WTI, \u00f6nceki g\u00fcnk\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geri \u00e7ekilerek Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya saatlerinde varil ba\u015f\u0131na 90,80 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve 91,00 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. ABD-\u0130ran diplomatik g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerindeki ilerlemeye ili\u015fkin belirsizlik s\u00fcrse de fiyat hareketi zay\u0131flad\u0131; m\u00fczakerelerin bozulmas\u0131 halinde ham petrol toparlanmaya a\u00e7\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n
BM Genel Kurulu\u2019nda \u0130ran Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Mesud Peze\u015fkiyan, Tahran\u2019\u0131n tehditlere boyun e\u011fmeyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi; ekonomik kalk\u0131nma i\u00e7in n\u00fckleer teknoloji aray\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n hakk\u0131 oldu\u011funu yineledi ve ABD yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ile ablukalar\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fckte kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan seyr\u00fcsefer serbestisini k\u0131s\u0131tlayacaklar\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Washington\u2019da ABD Enerji Bakan\u0131 Chris Wright, Trump y\u00f6netiminin yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131na sevkiyat yasa\u011f\u0131na alternatif olarak ABD\u2019li rafinerilerle birlikte ABD dizel ihracat\u0131nda g\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fc bir azalt\u0131m \u00fczerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Di\u011fer yandan Suudi Arabistan, Do\u011fu-Bat\u0131 boru hatt\u0131 \u00fczerinden petrol ihracat\u0131n\u0131 yeniden ba\u015flatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131rken, Ukrayna Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Volodimir Zelenskiy, olas\u0131 bir enerji ate\u015fkesi konusunda Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump ile son d\u00f6nemde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. TD Securities, piyasan\u0131n \u201canla\u015fma ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131\u201d temkinli kar\u015f\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve daha y\u00fcksek spek\u00fclatif pozisyonlanman\u0131n ham petrol\u00fc temel dinamiklerden ziyade g\u00fcnl\u00fck man\u015fetlere kar\u015f\u0131 daha hassas hale getirebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n\n
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) 91,00 dolar\u0131n hemen alt\u0131nda seyrederken, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda petrol piyasas\u0131nda sert volatilite bekliyoruz. G\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 20 milyon varil petrol\u00fcn ge\u00e7ti\u011fi H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda navlun\/ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k aksamas\u0131 tehdidi, ani fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131n\u0131 olduk\u00e7a olas\u0131 k\u0131l\u0131yor. T\u00fcrev piyasa yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na \u015fu a\u015famada a\u011f\u0131r y\u00f6nsel pozisyonlardan ka\u00e7\u0131nmalar\u0131n\u0131, bunun yerine risk azalt\u0131m\u0131na odaklanmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Piyasay\u0131 \u015fu anda uzun vadeli arz-talep dengelerinden ziyade man\u015fetler y\u00f6nlendiriyor; bu da standart teknik analizi daha az g\u00fcvenilir hale getiriyor. Spek\u00fclatif pozisyonlanma \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fundan, diplomatik g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere ya da ABD\u2019nin g\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fc ihracat k\u0131s\u0131tlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin tek bir s\u00f6ylenti bile b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 pozisyon tasfiyelerini tetikleyebilir. Y\u00f6n tahmini yapmadan sert fiyat hareketlerinden faydalanmak i\u00e7in straddle veya strangle gibi opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
ABD dizel ihracat\u0131nda g\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fc kesinti tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ve Avrupa\u2019da olas\u0131 enerji ate\u015fkesi s\u00f6ylemleri belirsizli\u011fi daha da art\u0131r\u0131yor. Tarihsel veriler incelendi\u011finde, benzer jeopolitik gerilim d\u00f6nemlerinde Ham Petrol Volatilite Endeksi\u2019nin (OVX) yaln\u0131zca birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %30\u2019un \u00fczerinde s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ani gecelik fiyat bo\u015fluklar\u0131n\u0131n sermayeyi a\u015f\u0131nd\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in kald\u0131ra\u00e7 seviyesinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 ve s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) emirleri uygulanmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petrolde man\u015fet f\u0131rt\u0131nas\u0131: WTI 90,80 dolara \u00e7ekilip 91\u2019in alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. \u0130ran-H\u00fcrm\u00fcz resti ve ABD dizel k\u0131s\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 s\u00f6ylemi volatiliteyi art\u0131r\u0131yor; y\u00fcksek spek\u00fclasyon opsiyonlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50158,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68783","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t