Alt\u0131n, ABD Hazine tahvil getirilerinin y\u00fckselmesi ve petrol\u00fcn y\u00fcksek seyretmesiyle Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc %3,4\u2019ten fazla gerileyerek XAU\/USD \u00fczerinde bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. Metal, g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 4.280 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 4.139 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bat\u0131 Teksas tipi ham petrol (WTI) g\u00fcn i\u00e7i zirvesinden geri \u00e7ekilse de varil ba\u015f\u0131na 93,00 dolarda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131; haftaya yakla\u015f\u0131k %3\u2019e yak\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fle ba\u015flad\u0131ktan sonra %0,6 art\u0131da seyretti. Olas\u0131 bir ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u00e7eli\u015fkili haberler oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131: Al Hadath, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n uranyum zenginle\u015ftirmeyi durduraca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia ederken Press TV herhangi bir de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi yalanlad\u0131; Cumartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ise Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 reddetti.<\/p>\n\n
ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi %5,27\u2019ye y\u00fckselerek Haziran 2007\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra %5,23\u2019e \u00e7ekildi. Prime Terminal\u2019e g\u00f6re, daha s\u0131k\u0131 Fed politikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentiler de g\u00fcndemde kalmaya devam etti; para piyasalar\u0131 Ekim\u2019de 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ihtimalini %65, Aral\u0131k i\u00e7in olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise %94 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor. Grafiklerde alt\u0131n, y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimli takoz formasyonunu a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131rarak 3 A\u011fustos dip seviyesi olan 4.019 dolar\u0131 hedefledi; ay\u0131lar 4.100 ve 4.050 dolar seviyelerini izlerken, olas\u0131 bir tepki y\u00fckseli\u015finde 4.200 dolar ile 100 ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019lerin bulundu\u011fu 4.298 ve 4.319 dolar seviyelerinin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Ayr\u0131 bir geli\u015fme olarak, D\u00fcnya Alt\u0131n Konseyi verilerine g\u00f6re merkez bankalar\u0131 2022\u2019de yakla\u015f\u0131k 70 milyar dolar de\u011ferinde 1.136 ton alt\u0131n ekledi.<\/p>\n\n
XAU\/USD\u2019nin %3,4\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde d\u00fc\u015ferek 4.139 dolara gerilemesiyle alt\u0131nda belirgin bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu hareket, son olarak %5,27\u2019ye kadar \u00e7\u0131kan ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirilerindeki sert y\u00fckseli\u015ften kaynakland\u0131. Ani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe, 93 dolar civar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve olas\u0131 bir ABD-\u0130ran n\u00fckleer anla\u015fmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u00e7eli\u015fkili haberler e\u015flik etti. Bu y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131k ortam\u0131nda, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda sert dalgalanmalara haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Para piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n Aral\u0131k ay\u0131na kadar Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na %94 olas\u0131l\u0131k bi\u00e7mesi, makroekonomik zeminin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ABD Dolar\u0131 lehine oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu beklenti, y\u00fckselen getirilerin faiz getirisi olmayan alt\u0131n\u0131 elde tutman\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyetini art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eden tarihsel e\u011filimlerle de uyumlu; benzer dinamikler, getirilerin 2023 sonlar\u0131nda %5\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemde g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Yakla\u015fan JOLTS ve Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verilerini yak\u0131ndan izlemeliyiz; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc verileri, bu \u015fahin beklentileri b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla peki\u015ftirecektir.<\/p>\n\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan alt\u0131n, y\u00fckseli\u015f takoz formasyonunun alt\u0131na sarkarak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun net bi\u00e7imde kontrol\u00fc ele ald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. 4.100 ve 4.050 dolar seviyelerini hedefleyen kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131na sahip k\u0131sa vadeli put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferlendirilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. 4.100 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, fiyat\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde 4.019 dolar civar\u0131ndaki A\u011fustos dibine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir; bu da riskin tan\u0131ml\u0131 oldu\u011fu ay\u0131 dikey spread stratejilerini cazip k\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6te yandan, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da jeopolitik gerilimin daha da t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 halinde ani d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f riskine kar\u015f\u0131 temkinli olmal\u0131y\u0131z. Ger\u00e7ek bir y\u00fckseli\u015f d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc teyit etmek i\u00e7in, fiyat\u0131n 4.200 dolardaki kritik direncin ve 4.300 dolar civar\u0131ndaki ana hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 gerekir. Bu ger\u00e7ekle\u015fene kadar, y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131ktan ve de\u011ferli metal \u00fczerindeki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131dan fayda sa\u011flayan stratejileri tercih etmeliyiz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Alt\u0131nda sert sat\u0131\u015f: XAU\/USD %3,4 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcp 4.139\u2019a geriledi; ABD 10Y faiz %5,27 ile bask\u0131 kurdu. Petrol 93$ civar\u0131nda. Fed art\u0131\u015f ihtimali y\u00fcksek; teknik 4.100\/4.050 hedef, 4.019 riskte.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69044,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69045","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t