{"id":69431,"date":"2026-10-12T01:51:24","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T01:51:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/canada-jobs-report-in-focus-as-us-tariffs-bite-boc-holds-and-usd-cad-hovers-near-1-42\/"},"modified":"2026-10-12T01:51:24","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T01:51:24","slug":"canada-jobs-report-in-focus-as-us-tariffs-bite-boc-holds-and-usd-cad-hovers-near-1-42","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/canada-jobs-report-in-focus-as-us-tariffs-bite-boc-holds-and-usd-cad-hovers-near-1-42\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD tarifelerinin etkisi s\u00fcrerken Kanada istihdam verileri odakta; BoC faizleri sabit tutuyor, USD\/CAD 1,42 civar\u0131nda seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Statistics Canada, 22 A\u011fustos\u2019ta y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe giren yeni ABD tarifelerini tamamen yans\u0131tan ilk rapor olacak Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc Anketi\u2019ni Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 12:30 GMT\u2019de yay\u0131mlayacak. Piyasalar, A\u011fustos\u2019taki 41,7 binlik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir toparlanma bekliyor; konsens\u00fcs yakla\u015f\u0131k 7 bin istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131na i\u015faret ederken i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %6,4\u2019ten %6,5\u2019e hafif y\u00fckselmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ortalama saatlik \u00fccretler A\u011fustos\u2019ta y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %2 artt\u0131; bu oran Temmuz\u2019daki %3 ve Haziran\u2019daki %3,7 seviyelerinin alt\u0131nda. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda, at\u0131ll\u0131\u011fa dair i\u015faretler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan tam zamanl\u0131 istihdam ve i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fcne kat\u0131l\u0131m da yer alacak.<\/p>\n\n

Veri, Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoC) Ekim 2025\u2019ten bu yana de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi\u011fi %2,25 politika faizini korudu\u011fu ve man\u015fet T\u00dcFE\u2019nin A\u011fustos\u2019ta y\u0131ll\u0131k %3 ile %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde bulundu\u011fu bir d\u00f6neme denk geliyor. B\u00fcy\u00fck bir banka istihdam\u0131n 5 bin artmas\u0131n\u0131 ve i\u015fsizli\u011fin %6,4\u2019te sabit kalmas\u0131n\u0131 beklerken, bir di\u011feri de 5 bin art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor ancak i\u015fsizli\u011fi %6,5 tahmin ediyor. USD\/CAD 1,4200 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; 100 periyotluk SMA olan 1,4151\u2019in ve 200 periyotluk SMA olan 1,4003\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde, RSI ise 45 civar\u0131nda. Diren\u00e7 olarak 1,4232; ard\u0131ndan 1,4270 ve 1,4293 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, destek seviyeleri 1,4200 ve 1,4175\u2019in ard\u0131ndan 1,4100, 1,4025 ve 1,4003 olarak izleniyor.<\/p>\n\n

\u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc Verisi: Beklenen Volatilite ve \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri<\/h3>\n\n

Kanada istihdam verisinin a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131yla bug\u00fcn anl\u0131k volatiliteye haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olunmal\u0131. USD\/CAD 1,4200 yak\u0131n\u0131nda konsolide olurken, beklenen 7 binlik istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan sapma k\u0131sa vadede sert hareketleri tetikleyebilir. \u0130lk k\u0131r\u0131lmadan, y\u00f6n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z \u015fekilde faydalanmak i\u00e7in opsiyon al\u0131m\u0131 gibi volatilite bazl\u0131 t\u00fcrev stratejilerin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6nerilir.<\/p>\n\n

Veri, yeni ABD tarifelerinin istihdam\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti\u011fini teyit ederse Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n daha da zay\u0131flamas\u0131 beklenir. Bu senaryoda i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %6,5 veya \u00fczerine y\u00fckselmesi, USD\/CAD\u2019i 1,4232\u2019deki ilk direncin \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 1,4293 seviyesini hedefleyerek call opsiyon al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 ya da uzun pozisyon a\u00e7may\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n\n

Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, bug\u00fcnk\u00fc veride s\u00fcrpriz bir pozitif tablo, yap\u0131\u015fkan %3 enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in BoC\u2019nin 28 Ekim\u2019de faiz art\u0131rabilece\u011fine dair spek\u00fclasyonlar\u0131 canland\u0131rabilir. \u0130stihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 7 binin belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karsa USD\/CAD\u2019de 100 periyotluk hareketli ortalama olan 1,4151\u2019e do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilme hedefiyle k\u0131sa pozisyonlar g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. Bu durum, yerel ekonominin ticaret kaynakl\u0131 bask\u0131lar\u0131 beklenenden daha iyi (en az\u0131ndan ge\u00e7ici olarak) absorbe etti\u011fine i\u015faret eder.<\/p>\n\n

Tarifeler, \u00dccret Art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve Politika G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\n\n

Tarihsel olarak tarife anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131, gecikmeli fakat kal\u0131c\u0131 bir \u015fekilde Kanada\u2019n\u0131n ticareti ve istihdam\u0131 \u00fczerinde olumsuz etki yarat\u0131r. \u00d6rne\u011fin 2018\u2019deki tarife gerilimleri s\u0131ras\u0131nda ihracat b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ivme kaybederken Kanada Dolar\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k %6 de\u011fer kaybetmi\u015fti. Bu tarihsel e\u011filim, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda CAD\u2019de olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015flerin k\u0131sa \u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n

\u00dccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 da yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli; y\u0131ll\u0131k art\u0131\u015f A\u011fustos\u2019ta Haziran\u2019daki %3,7\u2019den %2\u2019ye geriledi. \u00dccretlerde ilave zay\u0131flama, enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek seyrine ra\u011fmen merkez bankas\u0131na faizi %2,25\u2019te tutmak i\u00e7in alan sa\u011flayabilir. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, 28 Ekim\u2019deki politika toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki iki haftay\u0131 pozisyon biriktirmek i\u00e7in kullanarak karar vericilerden temkinli bir duru\u015f beklentisini fiyatlayabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

G\u00f6zler Kanada\u2019da: Eyl\u00fcl istihdam\u0131, yeni ABD tarifelerinin ilk tam yans\u0131mas\u0131yla Cuma 12:30 GMT\u2019de geliyor. Piyasa +7 bin, i\u015fsizlik %6,5 bekliyor; s\u00fcrpriz USD\/CAD\u2019de 1,4232 k\u0131rd\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69430,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69431","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t