BoE Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Lombardelli ve Breeden, faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 desteklemeye do\u011fru yakla\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 belirtirken Sterlin buna ra\u011fmen d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc seans\u0131 da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatt\u0131; GBP\/USD paritesi 1,3200\u2019nin hemen \u00fczerinde kalarak yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD\u2019de New York Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Williams, y\u0131l sonundan \u00f6nce bir art\u0131\u015f daha yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n makul bir beklenti oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylerken, Philadelphia Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Paulson da s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n gerekebilece\u011fini ifade etti. \u0130\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 201 bin beklentiye kar\u015f\u0131 197 bin geldi. Fed 28 Ekim\u2019de, BoE ise 5 Kas\u0131m\u2019da toplan\u0131yor; bu takvim, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019taki olas\u0131 bir hamlenin, piyasalar\u0131n zaten muhtemel g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ABD karar\u0131ndan sekiz g\u00fcn sonra gelmesi anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n\n
BoE, 17 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de Banka Faizi\u2019ni (Bank Rate) 6\u20133 oyla %3,75\u2019te tuttu. Ba\u015f Ekonomist Pill ile d\u0131\u015f \u00fcyeler Greene ve Mann %4\u2019\u00fc tercih ederken, Lombardelli ve Breeden sabit b\u0131rakma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde oy kulland\u0131. Piyasalar 5 Kas\u0131m\u2019da 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %75 fiyatl\u0131yor ve \u015eubat\u2019a kadar bir art\u0131\u015f daha bekliyor; bu da Banka Faizi\u2019ni %4\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131yarak Fed\u2019in mevcut band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na e\u015fitleyebilir ve 28 Ekim sonras\u0131 olu\u015fabilecek band\u0131n alt s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131yla da k\u0131yaslanabilir hale getirebilir. Reuters, Washington ve Tahran m\u00fczakerecilerinin, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 a\u015famal\u0131 bir anla\u015fma ihtimalini de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fini bildirdi; Brent petrol ise varil ba\u015f\u0131na 106 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. 2 Ekim \u00f6ncesinde Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019ta yaln\u0131zca 30 Eyl\u00fcl 06:00 GMT\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak nihai 2\u00c7 GSYH tahmini bulunuyor; beklenti \u00e7eyreklik %0,4 ve y\u0131ll\u0131k %1,2 ile de\u011fi\u015fim olmamas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. BoE konu\u015fmalar\u0131 devam ederken, ABD\u2019de dayan\u0131kl\u0131 mal sipari\u015fleri ve Michigan \u00dcniversitesi (UoM) anketi, 30 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de PCE fiyat endeksi ve A\u011fustos\u2019taki 162 binin ard\u0131ndan 2 Ekim\u2019de tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (NFP) verisi izlenecek. Teknik tarafta diren\u00e7 1,3250\u2019nin hemen \u00fczerinde ve ard\u0131ndan 1,3300 seviyesinde; destek 1,3200\u2019de, sonras\u0131nda 1,3150\u2019nin hemen alt\u0131nda ve 1,3100\u2019da bulunuyor. Stokastik RSI yakla\u015f\u0131k 11 seviyesinde; 1,3250 alt\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm 1,3150 ard\u0131ndan 1,3100 hedeflerini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor; g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n 1,3300 \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi halinde g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ge\u00e7ersiz say\u0131lacak.<\/p>\n\n—\n\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda GBP\/USD\u2019de, paritenin 1,3200 destek seviyesini korumakta zorlanmas\u0131 nedeniyle g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taktiksel k\u0131sa (short) f\u0131rsat\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 yetkililerinden gelen \u015fahin s\u00f6yleme ra\u011fmen, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n getiri avantaj\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nce geni\u015flemesi bekleniyor; bu da Sterlin \u00fczerinde aral\u0131ks\u0131z a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. Fed\u2019in 28 Ekim\u2019de\u2014BoE\u2019den sekiz g\u00fcn \u00f6nce\u2014faiz karar\u0131 verecek olmas\u0131, ABD\u2019de olas\u0131 bir s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019taki politika ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nden fiyatlay\u0131p g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rakmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n\n
K\u0131sa y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimimiz 1,3250 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesinin alt\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde ge\u00e7erlili\u011fini koruyor; ilk hedefimiz 1,3150, ikincil hedefimiz 1,3100. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosu, haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerin aksine 197 bine gerilemesiyle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan ABD i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan da destekleniyor; bu tablo Fed\u2019i \u015fahin patikada tutuyor. Ayr\u0131ca GBP\/USD\u2019nin g\u00fcnl\u00fck Stokastik G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (Stoch RSI) yakla\u015f\u0131k 11 gibi zay\u0131f bir seviyede seyrederek momentumun belirgin bi\u00e7imde sat\u0131c\u0131larda oldu\u011funu teyit ediyor.<\/p>\n\n—\n\n
T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in 1,3250\u2019ye do\u011fru y\u00fckseli\u015flerde k\u0131sa (short) pozisyon a\u00e7mak, 1,3300\u2019daki kritik psikolojik tavan\u0131n hemen \u00fczerinde belirlenebilecek s\u0131k\u0131 bir zarar-kes (stop-loss) ile cazip bir risk-getiri oran\u0131 sunuyor. Brent petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 da yak\u0131ndan izlemek gerekiyor; Brent varil ba\u015f\u0131na 106 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalarak k\u00fcresel enflasyon endi\u015felerini beslemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 30 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD PCE enflasyon verisi veya 2 Ekim\u2019deki tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisi (NFP) beklentileri a\u015farsa, Sterlin\u2019deki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn 1,3100 hedefimize do\u011fru h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 olas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u015eahin BoE sinyallerine ra\u011fmen Sterlin d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnd\u00fcr d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor: GBP\/USD 1,3200 \u00fcst\u00fcnde \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n dibinde. Fed\u2019in \u00f6nden s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131 bask\u0131 kuruyor; 1,3250 alt\u0131nda 1,3150-1,3100 hedefli short g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49989,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68829","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t