Sterlin Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde Dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,12 d\u00fc\u015ferek yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3225 seviyesine geriledi. GBP\/USD paritesi, ABD Hazine tahvil getirilerinin y\u00fckselmesi ve piyasalar\u0131n Federal Rezerv\u2019in ek s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya gidece\u011fi beklentisine y\u00f6nelmesiyle bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvili getirisi %5,15\u2019e \u00e7\u0131karak 19 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc; Dolar da g\u00fc\u00e7lendi: DXY %0,15 art\u0131\u015fla 101,32 civar\u0131na y\u00fckselerek son sekiz haftan\u0131n en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131. CME FedWatch, bu y\u0131l kalan iki toplant\u0131n\u0131n her biri i\u00e7in Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %55\u2019e yak\u0131n g\u00f6sterdi. Ayr\u0131 olarak, Fed\u2019den Williams FXS Speechtracker\u2019da tarihsel 6,2\/10 ortalamas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 7,2\/10 puan ald\u0131; FXS Fed Duyarl\u0131l\u0131k Endeksi ise 0,18 puan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 148,63\u2019e geriledi ancak n\u00f6tr 100 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) cephesinde mesajlar b\u00f6l\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015f kalmaya devam etti. Clare Lombardelli FXS Speechtracker\u2019da 8,4\/10 puanla tarihsel ortalamas\u0131na paralel seyrederken, Swati Dhingra 3,2\/10 ile yine kendi normuna yak\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Grafiklerde GBP\/USD, 20 periyotluk EMA\u2019s\u0131 olan 1,3421\u2019in alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken RSI (14) yakla\u015f\u0131k 24,7 seviyesinde; diren\u00e7 1,3421 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde odak y\u0131l i\u00e7i dip seviye olan 1,3140\u2019ta kalmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda GBP\/USD paritesinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesine y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlanmay\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Paritenin 1,3225\u2019te i\u015flem g\u00f6rmesi ve 1,3421 seviyesindeki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcssel hareketli ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n belirgin \u015fekilde alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131, y\u0131l i\u00e7i dip seviye 1,3140\u2019\u0131 hedeflemek i\u00e7in bear put spread stratejisini etkin bir ara\u00e7 haline getiriyor. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi\u2019nin (RSI) 24,7 ile derin \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m\u201d b\u00f6lgede olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, ani ve k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli tepki y\u00fckseli\u015flerine kar\u015f\u0131 riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamak ad\u0131na vadeli kontratlarda \u00e7\u0131plak k\u0131sa pozisyon yerine opsiyon kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvili getirilerinin %5,15 ile 19 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesine sert y\u00fckseli\u015fi, tahvil vadeli i\u015flemlerinde k\u0131sa pozisyon almak veya uzun vadeli Hazine ETF\u2019lerinde put opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n almak i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir f\u0131rsat sunuyor. Bu getiri s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131, CME FedWatch arac\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l iki ek faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini %55 olarak g\u00f6stermesiyle g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destekleniyor. 1994 ve 2006\u2019daki tarihsel s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma d\u00f6ng\u00fclerine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Fed resmi olarak \u201cduraklama\u201d sinyali verene kadar getirilerin \u00e7o\u011fu zaman y\u00fckselmeye devam etti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ABD getirilerinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesini bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n
DXY\u2019nin 101,32 ile sekiz haftan\u0131n zirvesine t\u0131rman\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan faydalanmak i\u00e7in ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) \u00fczerinde al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 da \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu arada, BoE politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki keskin ayr\u0131\u015fma\u2014bir tarafta \u015fahin \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 endi\u015feleri, di\u011fer tarafta zay\u0131f i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 verileri\u2014Sterlin\u2019de y\u00fcksek volatiliteyi tetiklemeye aday. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, GBP\/USD straddle alarak bu belirsizlikten yararlanabilir; b\u00f6ylece piyasan\u0131n birbiriyle \u00e7eli\u015fen merkez bankas\u0131 patikalar\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlamakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemde kurda sert dalgalanmalardan kazan\u00e7 elde etme imk\u00e2n\u0131 do\u011far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin dolara kar\u015f\u0131 1,3225\u2019e inerken ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k getirisi %5,15\u2019le 19 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesinde: Fed\u2019de iki ek art\u0131\u015f ihtimali %55. DXY g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken BoE ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 volatiliteyi b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50104,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68803","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t