli zarar-kes (stop-loss) emirleri yerle\u015ftirilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Alt\u0131nda kritik e\u015fik: 4.200 dolar! Zay\u0131f Dolar ve gerileyen tahvil getirileri fiyat\u0131 desteklerken, Brent\u2019in 100 dolar \u00fcst\u00fc ve Fed\u2019in \u015fahin mesajlar\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor; 4.170 destek izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69438,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69439","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t