NZD\/USD \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc %1 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,5670 seviyesine geriledi. Daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD aktivite verilerinin ard\u0131ndan ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi, Federal Rezerv\u2019in ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma yapaca\u011f\u0131 beklentilerini destekledi. S&P Global\u2019in \u00f6nc\u00fc ABD Bile\u015fik PMI verisi eyl\u00fclde 58,4\u2019e y\u00fckselerek a\u011fustostaki 56,0 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; \u0130malat PMI 57,0\u2019ye t\u0131rmanarak 53,5\u2019lik beklentiyi a\u015farken, Hizmetler PMI 56,0 tahminine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 58,7 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. D\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131nda ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), iki ay\u0131n zirvesini test ettikten sonra %0,54 art\u0131\u015fla 101,10 civar\u0131na y\u00fckseldi ve parite \u00fczerindeki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n
Fed politikas\u0131 beklentileri, ge\u00e7en haftaki 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan da de\u011fi\u015fim g\u00f6sterdi; bu art\u0131\u015f hedef aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 %3,75\u2013%4 seviyesine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. CME FedWatch fiyatlamas\u0131 ekimde bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %68\u2019e y\u00fckseltirken (bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nce yakla\u015f\u0131k %55), ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi %5,06 civar\u0131nda seyretti. Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan NZD\/USD 0,5671 seviyesindeydi; 100 periyotluk SMA (0,5720) ve 200 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n (0,5743) alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken RSI (14) 29,15 seviyesinde bulunuyordu. Diren\u00e7 0,5695 ve ard\u0131ndan 0,5735\u2019te izlenirken; destek 0,5670, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 0,5626 seviyesi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n
NZD\/USD\u2019de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu de\u011ferlendirecek \u015fekilde pozisyonlanmal\u0131; paritenin 0,5626 destek seviyesine do\u011fru daha fazla geri \u00e7ekilme alan\u0131 bulunuyor. ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin 101,10\u2019a sert y\u00fckseli\u015fi ve 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirilerinin %5,06\u2019ya t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 0,5695 direnci yak\u0131n\u0131nda k\u0131sa vadeli sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 veya sat\u0131\u015f-limit emirleri cazip bir risk-getiri oran\u0131 sunuyor. Tarihsel olarak ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k getirisi %5 e\u015fi\u011finin \u00fczerinde seyretti\u011finde, Yeni Zelanda Dolar\u0131 gibi risk hassasiyeti y\u00fcksek para birimleri, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n daha g\u00fcvenli ve daha y\u00fcksek getirili ABD varl\u0131klar\u0131na y\u00f6nelmesiyle kal\u0131c\u0131 sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
Bununla birlikte temkinli kalmak gerekiyor; saatlik RSI\u2019\u0131n 29,15\u2019e d\u00fc\u015fmesi, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m ko\u015fullar\u0131na i\u015faret ederek ge\u00e7ici bir tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fini tetikleyebilir. T\u00fcrev i\u015flemleri yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, mevcut banttaki mutlak dip seviyelerde sat\u0131\u015f yapmak yerine, 100 periyotluk basit hareketli ortalama olan 0,5720\u2019ye do\u011fru k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli d\u00fczeltme y\u00fckseli\u015flerini yeni k\u0131sa pozisyonlar i\u00e7in izlemeli. 200 periyotluk hareketli ortalaman\u0131n hemen \u00fczerinde, 0,5743 civar\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes seviyeleri yerle\u015ftirmek, beklenmedik yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc volatiliteye kar\u015f\u0131 portf\u00f6yleri korumaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n
CME FedWatch arac\u0131n\u0131n ekim ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %68 olarak g\u00f6stermesiyle, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bask\u0131n getiri avantaj\u0131n\u0131 korumas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. T\u00fcrev stratejileri, Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma patikas\u0131nda daha \u015fahin bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak amac\u0131yla faiz vadeli i\u015flemlerini de i\u00e7ermeli. ABD bile\u015fik PMI\u2019\u0131n 58,4\u2019e y\u00fckselmesiyle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomik aktivite, Dolar\u2019daki olas\u0131 zay\u0131flamalar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ve k\u0131sa \u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc kalaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u015eim\u015fek gibi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f: NZD\/USD %1 kay\u0131pla 0,5670\u2019e indi. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD PMI\u2019lar\u0131 Dolar\u0131 ve ek Fed art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisini (Ekim %68) g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. RSI 29 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m; 0,5695 diren\u00e7, 0,5626 hedef.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50064,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68771","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t