{"id":68692,"date":"2026-09-22T12:51:37","date_gmt":"2026-09-22T12:51:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/guclu-dolar-ve-fedin-sahin-durus-beklentileri-altini-baskilarken-ons-altin-4-320-dolarin-altina-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-09-22T12:51:37","modified_gmt":"2026-09-22T12:51:37","slug":"guclu-dolar-ve-fedin-sahin-durus-beklentileri-altini-baskilarken-ons-altin-4-320-dolarin-altina-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/guclu-dolar-ve-fedin-sahin-durus-beklentileri-altini-baskilarken-ons-altin-4-320-dolarin-altina-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve Fed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015f beklentileri alt\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131larken ons alt\u0131n 4.320 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ikinci g\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste geriledi ve ge\u00e7en haftaki dipten gelen toparlanman\u0131n 4.400 dolar civar\u0131nda yeniden sat\u0131\u015fla kar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 4.320 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. Geri \u00e7ekilme, ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin (DXY) 100,00 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde tutunmas\u0131 ve piyasalar\u0131n ilave Federal Rezerv (Fed) faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentilerini daha da g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesiyle geldi. K\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131n, \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc politika toplant\u0131s\u0131nda \u015fahin tonda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen de\u011fi\u015fime ra\u011fmen ge\u00e7en hafta diren\u00e7li kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131; ancak dolar rallisinin s\u00fcrmesiyle birlikte o tarihten bu yana y\u00fckseli\u015fleri geni\u015fletmekte zorland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 4.400 dolardan gelen ret, geni\u015fleyen bir Omuz-Ba\u015f-Omuz formasyonunun boyun \u00e7izgisine dikkati canl\u0131 tutuyor. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (14) 50 orta \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken, Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama Iraksama (MACD) g\u00f6stergesi de negatif b\u00f6lgede seyrediyor; bu durum, y\u00fckseli\u015flerin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Destek, 7 A\u011fustos ve 16 Eyl\u00fcl diplerinin boyun \u00e7izgisiyle birle\u015fti\u011fi 4.230 dolar civar\u0131nda bulunuyor; bunun alt\u0131na bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, 4.000 dolar psikolojik seviyesini g\u00fcndeme getirebilir. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosunun ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131l\u0131nmas\u0131 i\u00e7in fiyat\u0131n \u00f6nce 4.399 dolar\u0131, ard\u0131ndan da 3 Eyl\u00fcl zirvesi olan 4.510 dolar\u0131 a\u015fmas\u0131 gerekiyor; bu da a\u011fustos ay\u0131ndaki 4.700 dolar civar\u0131ndaki zirveye do\u011fru bir alan a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015flem G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ve Strateji<\/h3>\n

4.400 dolar seviyesinden gelen reddin ard\u0131ndan 4.320 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda zorlanan alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD) i\u00e7in t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir de\u011fi\u015fime haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin 100,00\u2019in \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131yla birlikte, de\u011ferli metalde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum h\u0131zla zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. Bu bask\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda k\u0131sa pozisyonlara veya sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu al\u0131m\u0131na odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n

Tarihsel ve Teknik De\u011ferlendirmeler<\/h3>\n

Tarihsel olarak, Fed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015funu korudu\u011fu ve dolar endeksinin 100\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde seyretti\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerde alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 ciddi bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor. \u00d6rne\u011fin 2022\u2019deki agresif faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda, g\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar alt\u0131n\u0131 zirvesinden yakla\u015f\u0131k %20 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmi\u015fti. Bug\u00fcn de Fed politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ilave parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmay\u0131 desteklemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesiyle benzer bir r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131dan esmesini bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n

Teknik tarafta, 4.230 dolar destek b\u00f6lgesindeki Omuz-Ba\u015f-Omuz boyun \u00e7izgisini yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz. Bu seviyenin net bi\u00e7imde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f formasyonunu teyit ederek 4.000 dolar hedefli, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 spotun alt\u0131nda kalan (out-of-the-money) sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 daha cazip hale getirebilir. \u00d6te yandan, bo\u011falar\u0131n kontrol\u00fc yeniden ele ge\u00e7irmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ihtimaline kar\u015f\u0131 risk y\u00f6netimi amac\u0131yla 4.400 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde koruyucu al\u0131m-stoplar\u0131 (buy-stop) konumland\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 art\u0131yor: XAU\/USD 4.400\u2019dan reddedilip 4.320 alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. DXY 100 \u00fczeri ve \u015fahin Fed beklentisi zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. 4.230 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 4.000 g\u00fcndemde; 4.399-4.510 a\u015f\u0131lmal\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49999,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68692","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t