AUD\/USD Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc 0,6990 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,39 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydetti. G\u00fcn\u00fcn erken saatlerinde 0,7030\u2019a do\u011fru g\u00f6r\u00fclen y\u00fckseli\u015fin s\u00f6n\u00fcmlenmesinin ard\u0131ndan parite 0,6980 b\u00f6lgesine geriledi. Avustralya dolar\u0131 ilk etapta Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) Nakit Faiz Oran\u0131\u2019n\u0131 25 baz puan art\u0131rarak %4,60\u2019a y\u00fckseltmesinden destek buldu; bu seviye yakla\u015f\u0131k 15 y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fckse\u011fi olurken karar oy birli\u011fiyle al\u0131nd\u0131. Politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar enflasyonun h\u00e2l\u00e2 \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu yineledi ve ilave art\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k b\u0131rakt\u0131; ancak piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 daha sonra ek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n gerekip gerekmedi\u011fine ili\u015fkin y\u00f6nlendirmeye kayd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n
Saatlik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde parite 0,6992 seviyesindeydi; 100 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n (0,7021) ve 200 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n (0,7069) alt\u0131nda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, 42 civar\u0131ndaki RSI hafif negatif momentuma i\u015faret etti. Diren\u00e7 0,7005\u2019te; ard\u0131ndan 0,7021 ve 0,7045 seviyelerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. 0,7069\u2019un \u00fczerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla 0,7075, 0,7105 ve 0,7140 diren\u00e7leri izleniyor. Destek 0,6980\u2019de. ABD dolar\u0131, y\u00fcksek seyreden ABD Hazine tahvili getirileri ve Fed\u2019in ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma beklentileriyle destek bulurken, PCE Fiyat Endeksi ve Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP) verileri oda\u011fa yerle\u015fmi\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, AUD\/USD\u2019nin 0,7000 \u00fczerindeki rallisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrememesinden faydalanmak \u00fczere k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc stratejilere odaklanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Paritenin yeniden 0,6990 seviyesine \u00e7ekilmesiyle, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 0,6950 civar\u0131nda olan k\u0131sa vadeli put opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n almak, yak\u0131n vadeli a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in olduk\u00e7a etkili bir y\u00f6ntem olabilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m riski s\u0131n\u0131rlarken, kurun 0,6980\u2019deki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek taban\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde k\u00e2r etmeye konumlanmam\u0131z\u0131 sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n\n
Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcm\u00fcz, yukar\u0131da g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7ler bulundu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor: 100 periyotluk basit hareketli ortalama 0,7021\u2019de, 200 periyotluk SMA ise 0,7069\u2019da tavan olu\u015fturuyor. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 ayr\u0131ca, 0,7075 arz b\u00f6lgesinin \u00fczerinde vade d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) call opsiyonlar\u0131 satmay\u0131 veya bear call spread kurmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. B\u00f6ylelikle, 42 seviyesindeki zay\u0131f G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) ve s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 yukar\u0131 momentumdan yararlanarak prim geliri elde etmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olur.<\/p>\n\n
ABD tahvil piyasas\u0131 da yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli. 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD tahvil faizi son d\u00f6nemde %3,8 civar\u0131nda seyrederek sermayeyi ABD dolar\u0131na \u00e7ekmeye devam ediyor. Son a\u00e7\u0131klanan ABD \u00e7ekirdek PCE enflasyonunun y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %2,7 ile yap\u0131\u015fkan kalmas\u0131, Fed \u00fczerindeki h\u0131zl\u0131 faiz indirme bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131yor. Bu getiri avantaj\u0131 dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7arken, Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131n faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 sonras\u0131 kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 korumas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
Tarihsel olarak, RBA enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faiz art\u0131r\u0131rken hanehalk\u0131 harcamalar\u0131 konusunda temkinli bir ton benimsedi\u011finde Avustralya dolar\u0131nda s\u0131kl\u0131kla \u201cs\u00f6ylentiyi al, ger\u00e7e\u011fi sat\u201d tepkisi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr. Avustralya\u2019da perakende sat\u0131\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin son d\u00f6nemde yaln\u0131zca %0,2 ile zay\u0131f kalmas\u0131 nedeniyle, RBA\u2019n\u0131n faizi %4,60\u2019a y\u00fckseltmesinin bir s\u00fcreli\u011fine son ad\u0131m olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu durum AUD i\u00e7in yukar\u0131 potansiyeli s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rarak, bant hareketinden veya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften gelir elde eden stratejileri tercih etmemizi destekliyor.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda opsiyon pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcncellemek ad\u0131na yakla\u015fan ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam ve PCE veri a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlemeyi \u00f6neriyoruz. Ge\u00e7en ayki 142 binlik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan beklentileri a\u015fan bir istihdam raporu, AUD\/USD\u2019nin 0,6980 deste\u011finin alt\u0131na daha da sarkmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. Makro veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 desteklemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrse, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n put pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131na \u201croll\u201d etmeye haz\u0131r olmas\u0131 gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" AUD\/USD\u2019de RBA\u2019n\u0131n %4,60\u2019l\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sonras\u0131 \u201chaberle sat\u0131\u015f\u201d devrede: parite 0,6990\u2019a geriledi. 0,6980 kritik destek, 0,7021\u20130,7069 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7. Fed beklentisi dolar lehine; put\/bear spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69104,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t