USD\/CAD, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,27 y\u00fckselerek yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,4070 seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Y\u00fckseli\u015fte, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rakmas\u0131yla Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki zay\u0131fl\u0131k etkili oldu. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) %0,46 gerileyerek yakla\u015f\u0131k 91,20 dolara indi; bu durum, Kanada\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir petrol \u00fcreticisi ve ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 olmas\u0131 nedeniyle Loonie \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131 ve s\u00f6z konusu ili\u015fki paritede yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimi korudu. Ayr\u0131 bir unsur olarak, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme ihtimalinin yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle jeopolitik gerilimin azalmas\u0131 da etkili oldu.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik cephede Donald Trump, BM Genel Kurulu\u2019na yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada \u00fclkelerin \u0130ran \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi ve Tahran\u2019\u0131n asla n\u00fckleer silaha sahip olamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti; ayr\u0131ca ABD se\u00e7imlerinin ard\u0131ndan ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131 bekledi\u011fini belirtti. Politika taraf\u0131nda Kanada Ulusal Bankas\u0131, yurt i\u00e7i ko\u015fullar\u0131n temkinli olmay\u0131 gerektirdi\u011fini, ivmenin tehdit alt\u0131nda olmas\u0131 ve at\u0131l kapasitenin s\u00fcrmesi nedeniyle Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoC) ekim ay\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla beklemede kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD\u2019de ise Boston Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Susan Collins, ge\u00e7en haftaki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na destek verdi ve enflasyonu Fed\u2019in %2 hedefine d\u00f6nd\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in daha k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 bir duru\u015fu onaylad\u0131; ayr\u0131ca i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 ko\u015fullar\u0131 bir miktar daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcrken enflasyonda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ekledi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlar\u0131n, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda USD\/CAD paritesinde ilave yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyel i\u00e7in uzun call opsiyonlar\u0131 veya bull call spread\u2019leri kullanarak pozisyon almas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Fed\u2019in son faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve BoC\u2019nin beklemede kalmas\u0131yla ABD ile Kanada aras\u0131ndaki getiri fark\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 belirgin bi\u00e7imde destekliyor. Tarihsel olarak ABD-Kanada iki y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirisi fark\u0131 yaln\u0131zca 10 baz puan geni\u015fledi\u011finde, USD\/CAD paritesi genellikle sermayenin daha y\u00fcksek ABD getirilerine y\u00f6nelmesiyle yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,6 ila %0,8 y\u00fckseliyor.<\/p>\n
WTI\u2019\u0131n 91,20 dolara gerilemesiyle birlikte, zay\u0131flayan enerji deste\u011finin Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha da art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Ham petrol, Kanada\u2019n\u0131n toplam ihracat sepetinin yakla\u015f\u0131k %10\u2019unu olu\u015fturdu\u011fundan, enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u00fclkenin d\u0131\u015f ticaret hadlerine do\u011frudan zarar veriyor. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar bu zay\u0131fl\u0131ktan, zay\u0131flayan Loonie\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak amac\u0131yla CAD vadeli i\u015flemleri \u00fczerinde k\u0131sa vadeli put opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n alarak yararlanabilir.<\/p>\n
USD\/CAD kilit 1,4070 seviyesine yak\u0131n i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, vadesi ekim sonu olan ve kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 1,4150\u20131,4200 band\u0131nda bulunan call opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n hedeflenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu strateji, jeopolitik primin petrolde aniden geri d\u00f6nmesi halinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski s\u0131n\u0131rlarken k\u0131r\u0131lma momentumu yakalamaya olanak tan\u0131r. Bununla birlikte \u0130ran\u2019a ili\u015fkin olas\u0131 ani diplomatik de\u011fi\u015fimleri yak\u0131ndan izlemek gerekiyor; zira petrol\u00fcn 95 dolar seviyesine do\u011fru sert y\u00fckselmesi, CAD\u2019deki bu kay\u0131plar\u0131 h\u0131zla tersine \u00e7evirebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petroldeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ve ABD-Kanada getiri fark\u0131 USD\/CAD\u2019i 1,4070\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. BoC beklemede, Fed \u015fahin. Opsiyonda 1,4150\u20131,4200 call\/bull spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor; petrol 95$ riski izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50005,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68704","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t