{"id":69085,"date":"2026-09-29T13:51:35","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T13:51:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/euro-edges-towards-yearly-low-as-high-us-yields-and-fed-hike-bets-lift-dollar\/"},"modified":"2026-09-29T13:51:35","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T13:51:35","slug":"euro-edges-towards-yearly-low-as-high-us-yields-and-fed-hike-bets-lift-dollar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/euro-edges-towards-yearly-low-as-high-us-yields-and-fed-hike-bets-lift-dollar\/","title":{"rendered":"Euro, y\u00fcksek ABD tahvil getirileri ve Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentilerinin dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesiyle y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine yakla\u015f\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Euro, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc; y\u00fckselen ABD Hazine tahvili getirileri ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD makro verileri, bu y\u0131l en az bir Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha beklentisiyle birlikte dolar\u0131 desteklemeye devam etti. EUR\/USD 1,1338 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye olan 1,1324\u2019\u00fcn hemen \u00fczerinde seyrederken, Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda %2,4 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe do\u011fru ilerledi. G\u00fcn\u00fcn erken saatlerinde gelen Euro B\u00f6lgesi verileri ise s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 destek sundu: Conference Board T\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi, A\u011fustos\u2019ta -15,5 olan seviyeden Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de -16,5\u2019e gerileyerek bozulman\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc teyit etti; ekonomik g\u00fcven de 98,4\u2019ten 97,9\u2019a indi.<\/p>\n\n

Baz\u0131 alt kalemlerde iyile\u015fme g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc; sanayi g\u00fcveni -5\u2019ten -3,8\u2019e y\u00fckselirken, hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcveni 5,6\u2019dan 6,1\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ayr\u0131 bir geli\u015fmede Slovakya Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Peter Kazimir, Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndaki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz oldu\u011funu belirtirken, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) politikas\u0131n\u0131n olas\u0131 yeniden fiyatlanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in Ocak ay\u0131na i\u015faret etti ve daha fazla esneklik \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Dolar, piyasalar\u0131n daha fazla Fed s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik bahisleri art\u0131rmas\u0131yla emsallerine kar\u015f\u0131 \u00fcst\u00fcn performans\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc; bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 sinyalleri ve daha y\u00fcksek getirilerle desteklendi.<\/p>\n\n

Euro\u2019daki D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Trendine Y\u00f6nelik Stratejiler<\/h3>\n\n

T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, Euro\u2019nun y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana dip seviyesi olan 1,1324\u2019\u00fcn hemen \u00fczerinde tutunmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesine haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. K\u0131sa vadeli EUR\/USD sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 almak veya k\u0131sa vadeli vadeli i\u015flem (futures) pozisyonlar\u0131yla sat\u0131\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde konumlanmak, bu ay halihaz\u0131rda %2,4\u2019l\u00fck kayb\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 trendden faydalanmaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir. Bu momentum, Euro B\u00f6lgesi t\u00fcketici g\u00fcvenindeki zay\u0131fl\u0131kla da destekleniyor; endeks son olarak -16,5\u2019e geriledi.<\/p>\n\n

Faiz Farklar\u0131 ve Volatilite Taktikleri<\/h3>\n\n

ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirileri y\u00fcksek seyrini korurken\u2014k\u00fcresel tahvil piyasalar\u0131nda son d\u00f6nemde yakla\u015f\u0131k %4,1 ortalama civar\u0131nda\u2014faiz fark\u0131 belirgin bi\u00e7imde ABD dolar\u0131 lehine \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Fed\u2019in para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 tutmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi ortamda, getirilerin daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik pozisyon almak i\u00e7in faiz swaplar\u0131 veya Hazine tahvili vadeli kontratlar\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. \u00d6te yandan ECB\u2019nin Ocak ay\u0131ndan \u00f6nce politikas\u0131n\u0131 yeniden fiyatlamas\u0131 olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor; bu da Euro\u2019ya yak\u0131n vadede s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 destek b\u0131rak\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ayr\u0131ca yakla\u015fan ABD istihdam verileri \u00f6ncesinde, sert fiyat hareketlerine kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak amac\u0131yla straddle al\u0131m\u0131 gibi volatilite stratejilerine ba\u015fvurmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Beklentiden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir istihdam verisi ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 daha da yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yabilirken, zay\u0131f bir veri k\u0131sa Euro pozisyonlar\u0131nda sert bir \u201cshort squeeze\u201di tetikleyebilir. Tarihsel olarak, \u00f6nemli tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (payroll) a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131nda EUR\/USD g\u00fcnl\u00fck volatilitesi 100 pipin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kabildi\u011finden, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) seviyeleri ve opsiyonla korunma (hedge) stratejileri kritik \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Euro\u2019da sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor: G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri ve y\u00fckselen tahvil getirileri dolar talebini art\u0131rd\u0131. EUR\/USD 1,1338\u2019de, dip 1,1324\u2019e yak\u0131n. Opsiyon, futures ve volatilite stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69084,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69085","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t