Yeni Zelanda dolar\u0131, Brent petrol\u00fcn 100 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131n\u0131n ve Yeni Zelanda gibi petrol ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 ekonomiler \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 hafifletmesinin de etkisiyle, risk i\u015ftah\u0131ndaki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 iyile\u015fmenin deste\u011fiyle per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda hafif y\u00fckseldi. NZD\/USD, seans\u0131n erken saatlerinde 0,5700 b\u00f6lgesinden tepki verdikten sonra 0,5740 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, 0,5800 seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerindeki \u00fcst diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesinin alt\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Hareket, Fed\u2019in ge\u00e7en hafta sergiledi\u011fi \u015fahin d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan gelen bir d\u00fczeltme niteli\u011finde tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor. S\u00f6z konusu \u015fahinle\u015fme, daha y\u00fcksek ABD faizlerine y\u00f6nelik beklentileri art\u0131rarak Yeni Zelanda Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBNZ) ile ABD aras\u0131ndaki faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n geni\u015fleyece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Grafiklerde parite, temmuz\u2013a\u011fustos y\u00fckseli\u015finin %78,6 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesinden yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc tepki verirken, RSI 36 civar\u0131nda ve MACD h\u00e2l\u00e2 s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n alt\u0131nda. Diren\u00e7 0,5810\u20130,5825 band\u0131nda, ard\u0131ndan 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n bulundu\u011fu 0,5853 seviyesinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken; destek 0,5705\u2019te, bunun alt\u0131nda ise Omuz-Ba\u015f-Omuz formasyonunun \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen hedefiyle uyumlu 0,5630 civar\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Yeni Zelanda dolar\u0131n\u0131n 0,5740\u2019a uzanan son toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131, kal\u0131c\u0131 bir trend d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden ziyade ge\u00e7ici bir d\u00fczeltme olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, NZD\/USD paritesinin 0,5810\u20130,5825 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir diren\u00e7le kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131 nedeniyle sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsatlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmesi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Teknik g\u00f6stergeler bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimini destekliyor: G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 36 civar\u0131nda tak\u0131l\u0131yor ve MACD negatif b\u00f6lgede derin kalmaya devam ediyor. <\/p>\n
A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131, \u00f6zellikle Yeni Zelanda\u2019da i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %5,0\u2019a yakla\u015fmas\u0131 ve ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin dura\u011fan seyretmesiyle belirginle\u015fen temel ayr\u0131\u015fmayla da peki\u015fiyor. Fed, yap\u0131\u015fkan enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in ABD faizlerini y\u00fcksek tutarken, RBNZ \u00fczerinde politika gev\u015fetme bask\u0131s\u0131 art\u0131yor ve bu da getiri fark\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcyor. Ayr\u0131ca k\u00fcresel Brent petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar\u0131n belirgin \u015fekilde alt\u0131nda dengelenmesi, petrol ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 Yeni Zelanda i\u00e7in k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli bir rahatlama yaratsa da bu makroekonomik kar\u015f\u0131 r\u00fczg\u00e2rlar\u0131 telafi etmesi olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n 0,5705 ana destek seviyesini ve potansiyel olarak 0,5630\u2019u hedefleyen ay\u0131 put spread stratejilerine ya da do\u011frudan put opsiyonu al\u0131mlar\u0131na \u00f6ncelik vermesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Gelir odakl\u0131 stratejilerde ise 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (SMA) bulundu\u011fu 0,5853 civar\u0131nda al\u0131m (call) opsiyonu sat\u0131\u015f\u0131, cazip bir risk-getiri oran\u0131 sunuyor. Ani d\u00fczeltme s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in 0,5830 seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerinde s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) seviyeleri belirlenmesini tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petrol 100 dolar alt\u0131 ve s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 risk i\u015ftah\u0131 NZD\u2019yi destekledi; NZD\/USD 0,5740\u2019ta. Fed \u015fahinli\u011fi bask\u0131n: 0,5810-0,5825 diren\u00e7, 0,5705 destek; hedef 0,5630. Strateji: put spread.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50043,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68685","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t