{"id":69427,"date":"2026-10-09T10:51:41","date_gmt":"2026-10-09T10:51:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/risk-appetite-firms-as-trump-downplays-iran-strike-risk-yields-ease-crude-slips-gold-rallies\/"},"modified":"2026-10-09T10:51:41","modified_gmt":"2026-10-09T10:51:41","slug":"risk-appetite-firms-as-trump-downplays-iran-strike-risk-yields-ease-crude-slips-gold-rallies","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/risk-appetite-firms-as-trump-downplays-iran-strike-risk-yields-ease-crude-slips-gold-rallies\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131 riskini k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcmsemesiyle risk i\u015ftah\u0131 y\u00fckseliyor; tahvil getirileri geriliyor, petrol d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor, alt\u0131n y\u00fckseliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n 3 Kas\u0131m ara se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a sald\u0131rmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemesinin ard\u0131ndan risk i\u015ftah\u0131 Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fcne daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc girerken, Michigan \u00dcniversitesi Ekim ay\u0131 T\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi de g\u00fcn\u00fcn ilerleyen saatlerinde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Trump ayr\u0131ca \u0130ran\u2019la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin verimli ge\u00e7ti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan \u201crekor varil say\u0131s\u0131nda\u201d petrol\u00fcn \u201cakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc; ancak bir gazete, Trump\u2019\u0131n yetkililere \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n yeniden alevlenmesine y\u00f6nelik se\u00e7enekler haz\u0131rlamalar\u0131 talimat\u0131n\u0131 verdi\u011fini bildirdi. Avrupa sabah i\u015flemlerinde ABD hisse endeksi vadeli kontratlar\u0131 %0,1 ile %0,6 aras\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi; WTI yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,5 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 90 dolar civar\u0131na gerilerken, Dolar Endeksi (DXY) Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kay\u0131plar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 102,00\u2019ye do\u011fru gev\u015fedi.<\/p>\n\n

Fed Y\u00f6netim Kurulu \u00dcyesi Christopher Waller, ilave politika faizi art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 oldu\u011funu, ancak art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n esnek kalabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Deutsche Bank, 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD tahvil getirisinin g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %5,35\u2019e kadar \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra g\u00fcn\u00fc 5,7 baz puan daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da, %5,23\u2019ten kapatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti ve Waller\u2019\u0131n art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n ard\u0131\u015f\u0131k toplant\u0131larda olmak zorunda olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemesinin ard\u0131ndan Fed fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131n bir miktar daha g\u00fcvercin tarafa kayd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ekledi. USD\/CAD, Kanada\u2019n\u0131n Eyl\u00fcl istihdam verisi \u00f6ncesinde 1,4200\u2019nin \u00fczerinde yatay seyretti; i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %6,4\u2019ten %6,5\u2019e y\u00fckselmesi bekleniyor. EUR\/USD 1,1200\u2019nin \u00fczerinde tutunurken, GBP\/USD 1,3200\u2019nin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131; alt\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %1,5 art\u0131\u015fla 4.200 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve USD\/JPY %0,3\u2019e yak\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fle 158,20\u2019nin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Japonya maliye bakan\u0131, DOGE tarz\u0131 bir harcama incelemesinin kamu fonlar\u0131 ve s\u00fcbvansiyonlarda on milyarlarca dolar\u0131 kapsayan denetimi geni\u015fletece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n

Enerji, Sabit Getirili Enstr\u00fcmanlar ve K\u0131ymetli Madenler G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\n\n

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) 90 dolar civar\u0131nda seyrederken, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ham petrol piyasas\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlemesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Kas\u0131m ara se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin ge\u00e7ici olarak durulmas\u0131 k\u0131sa vadede rahatlama sa\u011flasa da, tarihsel veriler jeopolitik \u201cmolalar\u0131n\u201d enerji t\u00fcrevlerinde s\u0131kl\u0131kla %8 ila %12\u2019lik sert hareketlerin \u00f6nc\u00fcs\u00fc oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Siyasi pencere kapand\u0131ktan sonra olu\u015fabilecek ani fiyat hareketlerini yakalamak i\u00e7in volatilite bazl\u0131 opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n

10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD tahvil getirisinin son zirvesi olan %5,35\u2019ten %5,23\u2019e \u00e7ekilmesiyle faiz vadeli i\u015flemleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan de\u011fi\u015fen bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Fed\u2019in i\u015faret etti\u011fi esneklik, ard\u0131\u015f\u0131k toplant\u0131lardaki agresif art\u0131\u015f temposunun yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor; bu da tarihsel olarak sabit getirili t\u00fcrevlerde k\u0131sa vadeli ralli e\u011filimini tetikliyor. Yakla\u015fan makro veriler bir sonraki politika ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00f6nlendirirken, daha yatay bir getiri e\u011frisi beklentisine g\u00f6re pozisyonlanma de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n\n

Alt\u0131n\u0131n 4.200 dolar seviyesine do\u011fru etkileyici y\u00fckseli\u015fi, ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir temel talebe i\u015faret ediyor. Tarihsel olarak, getirilerdeki geri \u00e7ekilmeye ra\u011fmen k\u0131ymetli metaller momentumunu korudu\u011funda bu, uzun vadeli enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 derin kurumsal hedge talebini yans\u0131t\u0131r. Se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 beklenmedik politika de\u011fi\u015fimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flemleri veya opsiyonlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden uzun pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 ihtiyatl\u0131 bir hedge y\u00f6ntemi olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n\n

D\u00f6viz Piyasas\u0131 Geli\u015fmeleri ve Stratejiler<\/h3>\n\n

D\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131nda, Kanada istihdam verisi \u00f6ncesinde 1,4200\u2019nin \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6ren USD\/CAD\u2019i yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz. Piyasa beklentileri i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %6,5 olaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde seyrederken, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir s\u00fcrpriz Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zla zay\u0131flatabilir ve pariteyi kritik diren\u00e7 seviyelerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Beklenen volatiliteyi y\u00f6netmek ad\u0131na CAD pozisyonlar\u0131nda savunmac\u0131 risk y\u00f6netimi uygulanmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n

Bu arada USD\/JPY paritesi, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n yeni harcama incelemesi giri\u015fimlerinin ard\u0131ndan 158,20\u2019nin \u00fczerinde ivme kazanmaya devam ediyor. Tarihsel olarak Japonya\u2019daki b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli mali yeniden yap\u0131lanmalar, piyasalar\u0131n maliyetli kamu taahh\u00fctlerinin finansman\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131yla yende sert oynakl\u0131k yarat\u0131r. 160,00 civar\u0131ndaki olas\u0131 kamu m\u00fcdahalesi b\u00f6lgelerine kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcksek teyakkuz korunarak, USD\/JPY\u2019de k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filiminin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Trump\u2019\u0131n \u201c\u0130ran\u2019a sald\u0131r\u0131 yok\u201d mesaj\u0131 risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131: ABD vadeliler y\u00fckseldi, petrol 90 dolara geriledi, DXY zay\u0131flad\u0131. Fed\/Waller tonu izlenirken alt\u0131n 4.200 dolarda, USD\/JPY 158 \u00fczerinde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69426,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69427","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t