WTI, \u00f6nemli Orta Do\u011fu \u00fcreticilerinin eyl\u00fcl ihracat\u0131n\u0131n toparlanmas\u0131yla Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa saatlerinde varil ba\u015f\u0131na 91,10 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, Pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 geri verdi. Reuters\u2019\u0131n aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131 Kpler verilerine g\u00f6re b\u00f6lgesel sevkiyatlar g\u00fcnde 16,328 milyon varile y\u00fckselerek, \u015eubat sonlar\u0131nda \u0130ran ile ABD-\u0130srail ittifak\u0131 aras\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n alevlenmesinden bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Art\u0131\u015fta, daha y\u00fcksek \u00fcretim ve ihracatla Suudi Arabistan ile Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri belirleyici oldu.<\/p>\n\n
Jeopolitik risk, ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki m\u00fczakerelerin s\u00fcrmesiyle oda\u011f\u0131n merkezinde kalmaya devam etti. G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7i\u015f eri\u015fimi ve n\u00fckleer anla\u015fmada ilerlemeye ba\u011fl\u0131 olas\u0131 yapt\u0131r\u0131m gev\u015femesi \u00fczerinde yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131. \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililer, Kas\u0131m\u2019daki ABD ara se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesini veya su yolunun yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemediklerini belirtirken; Tahran, son teklifine ili\u015fkin ABD yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor ve \u00f6nceki teklifinin revize edilmi\u015f bir versiyonunu de\u011ferlendirmek \u00fczere ilave g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin planland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirildi. Scotiabank, son d\u00f6nemdeki fiyat g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc, Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ilk teklifini reddetmesinin ard\u0131ndan ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde yeniden artan bozulmaya ba\u011flad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda fiyatlar\u0131n 91,00 dolar e\u015fi\u011fi yak\u0131n\u0131nda seyretmesiyle, t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n WTI petrolde artan oynakl\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Orta Do\u011fu ihracat\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcnde 16,328 milyon varile toparlanmas\u0131 arz taraf\u0131ndaki s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7ici olarak hafifletmi\u015f olsa da, altta yatan jeopolitik riskler son derece y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam ediyor. Kas\u0131m ay\u0131ndaki ABD ara se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde sert fiyat hareketlerine pozisyon almak i\u00e7in uzun straddle veya bo\u011fa call spread gibi opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Tarihsel olarak, d\u00fcnya petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019sinin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na y\u00f6nelik tehditler, birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %10 veya daha fazla h\u0131zl\u0131 petrol fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131n\u0131 tetikledi. ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki m\u00fczakerelerin son tekliflerin reddinin ard\u0131ndan t\u0131kanmas\u0131yla, olas\u0131 ani bir t\u0131rmanma WTI\u2019yi h\u0131zla yeniden 100 dolar seviyesine do\u011fru ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara, a\u011f\u0131r k\u0131sa pozisyonlardan ka\u00e7\u0131nmalar\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz; zira ani, siyasi kaynakl\u0131 arz kesintisi riski, Suudi Arabistan ve BAE \u00fcretimindeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 mevcut bask\u0131dan \u00e7ok daha a\u011f\u0131r bas\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ayr\u0131ca haftal\u0131k EIA stok raporlar\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlemesi gerekiyor; \u00f6zellikle de k\u00fcresel ham petrol stoklar\u0131 son d\u00f6nemde be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k mevsimsel ortalamalar\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na e\u011filim g\u00f6stermi\u015fken. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc raporlar, devam eden diplomatik s\u00fcrt\u00fc\u015fme ile birlikte beklenmedik stok azal\u0131\u015flar\u0131na i\u015faret ederse, WTI h\u0131zla destek bulabilir ve son kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 tersine \u00e7evirebilir. H\u0131zl\u0131, haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketleri yakalarken toplam sermaye riskini s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli call opsiyonlar\u0131na odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petrolde perde arkas\u0131 hareket: WTI 91,10 dolara \u00e7ekildi. Orta Do\u011fu ihracat\u0131 16,328 mn varile \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Suudi-BAE arz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bask\u0131lasa da H\u00fcrm\u00fcz ve ABD-\u0130ran riski, opsiyonla oynakl\u0131k f\u0131rsat\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69078,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69079","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t