{"id":69227,"date":"2026-10-06T05:55:15","date_gmt":"2026-10-06T05:55:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/gold-steadies-near-4140-as-firmer-dollar-and-surging-treasury-yields-curb-demand\/"},"modified":"2026-10-06T05:55:15","modified_gmt":"2026-10-06T05:55:15","slug":"gold-steadies-near-4140-as-firmer-dollar-and-surging-treasury-yields-curb-demand","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gold-steadies-near-4140-as-firmer-dollar-and-surging-treasury-yields-curb-demand\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n, g\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar ve h\u0131zla y\u00fckselen Hazine tahvili getirilerinin talebi s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131yla 4.140 dolar yak\u0131n\u0131nda dengelendi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n, erken Asya i\u015flemlerinde 4.140 dolar civar\u0131nda yatay seyretti. ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7lenme ve ABD Hazine tahvil getirilerindeki y\u00fckseli\u015f, Fed\u2019in yak\u0131n vadede faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik daha zay\u0131f beklentileri dengeledi. 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi yakla\u015f\u0131k 7 baz puan artarak %5,349\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u20143 Nisan 2002\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviye\u2014ard\u0131ndan %5,30\u2019a geriledi. 30 y\u0131ll\u0131k getiri ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 3 baz puan art\u0131\u015fla, en son May\u0131s 2002\u2019nin sonlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen %5,703\u2019e dokunduktan sonra %5,661\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Eyl\u00fcl Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisinin beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 ve \u00f6nceki iki aya ili\u015fkin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyonlar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na y\u00f6nelik fiyatlama so\u011fudu; swaplar Ekim toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %22,7 olarak ima ediyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, ge\u00e7en ay \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l aradan sonra gelen ilk faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Eyl\u00fcl FOMC toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n\n

Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar, alt\u0131n\u0131n uzun vadeli (long-end) ve reel getirilerdeki de\u011fi\u015fime duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ederken, y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu canl\u0131 tutan ve vade primi (term premium) endi\u015felerini besleyen bir unsur oldu\u011fu belirtildi. Ayr\u0131 olarak, Fed ileti\u015fimindeki son d\u00f6nemdeki \u015fahin e\u011filim, Speechtracker skorunun tarihsel 8,1\/10 ortalamas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 9,2\/10\u2019a y\u00fckselmesine yans\u0131d\u0131; bunun yan\u0131nda FXS Fed Duyarl\u0131l\u0131k Endeksi 1,68 puan artarak n\u00f6tr 100 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde 136,59\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Teknik tarafta spot fiyat 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda bask\u0131lanmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, RSI (14) 38,41 seviyesinde. Diren\u00e7ler 4.270 ve 4.275 dolar civar\u0131nda, ard\u0131ndan 4.445 dolar seviyesinde izlenirken, destek 4.100 dolar yak\u0131n\u0131nda bulunuyor. Merkez bankalar\u0131 2022\u2019de yakla\u015f\u0131k 70 milyar dolar de\u011ferinde 1.136 ton alt\u0131n ekledi.<\/p>\n\n

Alt\u0131n Piyasas\u0131 G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ve \u0130\u015flem Stratejisi<\/h3>\n\n

Alt\u0131n 4.140 dolar civar\u0131nda seyrederken, t\u00fcrev i\u015flemler yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yak\u0131n vadede konsolidasyon ya da olas\u0131 bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket d\u00f6nemine haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. 10 y\u0131ll\u0131\u011f\u0131n %5,349\u2019a, 30 y\u0131ll\u0131\u011f\u0131n ise %5,703\u2019e kadar y\u00fckselmesiyle ABD tahvil getirilerinin y\u00fcksek seyri, emtian\u0131n cazibesini s\u0131n\u0131rlamaya devam ediyor. Bunlar, 2002 bahar\u0131ndan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen en y\u00fcksek getiri seviyeleri olup, getiri sa\u011flamayan varl\u0131klara k\u0131yasla ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 belirgin bi\u00e7imde destekliyor.<\/p>\n\n

Eyl\u00fcl istihdam verisinin beklentilerden zay\u0131f gelerek Ekim\u2019de faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %22,7\u2019ye indirmesine ra\u011fmen, alt\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 bir toparlanma olu\u015fturmakta zorland\u0131. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Eyl\u00fcl merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131ndan izlenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu veri, para politikas\u0131na dair kritik ipu\u00e7lar\u0131 sunabilir ve \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda k\u0131ymetli maden t\u00fcrevlerinde sert oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 tetikleyebilir.<\/p>\n\n

Teknik Analiz ve Uzun Vadeli Yap\u0131sal Destek<\/h3>\n\n

Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan, fiyat\u0131n 4.275 dolardaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda tavan yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131, G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi\u2019nin (RSI) ise 38,41 ile d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f b\u00f6lgesinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, 4.270 dolar civar\u0131ndaki diren\u00e7 k\u00fcmesine do\u011fru ya\u015fanabilecek ge\u00e7ici y\u00fckseli\u015flerde k\u0131sa pozisyon aramas\u0131 ve 4.100 dolardaki destek seviyesini yak\u0131ndan izlemesi gerekir. Bu deste\u011fin alt\u0131nda teyitli bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, daha derin bir d\u00fczeltme evresinin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc h\u0131zla a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n\n

Bununla birlikte, k\u00fcresel merkez bankalar\u0131ndan gelen tarihsel talep, metal i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir uzun vadeli taban olmaya devam ediyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin, resmi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte y\u0131ll\u0131k alt\u0131n al\u0131m\u0131 tek bir y\u0131lda 1.136 ton ile tarihi seviyeye ula\u015farak, makroekonomik de\u011fi\u015fimler s\u0131ras\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yap\u0131sal destek oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi. Ancak uzun vadeli reel getirilerde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi g\u00f6r\u00fclene kadar, k\u0131sa vadeli t\u00fcrev stratejilerinde dipten al\u0131m yerine y\u00fckseli\u015fleri sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirmek daha uygun g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131nda kritik e\u015fik! Fiyat 4.140 dolarda yatay; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve 2002\u2019den beri zirvedeki ABD tahvil getirileri bask\u0131 kuruyor. Piyasa FOMC tutanaklar\u0131n\u0131 beklerken, teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm 4.100 deste\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69226,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69227","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t