Alt\u0131n\u2019\u0131n (XAUUSD) k\u0131sa vadeli Elliott Dalga say\u0131m\u0131, 25 A\u011fustos 2026 zirvesinden ba\u015flayan hareketi bir zigzag d\u00fczeltmesi olarak \u00e7er\u00e7eveliyor. A dalgas\u0131 4.282,23 dolarda tamamland\u0131; ard\u0131ndan B dalgas\u0131 4.509,59 dolara kadar y\u00fckselerek geri \u00e7ekildi ve piyasa C dalgas\u0131na do\u011fru yeniden a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Bu bacak, daha geni\u015f d\u00fczeltici yap\u0131y\u0131 koruyacak \u015fekilde be\u015f dalgal\u0131 bir impuls olarak ele al\u0131n\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
B dalgas\u0131 zirvesinden itibaren ((i)) dalgas\u0131 4.252,70 dolara ula\u015ft\u0131 ve ((ii)) dalgas\u0131 geni\u015fleyen d\u00fcz bir formasyon olu\u015fturarak 4.399,58 dolara tepki verdi. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f daha sonra ((iii)) dalgas\u0131na uzad\u0131; bu dalga da daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck derecede be\u015f dalgal\u0131 bir dizi halinde a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131yor: (i) dalgas\u0131 4.243,94 dolarda bitti, bunu (ii) dalgas\u0131n\u0131n 4.315,82 dolarda tepe yapmas\u0131 izledi ve fiyat ard\u0131ndan ((iii)) i\u00e7indeki (iii) dalgas\u0131na do\u011fru yeniden a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 itildi. 4.509,59 dolarl\u0131k pivot referans noktas\u0131 olmaya devam ediyor; bu seviye korundu\u011fu s\u00fcrece, rallilerin \u00fc\u00e7 ya da yedi sal\u0131n\u0131mda ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmas\u0131 ve zigzag\u0131n tamamlanmas\u0131na do\u011fru ilave a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi haz\u0131rlamas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda d\u00fczeltici a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara Alt\u0131n (XAUUSD) i\u00e7in savunmac\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015flerde sat\u0131\u015f (sell-on-rally) yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 benimsemelerini \u00f6neriyoruz. Mevcut fiyat davran\u0131\u015f\u0131, metalin A\u011fustos sonundaki zirvenin ard\u0131ndan ay\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir zigzag formasyonuna kilitlendi\u011fini teyit ediyor. K\u0131sa vadeli momentumun net bi\u00e7imde sat\u0131c\u0131lar lehine olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ge\u00e7ici fiyat tepkilerinde k\u0131sa pozisyon aray\u0131\u015f\u0131na girmesi gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Riski etkin y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in, zarar-kes emirlerinin kritik diren\u00e7 pivotu olan 4.509,59 dolar\u0131n hemen \u00fczerine yerle\u015ftirilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. \u00dc\u00e7 ya da yedi sal\u0131n\u0131mdan olu\u015fan olas\u0131 d\u00fczeltici y\u00fckseli\u015flerin, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 trend yeniden ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda t\u0131kanmas\u0131 beklenir. Yak\u0131n vadeli put opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n almak gibi ay\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc opsiyon stratejileri, beklenen geri \u00e7ekilmeden faydalanmaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olurken riski s\u0131k\u0131 bi\u00e7imde s\u0131n\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n\n
Bu teknik geri \u00e7ekilme, alt\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve \u00e7ok ayl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015flerin ard\u0131ndan s\u0131kl\u0131kla %5 ila %10 d\u00fczeltmelere girmesi \u015feklindeki tarihsel piyasa davran\u0131\u015f\u0131yla uyumlu. Uzun vadeli talep, k\u00fcresel merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131mlar\u0131yla desteklenmeye devam ederken\u2014D\u00fcnya Alt\u0131n Konseyi verilerine g\u00f6re merkez bankalar\u0131 tek bir y\u0131lda net 1.037 ton alt\u0131n sat\u0131n ald\u0131\u2014k\u0131sa vadeli t\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131 \u015fu anda a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinde. Bu k\u00e2r realizasyonu dalgas\u0131n\u0131n Ekim ay\u0131 boyunca s\u00fcrmesini ve taktik k\u0131sa pozisyon arayanlar i\u00e7in elveri\u015fli bir pencere olu\u015fturmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" XAUUSD\u2019de Elliott say\u0131m\u0131 alarm veriyor: 25 A\u011fustos zirvesinden zigzag d\u00fczeltme s\u00fcr\u00fcyor, C dalgas\u0131 impulsif d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte. 4.509,59 pivotu a\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131k\u00e7a y\u00fckseli\u015flerde sat\u0131\u015f, stop \u00fcst\u00fc; Ekim\u2019de k\u00e2r realizasyonu bekleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69059,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69060","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t