{"id":69282,"date":"2026-10-07T02:58:32","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T02:58:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/aud-usd-edges-higher-as-treasury-yields-retreat-traders-eye-fomc-minutes-and-key-support-levels\/"},"modified":"2026-10-07T02:58:32","modified_gmt":"2026-10-07T02:58:32","slug":"aud-usd-edges-higher-as-treasury-yields-retreat-traders-eye-fomc-minutes-and-key-support-levels","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/aud-usd-edges-higher-as-treasury-yields-retreat-traders-eye-fomc-minutes-and-key-support-levels\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, Hazine tahvil getirilerinin gerilemesiyle y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ti; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar FOMC tutanaklar\u0131 ve kritik destek seviyelerine odakland\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,13 y\u00fckselerek ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ABD Hazine tahvil getirileriyle birlikte zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla 0,6980 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi 5,25\u2019e do\u011fru geriledikten sonra yakla\u015f\u0131k %5,29 seviyesinde seyretti; buna kar\u015f\u0131n Pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc %5,349 zirvesine (2002\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviye) yak\u0131n kald\u0131. Bu arka planda, ABD Dolar Endeksi getirilerdeki geri \u00e7ekilmenin \u201cGreenback\u201de olan talebi t\u00f6rp\u00fclemesiyle y\u0131l i\u00e7i zirve olan 102,53\u2019ten yakla\u015f\u0131k 101,87\u2019ye geriledi.<\/p>\n\n

ABD\u2019den gelen zay\u0131f veriler, 27\u201328 Ekim toplant\u0131s\u0131nda Fed\u2019in ilave ad\u0131m atmas\u0131 i\u00e7in aciliyeti azaltt\u0131; daha yumu\u015fak Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam ve Ki\u015fisel T\u00fcketim Harcamalar\u0131 (PCE) enflasyon verileri \u201cpas\u201d beklentilerini destekliyor. CME FedWatch arac\u0131na g\u00f6re Ekim\u2019de faizin de\u011fi\u015fmeden kalma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %78; ancak %2 enflasyon hedefi ve Aral\u0131k\u2019ta olas\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015fa dair kalan risk piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda, ayr\u0131ca Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi (FOMC) tutanaklar\u0131 \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131mlanacak. Avustralya\u2019da ise LSEG verileri, para piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n Kas\u0131m\u2019da Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k %20 olas\u0131l\u0131k fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; bu da AUD\/USD\u2019yi ABD faizlerine duyarl\u0131 k\u0131l\u0131yor. Teknik tarafta parite 0,6981\u2019de, 100-periyot SMA (0,7045) ile 200-periyot SMA\u2019n\u0131n (0,7112) alt\u0131nda bulunurken; destek 0,6965\u2019te ve RSI (14) 56,5 seviyesinde. Diren\u00e7ler 0,7020, 0,7075 ve 0,7140 olarak izleniyor; a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131mda 0,6900 hedefleniyor.<\/p>\n\n

De\u011fi\u015fen Tahvil Getirileri Ortam\u0131nda T\u00fcrev Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n\n

T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, piyasan\u0131n ABD Hazine tahvil getirilerindeki de\u011fi\u015fime verdi\u011fi tepkiyle AUD\/USD paritesinde artan oynakl\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k getirisinin ge\u00e7ici olarak %5,29\u2019a geri \u00e7ekilmesi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki olas\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli her toparlanma, k\u0131sa pozisyon olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in stratejik bir f\u0131rsat sunuyor. ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ger\u00e7ek momentumunu \u00f6l\u00e7mek ad\u0131na bu \u00c7ar\u015famba a\u00e7\u0131klanacak FOMC tutanaklar\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131ndan izlenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n

Tarihsel olarak, ABD ve Avustralya 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k devlet tahvilleri aras\u0131ndaki getiri fark\u0131 100 baz puan\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Avustralya Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde sert a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 olu\u015fuyor. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k getirisi h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda %5,29 civar\u0131nda seyrederken, Avustralya 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k getirisi yakla\u015f\u0131k %4,20 ile geride kal\u0131yor; bu getiri dezavantaj\u0131 belirgin \u015fekilde Greenback lehine. Bu temel dengesizlik, mevcut AUD toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n

AUD\/USD i\u00e7in Teknik Strateji ve Kritik Seviyeler<\/h3>\n\n

Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan, kur 0,7045\u2019teki 100-periyot basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece y\u00fckseli\u015flerde sat\u0131\u015f aramak gerekir. Daha geni\u015f trend net \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ve 0,7112\u2019deki 200-periyot hareketli ortalama yak\u0131n\u0131nda da g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi bulunuyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, bu \u00fcstteki diren\u00e7 seviyelerinden faydalanmak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli opsiyonlar veya fark s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi (CFD) stratejilerini kullanabilir.<\/p>\n\n

Alternatif olarak, parite daha da gerilerse k\u0131r\u0131lma (breakout) odakl\u0131 bir stratejiye de haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmak gerekir. 0,6965\u2019teki yatay deste\u011fin alt\u0131nda net bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f, 0,6900 seviyesine do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir ivmelenmeyi tetikleyebilir. Y\u00fcksek getiri ortamlar\u0131nda maj\u00f6r desteklerin k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nceki \u00f6rneklerde, parite tarihsel olarak yaln\u0131zca be\u015f i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fc i\u00e7inde ortalama %1,5 de\u011fer kaybetti.<\/p>\n\n

Ayr\u0131ca, RBA\u2019n\u0131n Kas\u0131m\u2019da faiz art\u0131rma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ima edilen d\u00fczeyde yaln\u0131zca %20 olmas\u0131, Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019na i\u00e7eriden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir destek sa\u011flam\u0131yor. \u00d6te yandan Fed\u2019in Ekim\u2019de \u201cpas\u201d ge\u00e7mesi beklense de, faizin sabit kalmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin %78 olas\u0131l\u0131k zaten fiyatlanm\u0131\u015f durumda. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda ABD enflasyon verilerinde gelebilecek \u015fahin s\u00fcrprizler, getirileri yeniden %5,34\u2019e do\u011fru iterek AUD\/USD paritesi \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tahvil getirileri geri \u00e7ekilince AUD\/USD 0,6980\u2019e toparland\u0131; DXY geriledi. Fed\u2019de \u201cpas\u201d olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %78, g\u00f6zler FOMC tutanaklar\u0131nda. RBA art\u0131\u015f\u0131 %20. Teknikte 0,6965 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,6900 g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69281,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69282","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t