{"id":69006,"date":"2026-09-28T13:51:30","date_gmt":"2026-09-28T13:51:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/gold-slides-to-august-low-as-surging-yields-and-oil-driven-inflation-revive-fed-hike-bets\/"},"modified":"2026-09-28T13:51:30","modified_gmt":"2026-09-28T13:51:30","slug":"gold-slides-to-august-low-as-surging-yields-and-oil-driven-inflation-revive-fed-hike-bets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gold-slides-to-august-low-as-surging-yields-and-oil-driven-inflation-revive-fed-hike-bets\/","title":{"rendered":"Artan tahvil getirileri ve petrol kaynakl\u0131 enflasyonun Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini yeniden canland\u0131rmas\u0131yla alt\u0131n a\u011fustosun en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD) Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %3 d\u00fc\u015ferek 4.150 dolar civar\u0131na, 5 A\u011fustos\u2019tan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi. Y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131k zirvedeki tahvil getirileri, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya gidece\u011fi beklentilerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Metal, ocak ay\u0131ndaki 5.600 dolar civar\u0131ndaki zirvesine g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k %25 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da bulunurken, ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi %5,23\u2019e y\u00fckselerek 2007\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Piyasalar, Fed\u2019in 15-16 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019deki 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan bir hamleyi daha fiyatl\u0131yor; CME FedWatch, ekim ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %70 olarak g\u00f6steriyor. ABD Dolar Endeksi 101,16 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rerek bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n

Petrol, ABD-\u0130srail\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n daha geni\u015f bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden tedarik hatlar\u0131n\u0131 aksatmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u015fubat sonundan bu yana oynak seyrediyor. Donald Trump, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bo\u011faz\u0131 yedi g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yeniden a\u00e7ma \u00f6nerisini reddetti; ancak ek g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin s\u00fcrmesi bekleniyor. Arabulucular\u0131n Pazartesi ya da Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD ve \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililerle bir araya geldi\u011fi belirtiliyor. Grafik taraf\u0131nda XAU\/USD; 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n\u0131n (SMA) alt\u0131nda kalmaya devam ediyor; RSI 36 seviyesinde ve MACD s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n alt\u0131nda. Diren\u00e7 4.298, 4.320, 4.540 ve 4.700 dolar b\u00f6lgelerinde; destek ise 4.150 ve 4.000 dolarda izleniyor. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc PCE enflasyonu, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ISM PMI ve Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (NFP) verileri oda\u011fa giriyor. Merkez bankalar\u0131 2022\u2019de yakla\u015f\u0131k 70 milyar dolar de\u011ferinde 1.136 ton alt\u0131n ekledi.<\/p>\n\n

T\u00fcrev Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc: D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f E\u011filimi ve Opsiyon Stratejileri<\/h3>\n\n

T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, fiyatlar\u0131n 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalama dahil kritik ortalamalar\u0131n belirgin \u015fekilde alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi nedeniyle, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda alt\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimini korumas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizinin %5,23\u2019te tutunarak 2007\u2019den bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyede kalmas\u0131, getirisi olmayan bu metali elde tutman\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyetini son derece y\u00fcksek k\u0131l\u0131yor. Opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in, psikolojik 4.000 dolar destek seviyesini hedefleyen k\u0131sa vadeli put opsiyonlar\u0131 almak, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumdan faydalanmak ad\u0131na hesapl\u0131 bir y\u00f6ntem sunuyor.<\/p>\n\n

Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki arz endi\u015feleri nedeniyle Brent petrol\u00fcn varil ba\u015f\u0131na 90 dolar civar\u0131nda dalgaland\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u00fcresel petrol piyasalar\u0131 da yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli. Y\u00fcksek enerji maliyetleri, k\u00fcresel enflasyonu beslemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentileri g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Bu makroekonomik ortam, tarihsel olarak alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor; bu nedenle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, ge\u00e7ici fiyat toparlanmalar\u0131nda prim erimesinden (time decay) yararlanmak i\u00e7in call opsiyonlar\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f taraf\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n\n

Oynakl\u0131k Beklentileri ve Risk Y\u00f6netimi<\/h3>\n\n

Ayr\u0131ca piyasan\u0131n ABD PCE enflasyonu, ISM PMI ve Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verilerini sindirmesiyle bu hafta oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n artmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Fed fon vadeli i\u015flemleri halihaz\u0131rda ekim ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %70 olarak fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, bu verilerde beklenmedik g\u00fc\u00e7lenme sert piyasa hareketlerini tetikleyebilir. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klamalar \u00f6ncesinde long straddle veya strangle stratejileri uygulamak, piyasan\u0131n hangi y\u00f6ne gitti\u011finden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olarak b\u00fcy\u00fck oynakl\u0131k k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131mlar\u0131ndan kazan\u00e7 elde etmeye imk\u00e2n tan\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n

Ana trend g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc olsa da, g\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi\u2019nin (RSI) 36 ile a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine yak\u0131n seyretmesi izlenmeli. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n bask\u0131n kald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ederken k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli bir \u201cshort kapama\u201d kaynakl\u0131 tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da canl\u0131 tutuyor. Bu riski y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in vadeli i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, fiyatlar kritik 4.150 dolar destek taban\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131rken kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 korumak ad\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131 takip eden zarar-kes (trailing stop) kullanmas\u0131 \u00f6nerilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n sert sat\u0131\u015fta: XAU\/USD %3 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 4.150$\u2019a indi. Petrol ve %5,23\u2019l\u00fck tahvil faizi Fed\u2019le s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma beklentisini k\u00f6r\u00fckl\u00fcyor. Teknik zay\u0131f; 4.000$ hedefte. Kritik veriler, opsiyonda put\/straddle\u2019\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":69005,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-69006","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t