{"id":69089,"date":"2026-09-29T14:51:40","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T14:51:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/gold-steadies-after-4-drop-as-us-yields-and-dollar-weigh-on-bullion\/"},"modified":"2026-09-29T14:51:40","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T14:51:40","slug":"gold-steadies-after-4-drop-as-us-yields-and-dollar-weigh-on-bullion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gold-steadies-after-4-drop-as-us-yields-and-dollar-weigh-on-bullion\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD tahvil getirileri ve dolar\u0131n alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratmas\u0131yla, %4\u2019l\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan alt\u0131n yatay seyretti"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n, Pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %4\u2019l\u00fck sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc dengelendi; XAU\/USD, 5 A\u011fustos\u2019tan bu yana en zay\u0131f seviye olan 4.110 dolarl\u0131k dipten toparlanarak g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yakla\u015f\u0131k 4.157 dolara y\u00fckseldi ve g\u00fcnl\u00fck bazda %1,00 art\u0131da seyretti. \u00d6nceki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, faiz getirisi olmayan bir varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 elde tutman\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyetini art\u0131ran ABD Hazine tahvil getirilerindeki y\u00fckseli\u015fi takip ederken, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na ili\u015fkin gerilimlerle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 enerji \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki enflasyon endi\u015feleriyle de g\u00fc\u00e7 kazand\u0131. G\u00f6sterge 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi, Pazartesi 2007\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviye olan %5,27\u2019yi test ettikten sonra %5,23 civar\u0131nda seyrederken, piyasalar bu ay\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndaki 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Fed\u2019in faiz patikas\u0131na odaklanmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc; CME FedWatch Tool verisi de Ekim\u2019de bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %72 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n

ABD Dolar\u0131 destekli kalmaya devam etti; bu da Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin (DXY) iki ay\u0131n zirveleri civar\u0131nda 101,37\u2019ye yak\u0131n seyretmesine neden olarak, dolar d\u0131\u015f\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131lar i\u00e7in alt\u0131n\u0131n yerel para cinsinden maliyetini y\u00fckseltti. Teknik sinyaller zay\u0131f kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc: 14 periyotluk RSI 37 seviyesindeydi, MACD negatif b\u00f6lgede kald\u0131 ve ADX 18\u2019de bulunurken, fiyat \u00f6nemli Bollinger seviyelerinin alt\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. Diren\u00e7 4.157 dolarda, ard\u0131ndan 4.325 ve 4.494 dolarda izlenirken; destek 4.100 ve 4.000 dolarda yer ald\u0131. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ayr\u0131ca Eyl\u00fcl Conference Board t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni, A\u011fustos JOLTS ve devam\u0131nda PCE, ISM PMI ile tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (NFP) raporunu i\u00e7eren yo\u011fun ABD veri takvimiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131.<\/p>\n\n

K\u0131sa Vadeli \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri ve Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n\n

Alt\u0131n, 4.157 dolardaki kilit teknik direncinin alt\u0131nda zorlan\u0131rken, alt\u0131n t\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131nda k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc senaryolara odaklanmal\u0131y\u0131z. G\u00f6sterge 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvil faizinin \u00e7ok on y\u0131ll\u0131k zirve olan %5,23 civar\u0131nda seyretmesi, getiri sa\u011flamayan alt\u0131n\u0131 elde tutman\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyetini ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc y\u00fcksek tutuyor. Bu nedenle, 4.325 dolardaki orta Bollinger band\u0131na do\u011fru d\u00fczeltme y\u00fckseli\u015flerinde put opsiyonu almay\u0131 veya k\u0131sa vadeli (short) vadeli i\u015flem pozisyonlar\u0131 olu\u015fturmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeliyiz.<\/p>\n\n

PCE Fiyat Endeksi ve tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam gibi bir dizi kritik ekonomik veri, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda sert fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131n\u0131 tetikleyebilir. Tarihsel veriler, piyasan\u0131n %72 olas\u0131l\u0131kla bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde, beklentilerin \u00fczerinde gelen istihdam verisinin sonraki seanslarda ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019ni (DXY) ortalama %1,2 yukar\u0131 itebildi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Yakla\u015fan veriye haz\u0131rl\u0131k i\u00e7in, her iki y\u00f6nde de b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131r\u0131lmadan faydalanmak \u00fczere straddle veya strangle opsiyon stratejileri kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n\n

Risk Y\u00f6netimi ve Jeopolitik Unsurlar<\/h3>\n\n

Anl\u0131k teknik e\u011filim ay\u0131lar\u0131n lehine olsa da, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresindeki devam eden gerilim, mutlaka hedge edilmesi gereken ani yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskler yarat\u0131yor. Jeopolitik t\u0131rman\u0131\u015flar tarihsel olarak alt\u0131n\u0131n ima edilen volatilitesini %15\u2019in \u00fczerinde art\u0131rabildi\u011finden, teminats\u0131z\/korumas\u0131z (naked) k\u0131sa pozisyonlar olduk\u00e7a riskli. Portf\u00f6yleri korumak i\u00e7in, short vadeli i\u015flemleri \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131yla birle\u015ftirerek, k\u00fcresel arz kesintilerinin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 halinde olas\u0131 zararlar s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n\n

Ayr\u0131ca, kurumsal al\u0131m i\u015faretleri i\u00e7in 4.100 ve 4.000 dolardaki maj\u00f6r psikolojik destek seviyelerini yak\u0131ndan izlemek gerekiyor. Resmi raporlar, k\u00fcresel merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n dolardan \u00e7e\u015fitlendirme amac\u0131yla rezervlerine y\u0131lda 1.000 metrik tonun \u00fczerinde ekleme yaparak tarihi h\u0131zlarda alt\u0131n almaya devam etti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Alt\u0131n 4.100 dolar taban\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131rmadan ba\u015far\u0131yla korursa, k\u0131sa pozisyonlar\u0131 h\u0131zla kapatmaya ve \u201cshort covering\u201d kaynakl\u0131 bir tepki y\u00fckseli\u015finden faydalanmaya haz\u0131r olunmal\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131nda sert sat\u0131\u015f sonras\u0131 nefes: XAU\/USD 4.110 dipten 4.157\u2019ye toparland\u0131. ABD 10Y %5,23 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc DXY bask\u0131 kuruyor; Fed art\u0131\u015f\u0131 %72. 4.100\/4.000 destek, veri ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riski volatiliteyi art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69088,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69089","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t