USD\/CHF \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,5 y\u00fckselerek, 16 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fclen ve pariteyi 0,8200\u2019nin alt\u0131na iten 0,8263\u2019l\u00fck y\u0131ll\u0131k zirveden gelen d\u00fczeltmenin ard\u0131ndan yeniden yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seyrine d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Daha sonra kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 telafi etti ve yaz\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda 0,8244 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu. Hareket, piyasalar\u0131n Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131 ve ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 desteklemesiyle geldi.<\/p>\n\n
Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi\u2019nin (RSI) g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanmas\u0131 ve fiyat yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n h\u00e2l\u00e2 daha y\u00fcksek zirveler ve daha y\u00fcksek diplerle tan\u0131mlanmas\u0131yla yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenen bir y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumuna i\u015faret ediyor. Y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen zirvenin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 0,8300\u2019\u00fc g\u00fcndeme getirir; bu seviyenin de ge\u00e7ilmesi halinde parite 29 May\u0131s 2025 zirvesi olan 0,8347\u2019yi hedefleyebilir; ard\u0131ndan 0,8400\u2019e ve daha sonra 12 May\u0131s 2025\u2019ten 0,8476\u2019ya do\u011fru bir hareket m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde ise 0,8200\u2019e geri \u00e7ekilme, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fcn dibi olan 0,8183\u2019\u00fc \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131karabilir; ilave destekler 0,8150 ve 0,8100 seviyelerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 veya bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019leri kullanarak USD\/CHF\u2019de kal\u0131c\u0131 bir yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m senaryosuna pozisyon almas\u0131 gerekti\u011fine inan\u0131yoruz. Paritenin 0,8244\u2019e son t\u0131rman\u0131\u015f\u0131, al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n 0,8200 seviyesini ba\u015far\u0131yla savunmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan kontrol\u00fcn g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde al\u0131c\u0131larda oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. RSI\u2019\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumu sinyali vermesiyle, Ekim ortas\u0131 vadeli 0,8300 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131n\u0131n hedeflenmesi olduk\u00e7a cazip g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n
Y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentimiz, \u00f6zellikle \u0130svi\u00e7re enflasyonunun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck %1,1 civar\u0131nda seyretmesi ve \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (SNB) kurdaki de\u011ferlenmeyle m\u00fccadele amac\u0131yla politika faizini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tutmas\u0131yla geni\u015fleyen faiz farklar\u0131yla destekleniyor. Tarihsel olarak, Fed ile SNB aras\u0131ndaki faiz fark\u0131 350 baz puan\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda USD\/CHF alt\u0131 hafta i\u00e7inde ortalama %4,2 y\u00fckseldi. Bu temel ayr\u0131\u015fma, yak\u0131n vadede dolar\u0131n franka kar\u015f\u0131 daha iyi performans g\u00f6stermesini beklememiz i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir gerek\u00e7e sunuyor.<\/p>\n\n
Risk y\u00f6netimi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, spot pozisyonlarda s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes seviyeleri kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 veya 0,8180 destek seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131nda koruyucu sat\u0131m opsiyonu al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, y\u00fckseli\u015f yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131labilir ve pariteyi 0,8150 ve 0,8100\u2019daki kritik psikolojik desteklere \u00e7ekebilir. Ancak momentum bizi 0,8263\u2019l\u00fck y\u0131ll\u0131k zirvenin \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131rsa, 0,8347 ve 0,8400 hedeflerine do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir ko\u015fuya haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olunmal\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Fed fiyatlamas\u0131 dolar\u0131 desteklerken USD\/CHF %0,5 toparland\u0131: 0,8200 savunuldu, RSI g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. 0,8263 \u00fczeri 0,8300-0,8347-0,8400 hedef. T\u00fcrevde bo\u011fa spread; 0,8180 alt\u0131na koruma.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49961,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68775","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t