{"id":69062,"date":"2026-09-29T07:51:38","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T07:51:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/gold-struggles-below-4150-as-hawkish-fed-and-surging-us-yields-cap-gains\/"},"modified":"2026-09-29T07:51:38","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T07:51:38","slug":"gold-struggles-below-4150-as-hawkish-fed-and-surging-us-yields-cap-gains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gold-struggles-below-4150-as-hawkish-fed-and-surging-us-yields-cap-gains\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n, \u015eahin Fed ve Y\u00fckselen ABD Tahvil Getirilerinin Kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 S\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131yla 4.150 Dolar\u0131n Alt\u0131nda Zorlan\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD) Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131na girerken s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseldi ancak 4.150 dolar\u0131n hemen alt\u0131nda kald\u0131; Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc 4.100 dolara do\u011fru ya\u015fanan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan h\u00e2l\u00e2 bu seviyelere yak\u0131n seyrediyor. Bu b\u00f6lge, 4 A\u011fustos\u2019tan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck alan. \u015eahin tondaki Fed duru\u015fu, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 iki ay\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n desteklerken, y\u00fcksek ABD tahvil getirileriyle birlikte k\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Fed bu ay\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fa gitti ve etkili FOMC \u00fcyeleri 2026 sonundan \u00f6nce bir art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n daha m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret etti; CME Group FedWatch Tool, Ekim ad\u0131m\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %70 olarak g\u00f6steriyor. Ayr\u0131 olarak, Fed Cook\u2019un FXS Speechtracker skoru 7\/10 ile 6,9\/10\u2019luk baz seviyenin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken, FXS Fed Duyarl\u0131l\u0131k Endeksi 0,63 puan d\u00fc\u015ferek 146,89\u2019a geriledi; ancak n\u00f6tr seviye olan 100\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n

Jeopolitik risk, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f \u00f6nerisini reddetmesi ve yapt\u0131r\u0131m hafifletmesi ya da dondurulmu\u015f fonlar\u0131n serbest b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131 teklif etti\u011fini yalanlamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yeniden \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu geli\u015fme petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 desteklerken enflasyon endi\u015felerini de art\u0131rd\u0131. Hazine tahvili getirileri y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc; 30 y\u0131ll\u0131k getiri May\u0131s 2004 ortas\u0131ndan, 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k getiri Haziran 2007 ortas\u0131ndan, 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k getiri ise May\u0131s 2024\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyelere \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc PCE Fiyat Endeksi ve kesinle\u015fmi\u015f 2\u00c7 GSYH, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc ISM \u0130malat PMI ve Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP) verilerini izliyor. Teknik tarafta alt\u0131n, 4.310 dolardaki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcssel Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (EMA) alt\u0131na sarkm\u0131\u015f durumda; yukar\u0131da 4.227 dolardaki %61,8 geri \u00e7ekilme seviyesi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. MACD 26,21, RSI 36,40 seviyesinde. Diren\u00e7ler 4.316, 4.406, 4.517 ve 4.696 dolar; destek ise 4.099 ve 3.937 dolarda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n\n

Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ve \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri<\/h3>\n\n

\u015eahin Fed ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n etkisiyle alt\u0131n\u0131n 4.150 dolar seviyesini korumakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve de\u011ferli metalin \u00e7ok ayl\u0131k dip b\u00f6lgesine yak\u0131n seyretti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Fiyat\u0131n kritik 4.310 dolardaki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcssel Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na inmesi nedeniyle teknik olarak en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck diren\u00e7li patika a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc kalmaya devam ediyor. T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, alt\u0131n 4.227 dolar seviyesinin \u00fczerinde sa\u011flam bir taban olu\u015fturana kadar al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc (call) opsiyonlarda acele etmemesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n

ABD Hazine tahvili getirileri \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir bask\u0131 uyguluyor; 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k getiri, Haziran 2007 zirvesi olan yakla\u015f\u0131k %5,3 civar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen seviyelere yak\u0131n seyrediyor. Y\u00fcksek getiri ortam\u0131, getirisi olmayan varl\u0131klar\u0131 elde tutman\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyetini belirgin \u015fekilde art\u0131rarak yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 dolar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli taraf\u0131na y\u00f6nlendiriyor. Bu e\u011filimden faydalanmak i\u00e7in, 4.099 dolardaki yak\u0131n destek taban\u0131n\u0131 hedefleyen sat\u0131m (put) al\u0131m\u0131 gibi ay\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n

Jeopolitik ve Ekonomik Etkiler<\/h3>\n\n

\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f \u00f6nerisinin reddedilmesinin ard\u0131ndan jeopolitik riskler y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam ediyor; bu durum ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131da tutarken yeni enflasyon endi\u015felerini de besliyor. Bu dinamik, CME FedWatch Tool\u2019un ekim ay\u0131nda bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in %70 gibi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir olas\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6stermesiyle uyumlu \u015fekilde, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n agresif duru\u015funu destekliyor. Bu s\u00fcregelen k\u00fcresel geli\u015fmelerin yaratabilece\u011fi sert fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in straddle gibi uzun volatilite stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n

Bu hafta PCE fiyat endeksi ve Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam dahil yo\u011fun ABD veri takvimi, alt\u0131n\u0131n bir sonraki b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketini muhtemelen belirleyecek. Enflasyon g\u00f6stergeleri yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc s\u00fcrpriz yaparsa, 3.937 dolardaki kritik teknik deste\u011fe do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilme bekliyoruz. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, y\u00fcksek etkili veri a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde pozisyon b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fcklerini k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck tutmas\u0131 ve s\u0131k\u0131 risk y\u00f6netimi parametrelerini korumas\u0131 gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131nda alarm: XAU\/USD 4.150 alt\u0131nda, 4.100\u2019e yak\u0131n; \u015fahin Fed ve rekor tahvil getirileri bask\u0131l\u0131yor. \u0130ran gerilimi petrol\u00fc ta\u015f\u0131rken PCE-NFP bekleniyor. 200 EMA alt\u0131; destek 4.099\/3.937.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69061,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69062","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t