{"id":69302,"date":"2026-10-07T06:54:33","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T06:54:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/gold-hovers-near-two-month-low-as-firmer-dollar-and-fed-minutes-loom\/"},"modified":"2026-10-07T06:54:33","modified_gmt":"2026-10-07T06:54:33","slug":"gold-hovers-near-two-month-low-as-firmer-dollar-and-fed-minutes-loom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gold-hovers-near-two-month-low-as-firmer-dollar-and-fed-minutes-loom\/","title":{"rendered":"G\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar ve Fed tutanaklar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde alt\u0131n iki ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine yak\u0131n seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde iki ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine yak\u0131n seyretti; bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nce bu b\u00f6lgeyi test ettikten sonra 4.100 dolar civar\u0131nda tutundu. ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na y\u00f6nelik g\u00fc\u00e7lenen talep, Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi (FOMC) tutanaklar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde XAU\/USD \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131. Son ABD verileri, enflasyonda \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131la\u015fmaya ve i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir so\u011fumaya i\u015faret etse de, faiz beklentileri h\u00e2l\u00e2 daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131na meyilli. CME Group\u2019un FedWatch arac\u0131 \u00fczerinden vadeli fiyatlamalar, Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerinde art\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %85\u2019e i\u015faret ediyor; bu da USD\u2019yi ve faiz getirisi olmayan k\u00fcl\u00e7eyi y\u00f6nlendirebilecek ek art\u0131\u015flara ili\u015fkin y\u00f6nlendirme ve daha geni\u015f politika duru\u015funa dair sinyallere oda\u011f\u0131 canl\u0131 tutuyor.<\/p>\n\n

Jeopolitik risk ve y\u00fcksek ABD tahvil getirileri, Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki geli\u015fmelerin g\u00fcndemde kalmas\u0131yla dolar\u0131 destekledi. Yemen\u2019in K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz k\u0131y\u0131s\u0131nda kontrol iddialar\u0131 ve misilleme sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na dair haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n son bir haftada H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirildi. Petrol\u00fcn bir ayl\u0131k dip seviyesinden toparlanmas\u0131 enflasyon endi\u015felerini besleyerek getirilerin \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131 zirvelere yak\u0131n kalmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olurken, \u00c7in merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00fcst \u00fcste 23. aya ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131 da izlendi. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde alt\u0131n, 4 saatlik grafikte 100 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n ve %61,8 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesinin alt\u0131nda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; MACD 3,35 ve RSI 44,26 seviyesinde. 4.100 dolar, 3.938 dolar \u00f6ncesinde kritik e\u015fik olarak izlenirken; diren\u00e7 4.228, 4.248 ve 4.317 dolarda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n\n

Faiz Art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 Beklentileri Ortam\u0131nda T\u00fcrev \u0130\u015flem De\u011ferlendirmeleri<\/h3>\n\n

ABD dolar\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenme nedeniyle alt\u0131n 4.100 dolardaki iki ayl\u0131k dip seviyesine yak\u0131n seyrederken, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n temkinli hareket etmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Piyasan\u0131n Aral\u0131k\u2019ta faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na %85 olas\u0131l\u0131k tan\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortamda, yakla\u015fan FOMC tutanaklar\u0131n\u0131n bir sonraki ana hareketi belirlemesi muhtemel. Tarihsel olarak artan faiz beklentileri, getiri sa\u011flamayan alt\u0131n tutman\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyetini y\u00fckseltir ve bu durum \u00e7o\u011fu zaman metal fiyat\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7eker.<\/p>\n\n

Bab el-Mendeb Bo\u011faz\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresinde yo\u011funla\u015fan Ortado\u011fu gerilimi de yak\u0131ndan izleniyor; s\u00f6z konusu tansiyon petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 son diplerden yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Jeopolitik gerilimler enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon endi\u015felerini art\u0131rarak ABD tahvil getirilerini \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131 zirvelere yak\u0131n tutuyor ve dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Bu tablo, \u00f6zellikle bu piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131nda ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ncelikli g\u00fcvenli liman olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 nedeniyle, alt\u0131n taraf\u0131nda genellikle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar\u0131 destekliyor.<\/p>\n\n

Teknik Seviyeler ve \u0130\u015flem Stratejisi<\/h3>\n\n

Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc k\u0131sa (short) pozisyonlara ge\u00e7meden \u00f6nce 4.100 dolardaki kilit destek seviyesinin alt\u0131nda teyitli bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m g\u00f6r\u00fclmesini beklemeyi \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu seviye kritik %78,6 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesiyle de \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor; net bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m, bir sonraki ana taban olan 3.938 dolara do\u011fru alan a\u00e7abilir. Di\u011fer yandan, 4.228\u20134.248 dolar band\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir diren\u00e7 k\u00fcmelenmesi bulunuyor; bu da k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f denemelerinin h\u0131zl\u0131 sat\u0131\u015fla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n

\u00c7in merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n al\u0131m serisini 23. aya ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, bu fiziksel talep daha geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimini telafi etmeye yetmedi. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, FOMC yay\u0131n\u0131 etraf\u0131nda beklenen y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131k nedeniyle riski y\u00f6netmek ad\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) emirleri kullanmas\u0131 gerekiyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda, bu tan\u0131ml\u0131 teknik s\u0131n\u0131rlar i\u00e7inde k\u0131sa vadeli swing i\u015flemlere odaklanman\u0131n en temkinli yakla\u015f\u0131m oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131nda kritik viraj: XAU\/USD 4.100 dolarda iki ay\u0131n dibine yak\u0131n. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve Aral\u0131k\u2019ta %85 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisi bask\u0131 kuruyor; FOMC tutanaklar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc belirleyecek, 3.938 hedefte.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69301,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69302","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t