{"id":68983,"date":"2026-09-28T06:51:32","date_gmt":"2026-09-28T06:51:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/gold-slips-under-4200-as-us-yields-rise-and-october-fed-hike-bets-firm\/"},"modified":"2026-09-28T06:51:32","modified_gmt":"2026-09-28T06:51:32","slug":"gold-slips-under-4200-as-us-yields-rise-and-october-fed-hike-bets-firm","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gold-slips-under-4200-as-us-yields-rise-and-october-fed-hike-bets-firm\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD tahvil getirileri y\u00fckselirken alt\u0131n 4.200 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na geriledi, Fed\u2019in ekim ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), erken Asya i\u015flemlerinde 4.200 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na gerileyerek 5 A\u011fustos\u2019tan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD tahvil getirilerindeki y\u00fckseli\u015fin, faiz getirisi olmayan k\u00fcl\u00e7eye y\u00f6nelik talebi zay\u0131flatmaya devam etmesi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte etkili oldu. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed), Eyl\u00fcl 2026 ortas\u0131nda politika faizini \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l aradan sonra ilk kez art\u0131rd\u0131 ve y\u0131l sonuna kadar bir ad\u0131m daha gelebilece\u011fine i\u015faret etti; CME Group\u2019un FedWatch Arac\u0131, piyasalar\u0131n Ekim ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %68 olarak fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterirken, di\u011fer piyasa fiyatlamalar\u0131 ilave 25 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f ihtimalinin yakla\u015f\u0131k %70 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler de ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na (USD) destek verdi: Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u0130ran teklifini reddederken, ABD ara se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik yeni sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Husiler ile Yemen h\u00fck\u00fcmet g\u00fc\u00e7lerini i\u00e7eren \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ise petrolde risk primini canl\u0131 tuttu.<\/p>\n

G\u00f6zler \u015fimdi FOMC \u00fcyelerinin konu\u015fmalar\u0131na ve bir dizi ABD verisine \u00e7evrildi. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc PCE Fiyat Endeksi ve 2\u00c7 nihai GSYH verisi a\u00e7\u0131klanacak; Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ise Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP) raporu izlenecek. Teknik tarafta parite, 100 periyotluk EMA yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z denemenin ard\u0131ndan Haziran\u2013A\u011fustos y\u00fckseli\u015finin %61,8 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesinin alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131; MACD negatif b\u00f6lgede ve RSI 38 civar\u0131nda. Destek seviyeleri 4.099 dolar ve ard\u0131ndan 3.939 dolar civar\u0131 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken; diren\u00e7 4.226, 4.314 ve 4.352 dolar seviyelerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Daha yukar\u0131da ise 4.403 ve 4.513 dolar ek bariyerler olarak izleniyor.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131nda A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 Y\u00f6n \u0130\u00e7in T\u00fcrev \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri<\/h3>\n

Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131n\u0131n kritik 4.200 dolar destek seviyesinin alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131yla birlikte, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn devam\u0131na y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Tarihsel olarak, \u015fahin para politikas\u0131 ko\u015fullar\u0131nda alt\u0131n %61,8 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda momentuma sat\u0131c\u0131lar h\u00e2kim olur. Bir sonraki ana destek taban\u0131 olan 4.099 dolara do\u011fru k\u0131sa pozisyon hedeflenebilir.<\/p>\n

Ekim ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131\u2014halen yakla\u015f\u0131k %68 ila %70 band\u0131nda fiyatlan\u0131yor\u2014XAU\/USD \u00fczerinde vade d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 almay\u0131, bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendine s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle kat\u0131lman\u0131n bir yolu h\u00e2line getiriyor. Bu strateji, olas\u0131 jeopolitik t\u0131rmanmalar\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7ici olarak g\u00fcvenli liman al\u0131mlar\u0131yla yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekmesi durumunda riskimizi s\u0131n\u0131rlar. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumdan yararlanmak i\u00e7in 4.100 dolar civar\u0131ndaki kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131 hedeflenebilir.<\/p>\n

Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Y\u00f6netmek ve Alt\u0131n-Dolar Korelasyonundan Yararlanmak<\/h3>\n

Bu hafta ABD PCE ve Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam gibi kritik g\u00f6stergelerin a\u00e7\u0131klanacak olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, artan piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131na haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmak gerekiyor. Tarihsel olarak, \u00f6nemli veri haftalar\u0131 G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi\u2019ni (RSI) mevcut 38 seviyesinin de alt\u0131na, daha derin \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m\u201d b\u00f6lgesine itebiliyor. \u0130\u015flem maliyetini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcrken a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimi korumak i\u00e7in ay\u0131 put spread stratejileri kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131ca, y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n da destekledi\u011fi alt\u0131n ile ABD Dolar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc negatif korelasyondan yararlan\u0131labilir. 4.226 dolar diren\u00e7 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde alt\u0131n al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 satmak, prim geliri toplayarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar\u0131n olas\u0131 toparlanmay\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle uyumludur. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131k zirvelerde seyreden tahvil getirilerinin faizsiz varl\u0131klar \u00fczerinde olu\u015fturdu\u011fu genel bask\u0131yla da \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n 4.200 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkarak dip aray\u0131\u015f\u0131na girdi; y\u00fckselen ABD tahvil getirileri ve Fed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015fu bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Piyasalar Ekim faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcksek g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; destek 4.099.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49965,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68983","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t