Alt\u0131n, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde, haftal\u0131k dip seviyeleri olan 4.300 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na uzanan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan yatay seyretti; XAU\/USD 4.286,99 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, dikkat g\u00fcn\u00fcn ilerleyen saatlerinde yap\u0131lmas\u0131 beklenen Trump\u2013Xi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesine \u00e7evrildi. Geri \u00e7ekilme, \u00f6nceki yatay banttan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi. Daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve y\u00fckselen ABD Hazine tahvili getirileri getirisi olmayan metal \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yarat\u0131rken, \u0130ran \u00e7evresindeki jeopolitik gerilimler ve Husilerin Suudi Arabistan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131 riski, ham petrol\u00fc yeniden 100 dolara do\u011fru ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. ABD Dolar\u0131, y\u00fcksek seyreden getirilerle birlikte kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 korurken, daha \u015fahin bir Fed duru\u015funa y\u00f6nelik beklentiler g\u00fcndemde kalmaya devam etti; bununla birlikte ABD-\u00c7in ticaret ate\u015fkesinin 10 Ocak\u2019a kadar uzat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirildi.<\/p>\n
Grafiklerde alt\u0131n, kilit hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc; 21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 4.371,89 dolarla spotun \u00fczerinde yer al\u0131rken, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ler 4.312,48 ve 4.309,05 dolarda yak\u0131n vadeli tepki denemelerini s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131; 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ise 4.541,69 dolarda bulunuyordu. RSI 44,52 seviyesindeydi. Scotiabank\u2019\u0131n DXY \u00e7er\u00e7evesi, 100,85\u2019lik spot endekse kar\u015f\u0131 101 seviyesinde tahmini bir dengeye i\u015faret ederken, yak\u0131n vadeli teknik odak olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck 101 b\u00f6lgesini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Destek seviyeleri 4.000,03 ve 3.990,07 dolar olarak belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n, kritik 4.300 dolar seviyesinin alt\u0131nda 4.286,99 dolarda seyrederken, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda artan volatiliteye haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Ba\u015fkan Trump ile \u015ei Cinping aras\u0131ndaki y\u00fcksek riskli g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme ile ticaret ate\u015fkesinin 10 Ocak\u2019a uzat\u0131lmas\u0131, son derece \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemez bir ortam yarat\u0131yor. Bu ko\u015fullarda, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara k\u0131sa vadeli alt\u0131n sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 kullanarak k\u0131sa vadeli a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu de\u011ferlendirmelerini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Temkinli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcm\u00fcz, DXY\u2019yi 100,85 civar\u0131nda tutan g\u00fc\u00e7lenen ABD Dolar\u0131 ve y\u00fckselen tahvil getirileriyle g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destekleniyor. Tarihsel olarak, k\u0131sa vade getiri farklar\u0131 geni\u015fledi\u011finde ve DXY adil de\u011feri 101 civar\u0131nda seyretti\u011finde, alt\u0131n gibi getirisi olmayan varl\u0131klar ciddi r\u00fczgarla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kal\u0131yor. ABD Dolar\u0131 temel g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc koruduk\u00e7a prim toplamak amac\u0131yla 4.309\u20134.312 dolar band\u0131ndaki kilit diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesine yak\u0131n seviyelerde al\u0131m (call) opsiyonu sat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da t\u0131rmanan gerilimler nedeniyle ham petrol\u00fcn yeniden 100 dolar seviyesine y\u00f6neldi\u011fi enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc de yak\u0131ndan izlemek gerekiyor. Daha y\u00fcksek petrol fiyatlar\u0131, k\u00fcresel enflasyonu yeniden alevlendirme riski ta\u015f\u0131yor; bu da Fed\u2019in faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 bu makro risklere kar\u015f\u0131, alt\u0131n taraf\u0131nda k\u0131sa y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimi korurken ham petrol vadeli i\u015flemlerinde kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 piyasa fiyat\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda (out-of-the-money) olan al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n alarak korunma sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda alt\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI\u2019\u0131 44,52\u2019ye gerileyerek k\u0131sa vadeli momentumun sat\u0131c\u0131lardan yana oldu\u011funu teyit ediyor. Mevcut destek seviyeleri k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa, metalin 4.000 dolar gibi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc psikolojik e\u015fi\u011fe do\u011fru kaymas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Bu olas\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmek isteyen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, yakla\u015fan Ekim vadesi i\u00e7in kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 4.100 dolar civar\u0131nda hedeflenen alt\u0131n put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Alt\u0131n 4.300 dolar alt\u0131na sark\u0131p 4.286\u2019da yatay: g\u00f6zler Trump\u2013Xi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesinde. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc petrol ve y\u00fckselen tahvil getirileri bask\u0131 kuruyor. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm zay\u0131f; 4.000 deste\u011fi g\u00fcndemde, opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50139,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68788","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t