{"id":68883,"date":"2026-09-26T09:51:53","date_gmt":"2026-09-26T09:51:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/ing-sees-faster-korea-output-growth-wider-surplus-and-softer-inflation-supporting-won-and-bonds\/"},"modified":"2026-09-26T09:51:53","modified_gmt":"2026-09-26T09:51:53","slug":"ing-sees-faster-korea-output-growth-wider-surplus-and-softer-inflation-supporting-won-and-bonds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/ing-sees-faster-korea-output-growth-wider-surplus-and-softer-inflation-supporting-won-and-bonds\/","title":{"rendered":"ING, Kore \u00dcretim Art\u0131\u015f\u0131nda H\u0131zlanma, Daha Geni\u015f Cari Fazla ve Daha Il\u0131ml\u0131 Enflasyonun Won ve Tahvilleri Destekledi\u011fini \u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

ING\u2019nin Asya-Pasifik ara\u015ft\u0131rma birimi, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak G\u00fcney Kore A\u011fustos sanayi \u00fcretimi verisinin daha h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye i\u015faret etmesini bekliyor. Piyasa beklentisi, \u00fcretimin Temmuz\u2019daki %3,6\u2019dan %4,5\u2019e y\u00fckselerek y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda artmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde; ayl\u0131k bazda \u00fcretimin ise %0,5 artaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor. Ayn\u0131 notta, d\u0131\u015f ticaret b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi so\u011fusa bile daha geni\u015f bir ticaret fazlas\u0131na i\u015faret edilirken, teknoloji ve yar\u0131 iletken ihracat\u0131n\u0131n destek sa\u011flamaya devam etti\u011fi vurgulan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Eyl\u00fcl d\u0131\u015f ticaret verileri i\u00e7in ihracat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %61,2\u2019ye, ithalat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ise %20,7\u2019ye \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu yava\u015flamaya ra\u011fmen, d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131n\u0131n 38,4 milyar dolara geni\u015flemesi bekleniyor. Fiyatlar cephesinde, man\u015fet T\u00dcFE enflasyonunun Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %3,0 olmas\u0131 (A\u011fustos: %3,1), \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun ise %3,4\u2019ten %2,8\u2019e gerilemesi bekleniyor; bu da altta yatan enflasyonist bask\u0131lar\u0131n zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Kur ve Tahvil T\u00fcrevlerinde F\u0131rsatlar<\/h3>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir Kore Wonu senaryosu i\u00e7in t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli bir f\u0131rsat penceresi g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Yar\u0131 iletken talebine dayal\u0131 diren\u00e7li ihracat\u0131n etkisiyle G\u00fcney Kore\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131n\u0131n 38,4 milyar dolara geni\u015flemesinin beklenmesi, para biriminin de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na zemin haz\u0131rl\u0131yor. Bu ihracat odakl\u0131 momentumu de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in KRW al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 veya USD\/KRW vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda k\u0131sa (short) pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n

Sabit getirili tarafta ise, yurti\u00e7i fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n so\u011fumas\u0131yla Kore Hazine Tahvili (KTB) vadeli i\u015flemlerinde y\u00fckseli\u015f bekliyoruz. \u00c7ekirdek enflasyonun %2,8\u2019e gerileyece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc, ilerleyen d\u00f6nemde Kore Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019na daha destekleyici bir para politikas\u0131 i\u00e7in geni\u015f bir alan tan\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, d\u00fc\u015fen getirilerden faydalanmak \u00fczere 3 y\u0131ll\u0131k KTB vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda uzun (long) pozisyon olu\u015fturmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n

Hisse Senedi T\u00fcrevlerinde Ralli Beklentisi<\/h3>\n

Son olarak, sanayi \u00fcretimindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin beklenen %4,5 seviyesine h\u0131zlanmas\u0131yla hisse senedi t\u00fcrevleri piyasas\u0131n\u0131n hedeflenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Tarihsel olarak, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sanayi \u00fcretimi ile geni\u015fleyen d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131n\u0131n birle\u015fimi KOSPI 200 endeksinde belirgin yukar\u0131 hareketleri tetikledi. Y\u00fcksek teknoloji imalat\u0131n\u0131n ekonomik geni\u015flemeye \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck etti\u011fi bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te, KOSPI 200\u2019de paraya yak\u0131n (near-the-money) al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 almak, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n bu momentumu yakalamas\u0131na imk\u00e2n tan\u0131yacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

G\u00fcney Kore\u2019de veri trafi\u011fi heyecan\u0131: sanayi \u00fcretimi %4,5\u2019e h\u0131zlanabilir. \u0130hracat yava\u015flasa da fazla 38,4 milyar $\u2019a geni\u015fliyor. KRW call\/USDKRW short, 3Y KTB long, KOSPI 200 call \u00f6neriliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50284,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68883","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t