GBP\/USD, 21 A\u011fustos 2026\u2019daki zirveden bu yana geriliyor ve hareket be\u015f dalgal\u0131 bir impuls olarak \u00e7er\u00e7eveleniyor. ((i)) dalgas\u0131 1,3474\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fckten sonra, ((ii)) dalgas\u0131 1,3569\u2019a toparland\u0131. Sat\u0131\u015flar ((iii)) dalgas\u0131nda 1,3335\u2019e kadar yeniden h\u0131z kazan\u0131rken, ((iv)) dalgas\u0131 1,34 seviyesine toparland\u0131. Fiyat hareketi \u015fimdi ((v)) dalgas\u0131n\u0131n tamamlanmaya yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor; bu da A\u011fustos zirvesinden ba\u015flayan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc bitirerek, daha geni\u015f \u00f6l\u00e7ekli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi yeniden devreye girmeden \u00f6nce \u00fc\u00e7 dalgal\u0131 bir d\u00fczeltme rallisine zemin haz\u0131rlayacak.<\/p>\n\n
\u0130lave teyit, 24 Haziran 2026 dip seviyesi olan 1,314\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131na bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131ma ba\u011fl\u0131. Bu k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde be\u015f sal\u0131n\u0131m\u0131 do\u011frulayacak ve dalga say\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 (W)-(X)-(Y) olarak etiketlenen \u201cdouble three\u201d d\u00fczeltmesiyle uyumlu tutacak. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede odak Fibonacci uzatma (extension) \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na kay\u0131yor: (W) dalgas\u0131n\u0131n %100 ila %161,8 projeksiyonu 1,249 ile 1,294 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hedefliyor. Bu bant, analizde referans verilen bir sonraki destek k\u00fcmesini olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n\n
\u015eu anda GBP\/USD paritesinin A\u011fustos zirvesinden itibaren k\u0131sa vadeli a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc be\u015f dalgal\u0131 d\u00f6ng\u00fcy\u00fc tamamlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; bu da ge\u00e7ici bir tepki y\u00fckseli\u015finin \u00e7ok yak\u0131n oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Beklenen bu d\u00fczeltme rallisi, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) para politikas\u0131nda temkinli duru\u015funu korudu\u011fu bir d\u00f6neme denk geliyor: faizler %3,75\u2019te tutulurken, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ge\u00e7en \u00e7eyrekte yaln\u0131zca %0,1\u2019e yava\u015flad\u0131. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n mevcut seviyelerden yeni k\u0131sa pozisyon a\u00e7maktan ka\u00e7\u0131nmas\u0131 ve bunun yerine \u00fc\u00e7 dalgal\u0131 d\u00fczeltme niteli\u011finde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n
Bu ge\u00e7ici d\u00fczeltme rallisinin olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 bekleyerek, put opsiyonlar\u0131 veya bear call spread\u2019leri \u00fczerinden k\u0131sa pozisyonlar\u0131 bu ralli s\u0131ras\u0131nda in\u015fa etmeyi \u00f6neriyoruz. Tarihsel olarak Eyl\u00fcl ve Ekim, Sterlin a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan y\u00fcksek volatiliteye sahne olan aylar; GBP\/USD son be\u015f y\u0131lda bu sonbahar d\u00f6neminde ortalama 350 pipin \u00fczerinde i\u015flem aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 sergiledi. Yakla\u015fan ge\u00e7ici g\u00fc\u00e7lenmede sat\u0131\u015f yapmak, yeniden devreye girmesini bekledi\u011fimiz daha geni\u015f \u00f6l\u00e7ekli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendiyle tam uyumlu.<\/p>\n\n
Daha uzun vadeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosu i\u00e7in as\u0131l teyit, kurun 24 Haziran\u2019daki kritik 1,314 destek seviyesinin alt\u0131na inmesiyle gelecek. Bu seviyenin net bi\u00e7imde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, 1,249\u20131,294 nihai hedef b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru daha derin bir kaymay\u0131 i\u015faret edecektir. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda ana a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc uzama (extension) s\u00fcreci ilerlerken sermayeyi korumak i\u00e7in, d\u00fczeltme dalgalar\u0131n\u0131n tepe seviyelerinin hemen \u00fczerine zarar-kes (stop-loss) konumland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin\/Dolar\u2019da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f be\u015f dalgada sona yakla\u015f\u0131yor: ((v)) bitince \u00fc\u00e7 dalgal\u0131 tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi gelebilir. Kritik teyit 1,314 alt\u0131; k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa hedef 1,249\u20131,294. Sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 ralli.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49969,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68789","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t