{"id":69053,"date":"2026-09-29T05:51:33","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T05:51:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/japan-set-to-reveal-september-yen-buying-as-usd-jpy-tests-159-and-intervention-risk-builds\/"},"modified":"2026-09-29T05:51:33","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T05:51:33","slug":"japan-set-to-reveal-september-yen-buying-as-usd-jpy-tests-159-and-intervention-risk-builds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/japan-set-to-reveal-september-yen-buying-as-usd-jpy-tests-159-and-intervention-risk-builds\/","title":{"rendered":"Japonya, USD\/JPY 159’u test ederken ve m\u00fcdahale riski artarken Eyl\u00fcl’deki yen al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Japonya Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, 27 A\u011fustos-28 Eyl\u00fcl d\u00f6neminde Yen al\u0131m\u0131 i\u00e7in ne kadar harcama yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131mlayacak. Bu veri, 18 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de bildirilen \u201ckur kontrol\u00fcn\u00fcn\u201d fiili m\u00fcdahaleye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcp d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmedi\u011fine dair kan\u0131t sunacak. USD\/JPY, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 159,00\u2019dan geriledikten sonra Pazartesi\u2019yi 157,50\u2019nin hemen alt\u0131nda tamamlad\u0131; g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 156,50\u2019ye kadar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc ve ard\u0131ndan toparland\u0131. A\u00e7\u0131klanacak d\u00f6nem, 159,00\u2019a do\u011fru ya\u015fanan y\u00fckseli\u015fi de kaps\u0131yor; bu nedenle s\u0131f\u0131r bir okuma, Tokyo\u2019nun s\u00f6zl\u00fc y\u00f6nlendirme ve Washington ile temaslarla yetindi\u011fine i\u015faret ederken, y\u00fcksek bir tutar 159,00 civar\u0131nda bir savunma hatt\u0131 bulundu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcrecek.<\/p>\n\n

Geli\u015fmeler yakla\u015fan verilerle de \u015fekilleniyor. \u00c7ar\u015famba 23:50 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Japonya Tankan anketinde b\u00fcy\u00fck imalat\u00e7\u0131lar endeksinin 22\u2019den 25\u2019e y\u00fckselmesi, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn ise 17\u2019den 22\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Per\u015fembe 23:30 GMT\u2019de Tokyo T\u00dcFE verisi geliyor; taze g\u0131da hari\u00e7 enflasyonun y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %1,8\u2019den %2,4\u2019e h\u0131zlanaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n politika faizi, 18 Eyl\u00fcl hamlesinin ard\u0131ndan %1,25 seviyesinde. ABD\u2019de \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00e7ekirdek PCE enflasyonunun %3,4 gelmesi beklenirken, Fed\u2019in politika faizi %3,75\u2013%4,00 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda; tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisi Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Teknik seviyelerde, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA civar\u0131nda 158,00 direnci ve Per\u015fembe zirvesi olan 159,00\u2019un hemen \u00fczeri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken; 156,50 ve 156,00\u2019n\u0131n hemen alt\u0131 destek olarak izleniyor. G\u00fcnl\u00fck Stoch RSI yakla\u015f\u0131k 66 seviyesinde.<\/p>\n\n

Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ad\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n Etkileri ve Siyasi Bask\u0131lar<\/h3>\n\n

T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, bu \u00c7ar\u015famba Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yakla\u015fan raporunu yak\u0131ndan izlemesini \u00f6neriyoruz; zira son uyar\u0131lar\u0131n \u201cdi\u015fi\u201d olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bu veri g\u00f6sterecek. A\u00e7\u0131klama, Tokyo\u2019nun 18 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019deki kur kontrol\u00fcn\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan Yen\u2019i desteklemek i\u00e7in ger\u00e7ekten kaynak harcay\u0131p harcamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyacak. Verinin fiili harcama g\u00f6stermemesi halinde, piyasan\u0131n Tokyo\u2019nun kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 test ederek USD\/JPY\u2019yi yeniden 159,00 seviyesine do\u011fru itmesini bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n\n

Washington kaynakl\u0131 siyasi bask\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da fiyatlamaya dahil etmek gerekiyor; \u00f6zellikle Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n, zay\u0131f Yen\u2019in ABD ticaretine zarar verdi\u011fine ili\u015fkin endi\u015felerini Ba\u015fbakan Takaichi\u2019ye iletmesinin ard\u0131ndan. Maliye Bakan\u0131 Katayama\u2019n\u0131n Hazine Bakan\u0131 Bessent ile koordineli \u00e7abalar\u0131, ortak bir ABD-Japonya m\u00fcdahalesini olduk\u00e7a olas\u0131 k\u0131l\u0131yor. Tarihsel olarak ortak ad\u0131mlar\u0131n etkisi y\u00fcksek olmu\u015ftur; \u00f6rne\u011fin Haziran 1998\u2019deki b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli ortak m\u00fcdahale, Yen\u2019deki sert de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131yla tersine \u00e7evirmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n

Yakla\u015fan Veriler ve Ayr\u0131\u015fan Politika Patikalar\u0131 Ortam\u0131nda \u0130\u015flem Stratejisi<\/h3>\n\n

Temel tarafta, Japonya Tankan anketi ve Tokyo T\u00dcFE ile yo\u011fun bir haftaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yoruz; Tokyo enflasyonunun %1,8\u2019den %2,4\u2019e s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131 bekleniyor. BoJ\u2019un politika faizi h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda %1,25 iken, artan enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 bu y\u0131l i\u00e7inde bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 daha de\u011ferlendirmeye itmesi muhtemel. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, %3,4 \u00e7ekirdek PCE beklentisi dahil g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri, Fed\u2019i mevcut %3,75\u2013%4,00 band\u0131ndan faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na devam etme patikas\u0131nda tutuyor.<\/p>\n\n

Bu z\u0131t dinamikler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, fiyat 156,50\u2019deki kritik destek taban\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece USD\/JPY\u2019de uzun pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 tercih ediyoruz. T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n bulundu\u011fu 158,00 b\u00f6lgesini hedefleyebilir ve m\u00fcdahale riskinin yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 159,00\u2019a do\u011fru bir hareketi g\u00fcndemde tutabilir. Bununla birlikte, s\u0131k\u0131 risk kontrol\u00fc \u00f6neriyor ve paritenin 156,50\u2019nin alt\u0131nda g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f yapmas\u0131 halinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimine d\u00f6n\u00fclmesini tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Piyasalar diken \u00fcst\u00fcnde: Japon Maliyesi\u2019nin \u00c7ar\u015famba a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 Yen al\u0131m harcamas\u0131, 159,00 savunmas\u0131 ve fiili m\u00fcdahaleyi g\u00f6sterecek. Tankan, Tokyo T\u00dcFE, ABD PCE\/NFP ve 156,50-159,00 seviyeleri izlenecek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69052,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69053","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t