{"id":68724,"date":"2026-09-23T06:51:30","date_gmt":"2026-09-23T06:51:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/fedin-sahin-durusu-ve-guclu-dolar-altini-baskilarken-altin-4-300-dolar-civarinda-dengelendi\/"},"modified":"2026-09-23T06:51:30","modified_gmt":"2026-09-23T06:51:30","slug":"fedin-sahin-durusu-ve-guclu-dolar-altini-baskilarken-altin-4-300-dolar-civarinda-dengelendi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/fedin-sahin-durusu-ve-guclu-dolar-altini-baskilarken-altin-4-300-dolar-civarinda-dengelendi\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015fu ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar alt\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131larken, alt\u0131n 4.300 dolar civar\u0131nda dengelendi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), 4.300 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131ndan gelen tepki y\u00fckseli\u015finin ard\u0131ndan \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc duraksad\u0131. S\u00fcregelen ABD Dolar\u0131 talebi, Dolar Endeksi\u2019ni (DXY) 30 Temmuz\u2019dan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ta\u015f\u0131rken, getirisi olmayan de\u011ferli metal \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu. Fed, eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcrenin ard\u0131ndan ilk kez faiz art\u0131rd\u0131 ve bu y\u0131l bir art\u0131r\u0131ma daha i\u015faret etti. CME Group\u2019un FedWatch Arac\u0131 ise aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %90 olarak fiyatlad\u0131. Jeopolitik riskler de Greenback\u2019i destekledi: Donald Trump, BM Genel Kurulu\u2019na \u0130ran konusunda \u201cb\u00fcy\u00fck bir karar\u201d ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi; \u0130ran havac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc hedefleyen yeni ABD yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girdi; Abbas Araghchi ile ABD \u00d6zel Temsilcisi Steve Witkoff aras\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler s\u0131ras\u0131nda Tahran, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131 yineledi.<\/p>\n

Ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn enflasyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 azaltmas\u0131yla \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131k zirvelerin alt\u0131nda tutunan daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ABD tahvil getirileri, alt\u0131n\u0131 haftal\u0131k bant i\u00e7inde b\u0131rakt\u0131. Piyasada fla\u015f k\u00fcresel PMI verileri ve FOMC \u00fcyelerinin konu\u015fmalar\u0131 ile yeni haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izleniyor. Teknik tarafta XAU\/USD, 4.369 dolardaki 100 periyotluk EMA alt\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kal\u0131rken, 3.934,91\u20134.694,41 hareketinin %50,0 geri \u00e7ekilme seviyesinin \u00fczerinde tutundu; RSI 47,86; MACD -9,80 seviyesinde. Destek 4.314 dolar civar\u0131nda, ard\u0131ndan 4.225 dolar (%61,8) ve 4.097 dolar (%78,6) ile 3.934 dolar b\u00f6lgesi izleniyor. Diren\u00e7 ise 4.404 dolar (%38,2), ard\u0131ndan 4.515 ve 4.694 dolar civar\u0131nda.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015flem Stratejisi ve Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n

Alt\u0131n\u0131n 4.300 dolar seviyesi yak\u0131n\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalmas\u0131 nedeniyle, t\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131nda i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda temkinli ve savunmac\u0131 bir duru\u015f benimsemesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Metalin 2024 sonundaki yakla\u015f\u0131k 2.600 dolarl\u0131k ortalamadan sergiledi\u011fi \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanmas\u0131yla \u00f6nemli bir s\u0131navdan ge\u00e7iyor. Piyasalar Fed\u2019in ani \u015fahin d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc sindirirken oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n artmas\u0131 beklenmeli.<\/p>\n

CME FedWatch\u2019un aral\u0131kta bir faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na %90 gibi y\u00fcksek bir olas\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6stermesiyle ABD Dolar\u0131 Endeksi (DXY), yak\u0131n d\u00f6nem 104,50 direncinin \u00fczerine t\u0131rmand\u0131. Tarihsel olarak y\u00fckselen faiz ortam\u0131, k\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131n gibi getirisi olmayan varl\u0131klar\u0131n cazibesini ciddi bi\u00e7imde azalt\u0131r; alt\u0131ndaki duraksaman\u0131n temel nedeni de bu. Dolar kaynakl\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131dan faydalanmak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 veya k\u0131sa vadeli vadeli kontrat (short futures) pozisyonlar\u0131na odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran\u2019la ilgili jeopolitik gerilimler ve Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump ile \u00c7in Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015ei Cinping aras\u0131nda beklenen g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme, y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131 bir i\u015flem zemini yarat\u0131yor. Tarihsel olarak, \u00f6nceki Trump d\u00f6nemindeki y\u00fcksek \u00f6nem atfedilen ticaret zirveleri, duyurular\u0131 izleyen 48 saat i\u00e7inde alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131nda ortalama %2\u2013%3 dalgalanmalar \u00fcretmi\u015fti. Tek bir y\u00f6ne net \u015fekilde pozisyon almadan yakla\u015fan sert hareketlerden yararlanmak i\u00e7in straddle veya strangle opsiyon stratejileri kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n

Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan alt\u0131n, 4.369 dolardaki 100 periyotluk \u00fcstel hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (EMA) alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli e\u011filim a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc olmaya devam ediyor. Sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n fiyat\u0131 4.314 dolardaki %50 Fibonacci geri \u00e7ekilme seviyesinin alt\u0131na itmesi halinde bir sonraki ana deste\u011fe, 4.225 dolara do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilme bekliyoruz. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n yeniden art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ancak 4.404 dolardaki diren\u00e7 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde belirgin bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131nda frene bas\u0131ld\u0131: Fed\u2019in \u015fahin faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve 104,50 \u00fczeri DXY, XAU\/USD\u2019yi bask\u0131lad\u0131. 4.314 kritik destek; alt\u0131nda 4.225\u20134.097 izleniyor. 4.404 \u00fcst\u00fc kapan\u0131\u015fla toparlanma.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50089,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68724","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t