Sterlin, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda 1,3200\u2019lerin orta band\u0131n\u0131n daha da alt\u0131na gerileyerek Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc toparlanman\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc geri verdi; bununla birlikte yakla\u015f\u0131k iki haftad\u0131r korunan bant i\u00e7inde kald\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi (FOMC) tutanaklar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde yeni pozisyon almaktan ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131rken; dolar, Orta Do\u011fu risklerinin artmas\u0131yla g\u00fc\u00e7lenen g\u00fcvenli liman talebi ve ABD Hazine tahvili getirilerini \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131k zirvelere yak\u0131n tutan k\u00fcresel tahvil sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesiyle destek buldu.<\/p>\n\n
Ge\u00e7en haftaki ABD verileri enflasyonda \u0131l\u0131mlamaya ve i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 so\u011fumaya i\u015faret etse de piyasalar y\u0131l sonuna kadar bir Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %85 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor; bu da tutanaklar\u0131 politika y\u00f6nlendirmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Jeopolitik cephede, Suudi Arabistan destekli Yemen h\u00fck\u00fcmet g\u00fc\u00e7leri Bab el-Mendeb Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresindeki K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz k\u0131y\u0131s\u0131nda stratejik noktalar\u0131 ele ge\u00e7irdiklerini duyururken, \u0130ran destekli Husiler Suudi Arabistan\u2019daki hedeflere\u2014Riyad\u2019daki bir Aramco rafinerisi dahil\u2014sald\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fczenlendi\u011fini bildirdi; ayr\u0131ca \u0130ran son bir haftada H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131 ve bu durum ham petrol\u00fcn Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir ayl\u0131k dip seviyenin \u00fczerinde tutunmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu. Ayr\u0131 olarak bir banka, GBP\/USD\u2019nin 1,3286\u2019y\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 1,3195\u20131,3245 band\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcrken, 1,3285\u2019in yeniden test edilebilece\u011fini; ancak 1,3315\u2019te diren\u00e7, 1,3240\u2019ta ve ard\u0131ndan 1,3220\u2019de destek g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirtti. Teknik tarafta da 100 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n 1,3300 civar\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu, 1,3180 alt\u0131n\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc tetikleyici olabilece\u011fi ve daha geni\u015f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn 1,3675\u2019ten itibaren izlendi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n\n
GBP\/USD paritesi daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ABD dolar\u0131 e\u015fli\u011finde 1,3200\u2019lerin orta band\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda dalgalan\u0131rken, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n temkinli hareket etmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, y\u0131l sonuna kadar ABD faizlerinde ayarlama olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n %85 seviyesinde fiyatlanmas\u0131 ve jeopolitik gerilimlerin g\u00fcvenli liman ak\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131yla peki\u015fiyor. Tahvil getirileri y\u00fcksek seyrini korurken, k\u0131sa vadede dolar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesini bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda, 1,3285 seviyesindeki yak\u0131n dirence ve 1,3315\u2019teki ana dirence yak\u0131ndan odaklanarak bant stratejilerinin kurulmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 tarafta kilit destek 1,3240 civar\u0131nda sa\u011flam kal\u0131rken, daha derin taban 1,3180 yak\u0131n\u0131nda olu\u015fuyor. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, net bir trend ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmadan \u00f6nce bu s\u0131k\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar i\u00e7inde korunma ara\u00e7lar\u0131 veya k\u0131sa vadeli k\u0131r\u0131lma stratejileriyle f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n\n
Ayr\u0131ca yakla\u015fan merkez bankas\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131 ve enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki aksakl\u0131klar\u0131n t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 olas\u0131 volatilite s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131na haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olunmal\u0131; bu unsurlar son d\u00f6nemde petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 itti. Tarihsel olarak Ekim ay\u0131 i\u015flemleri, maj\u00f6r paritelerde daha y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131\u011fa sahne olur; y\u00fcksek stresli jeopolitik d\u00f6nemlerde GBP\/USD i\u00e7in ortalama ayl\u0131k hareketler s\u0131kl\u0131kla %3,5\u2019i a\u015far. Riski azaltmak i\u00e7in, parite bu konsolidasyon evresinden kararl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde \u00e7\u0131kana kadar s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) limitleri uygulanmas\u0131n\u0131 ve pozisyon b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fcklerinin muhafazak\u00e2r tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin, Fed tutanaklar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f ve y\u00fckselen tahvil getirileriyle dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda 1,3200 alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi destekli dolar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc. Diren\u00e7 1,3315; destek 1,3180. Volatilite artabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69363,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69364","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t