WTI, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa i\u015flemleri s\u0131ras\u0131nda kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fleterek, \u00f6nceki kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 geri verdikten sonra varil ba\u015f\u0131na 90,20 dolar civar\u0131nda seyretti. Kyodo News\u2019in, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ABD\u2019nin ekonomik ve asker\u00ee bask\u0131y\u0131 azaltmaya y\u00f6nelik ilk ad\u0131mlar atmas\u0131 ko\u015fuluyla H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 yedi g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde yeniden a\u00e7may\u0131 teklif etti\u011fini bildirmesinin ard\u0131ndan fiyatlar zay\u0131flad\u0131. Teklifin, liderler New York\u2019ta Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler Genel Kurulu i\u00e7in toplan\u0131rken \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc taraf arabulucular \u00fczerinden Washington\u2019a iletildi\u011fi; \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililerin gerilimi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek ve daha geni\u015f kapsaml\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri yeniden ba\u015flatmak i\u00e7in arabulucu \u00fclkelerle temas aray\u0131\u015f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n\n
Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda ayr\u0131ca ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n BM\u2019deki konu\u015fmas\u0131 yer al\u0131yor. Trump\u2019\u0131n program\u0131nda \u0130ran Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Mesud Peze\u015fkiyan ile olas\u0131 bir kulis g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi ile \u00c7in Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015ei Cinping ve K\u00f6rfez liderleriyle ayr\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin bulunabilece\u011fi kaydedildi. Y\u00f6netim ayr\u0131ca Orta Do\u011fu genelinde yeniden in\u015fa i\u00e7in 5 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir fonu da g\u00fcndeme getirdi. Bu arada, hafta sonu H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019den ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen ge\u00e7i\u015flerin ard\u0131ndan arz endi\u015feleri hafifledi. Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n son alt\u0131 g\u00fcnde bo\u011faz \u00fczerinden g\u00fcnl\u00fck 2,9 milyon varil ham petrol sevk etti\u011fi, uydu g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fclerinin ise Suudi K\u00f6rfez terminallerinde toplam 14 milyon varil kapasiteye sahip s\u00fcpertankerleri g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131; tanker say\u0131s\u0131 en az Haziran\u2019dan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyeye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Brent k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na inerken, %3,40 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydetti.<\/p>\n\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) 90 dolar civar\u0131ndaki kritik destek seviyelerini test ederken k\u0131sa vadede a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131ya haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Tarihsel olarak, BM Genel Kurulu d\u00f6neminde petrol fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fcksek volatilite g\u00f6sterir ve diplomatik at\u0131l\u0131mlar \u00e7o\u011fu zaman sert sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 tetikler. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7maya y\u00f6nelik ko\u015fullu teklifi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, bu zay\u0131flayan momentumu de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in k\u0131sa pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 veya put opsiyonu al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Fiziki piyasa, Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n hayati \u00f6nemdeki bo\u011faz \u00fczerinden yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde g\u00fcnl\u00fck 2,9 milyon varillik sevkiyat\u0131yla da g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere, t\u0131kan\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi\u2019nin (EIA) H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n normalde g\u00fcnl\u00fck 20 milyon varilin \u00fczerinde hacim ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten tarihsel verileriyle de destekleniyor; bu nedenle bo\u011faz\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fck her i\u015faret, ham petrolde risk primleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan belirgin \u015fekilde negatif (ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131) kabul ediliyor. Ayr\u0131ca Suudi limanlar\u0131nda 14 milyon varillik kapasiteyle rekor d\u00fczeyde s\u00fcpertanker varl\u0131\u011f\u0131, diplomasi ilerler ilerlemez arz\u0131n h\u0131zla piyasaya akmaya haz\u0131r oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n
Jeopolitik m\u00fczakereler h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirebilece\u011finden, ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin t\u0131kanmas\u0131 h\u00e2linde g\u00f6r\u00fclebilecek ani yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc s\u0131\u00e7ramalara kar\u015f\u0131 da korunmak gerekiyor. Enerji opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen volatilite, b\u00fcy\u00fck liderler zirveleri \u00f6ncesinde genellikle y\u00fckselir; bu da basit prim sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 stratejilerini \u015fu a\u015famada riskli k\u0131l\u0131yor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda hem diplomaside ilerleme kaynakl\u0131 sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f hem de gerilimin yeniden t\u0131rmanmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 ani bir ters hareket riskini y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc dikey spread\u2019ler (bearish vertical spreads) veya uzun straddle stratejilerinin uygulanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petrolde r\u00fczg\u00e2r tersine mi d\u00f6n\u00fcyor? WTI 90,20 dolara gerilerken \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fc a\u00e7ma teklifi ve BM trafi\u011fi risk primini eritiyor; Suudi sevkiyatlar\u0131 art\u0131yor, k\u0131sa vadede a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 bask\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50062,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68690","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t