{"id":69290,"date":"2026-10-07T03:53:32","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T03:53:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/dollar-index-slips-below-102-as-euro-and-aussie-rise-oil-falls-ahead-of-fed-minutes\/"},"modified":"2026-10-07T03:53:32","modified_gmt":"2026-10-07T03:53:32","slug":"dollar-index-slips-below-102-as-euro-and-aussie-rise-oil-falls-ahead-of-fed-minutes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/dollar-index-slips-below-102-as-euro-and-aussie-rise-oil-falls-ahead-of-fed-minutes\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar endeksi 102\u2019nin alt\u0131na gerilerken euro ve Avustralya dolar\u0131 y\u00fckseldi, Fed tutanaklar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi petrol d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>ABD dolar\u0131 sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fer kaybetti. Haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenmenin s\u00f6n\u00fcmlenmesiyle ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) yeniden 102,00 seviyesinin alt\u0131na indi; Fransa\u2019da mali endi\u015felerin azalmas\u0131, daha geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 destekledi. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc odak, MBA Mortgage Applications, New York Fed\u2019in T\u00fcketici Enflasyon Beklentileri ve FOMC Tutanaklar\u0131\u2019na; ayr\u0131ca Fed\u2019den Logan\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na kay\u0131yor. Alt\u0131n, yatay-konsolidasyon e\u011filimli i\u015flemlerde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi ancak dolar\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve ABD Hazine tahvil getirilerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn deste\u011fine ra\u011fmen ons ba\u015f\u0131na 4.200 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n\n<p>FX taraf\u0131nda EUR\/USD, Almanya\u2019n\u0131n Sanayi \u00dcretimi verisi ile ECB\u2019den Cipollone ve Vuj\u010dic\u2019in konu\u015fmalar\u0131 g\u00fcndeme gelirken 1,1280 yak\u0131n\u0131nda haftal\u0131k zirvelere toparland\u0131. GBP\/USD, BBA Mortgage Rate ve Lloyds House Price Index \u00f6ncesinde 1,3300\u2019a do\u011fru y\u00fckseldi. USD\/JPY 158,00\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; odak Reuters Tankan Endeksi, Ortalama Nakit Kazan\u00e7lar ve \u00f6nc\u00fc Coincident ile Leading ekonomik endekslerine d\u00f6n\u00fcyor. AUD\/USD \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00fcnde de y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek 0,7000\u2019in hemen alt\u0131na geldi; nihai Building Permits, Private House Approvals ve Ai Group Manufacturing Index \u00f6ncesi takip ediliyor. \u00d6te yandan \u00f6n vadeli WTI, Orta Do\u011fu arz endi\u015felerinin hafiflemesiyle \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc seansta da gerileyerek varil ba\u015f\u0131na 87,00 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n<h3>T\u00fcrev Stratejileri ve Kilit Kur F\u0131rsatlar\u0131<\/h3>\n\n<p>ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin (DXY) 102,00 e\u015fi\u011finin alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in taktiksel k\u0131sa (short) f\u0131rsatlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getiriyor. Yakla\u015fan FOMC tutanaklar\u0131 ve enflasyon beklentilerinin yak\u0131ndan izlenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz; olas\u0131 g\u00fcvercin (dovish) sinyal, USD\u2019deki bu a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir. Tarihsel olarak DXY\u2019nin kritik destek seviyelerini k\u0131rmas\u0131, \u00e7o\u011fu zaman otomatik sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 tetikler; bunu put opsiyonlar\u0131yla de\u011ferlendirebiliriz.<\/p>\n\n<p>Fransa\u2019daki mali endi\u015felerin azalmas\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle EUR\/USD\u2019nin 1,1280\u2019e do\u011fru toparlanmas\u0131, k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck geri \u00e7ekilmelerde al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc (call) opsiyon stratejilerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. \u00d6zellikle yakla\u015fan Almanya sanayi verilerinin istikrar sinyali vermesi halinde, en az diren\u00e7 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc i\u015faret ediyor. Merkez bankac\u0131lar\u0131ndan gelebilecek ani \u015fahin (hawkish) a\u00e7\u0131klamalara kar\u015f\u0131 riski y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in 1,1200 destek b\u00f6lgesinin hemen alt\u0131na koruyucu stoplar konulmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n<h3>GBP, JPY, AUD ve Emtialar \u0130\u00e7in Yakla\u015f\u0131mlar<\/h3>\n\n<p>Sterlinin 1,3300\u2019a do\u011fru g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc hamlesi, y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc dikey spread\u2019ler (bullish vertical spreads) \u00fczerinden de\u011ferlendirilebilecek bir ba\u015fka k\u0131r\u0131lma (breakout) i\u015flemi sunuyor. Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k konut ve \u0438\u043f\u043e\u0442ek verileri g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kal\u0131rsa, GBP\/USD\u2019nin 1,3450 seviyesini rahatl\u0131kla hedefleyebilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. S\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli opsiyon stratejileri kullanmak, gece olu\u015fabilecek fiyat bo\u015fluklar\u0131na (gap) maruz kalmadan bu momentuma kat\u0131lmay\u0131 sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n\n<p>Bu arada USD\/JPY\u2019nin 158,00\u2019in yeniden \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, zay\u0131flayan dolardan ayr\u0131\u015fan bir g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc sergiliyor ve temkinli yakla\u015f\u0131m gerektiriyor. Japonya\u2019n\u0131n ortalama nakit kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 ve \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergeleri, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) ad\u0131m atma bask\u0131s\u0131 hissedip hissetmeyece\u011fini anlamak a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan izlenmeli. Y\u00fckseli\u015f inanc\u0131 zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden, olas\u0131 yatay seyre oynayan iron condor gibi bant stratejilerini tercih ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n<p>Son olarak Avustralya dolar\u0131, alt\u0131n\u0131n 4.200 dolar civar\u0131ndaki y\u00fcksek seviyesini korumas\u0131ndan ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 destekle kritik 0,7000 e\u015fi\u011fini test ediyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k jeopolitik tansiyonun azalmas\u0131yla West Texas Intermediate petrol\u00fcn 87,00 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na inmesi, emtia ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 pozisyonlarda hedge ihtiyac\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Risk dengesini sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in AUD\/USD\u2019de al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc (call) pozisyonlar\u0131 tercih ederken, ayn\u0131 anda petrol vadeli i\u015flemlerinde ay\u0131 put spread\u2019leri (bear put spreads) kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/trade-now\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DXY 102 alt\u0131na sark\u0131nca dolarda r\u00fczg\u00e2r tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fc: risk i\u015ftah\u0131 artt\u0131, EUR\/USD 1,1280\u2019e, GBP\/USD 1,3300\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131. G\u00f6zler FOMC tutanaklar\u0131; alt\u0131n 4.200 alt\u0131, WTI 87 alt\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69289,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69290","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"DXY 102 alt\u0131na sark\u0131nca dolarda r\u00fczg\u00e2r tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fc: risk i\u015ftah\u0131 artt\u0131, EUR\/USD 1,1280\u2019e, GBP\/USD 1,3300\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131. 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