Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), Asya seans\u0131ndaki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan 4.350 dolar\u0131n yeniden alt\u0131na geriledi; Fed\u2019in \u015fahin e\u011filimi, getiri sa\u011flamayan metal \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Fed\u2019in Ekonomik Projeksiyonlar \u00d6zeti (SEP), bu y\u0131l en az bir ek faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na i\u015faret ederken, yetkililer emtia fiyat \u015fokuna ba\u011fl\u0131 enflasyon riskleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131 savunmay\u0131 yineledi. Petrol\u00fcn son geri \u00e7ekilmesi yak\u0131n vadeli enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 hafifletti ve Hazine tahvili getirilerini \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131 zirvelerden a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti; bu da Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fclen temmuz sonu zirvesinin alt\u0131nda kalan ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayarak, k\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131na bir miktar destek verdi.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik man\u015fetler ise kar\u015f\u0131t y\u00f6nde etkili olmaya devam ediyor. \u0130ran Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 Ordusu, ABD\u2019nin t\u0131rmand\u0131rmas\u0131 halinde sava\u015f\u0131n co\u011frafyas\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunurken, Washington 23 Eyl\u00fcl itibar\u0131yla \u0130ranl\u0131 havayollar\u0131n\u0131n uluslararas\u0131 havac\u0131l\u0131ktan d\u0131\u015flanabilece\u011fini bildirdi; ayr\u0131ca \u0130ran destekli Husiler ile Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131 i\u00e7eren \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar da bir risk primi yaratarak petrol\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131 ve dolar\u0131 destekledi. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki geli\u015fmeleri, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc Trump\u2013Xi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesini ve FOMC \u00fcyelerinin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131 izliyor. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde fiyat 4.377 dolardaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda bulunuyor; diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 4.410, 4.521 ve 4.699 dolar; destek ise 4.321 ve ard\u0131ndan 4.232, 4.105 ve 3.943 dolarda. RSI (14) 48,81 seviyesinde; MACD s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrse de daral\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n 4.350 dolar\u0131n hemen alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda temkinli, hafif negatif bir duru\u015f benimsemesini \u00f6neriyoruz. De\u011ferli metal halihaz\u0131rda 4.377 dolardaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama (EMA) alt\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir diren\u00e7le kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131yor. 4.321 dolardaki destek seviyesi yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli; zira bu %50 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde 4.232 dolar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n
Fed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015fu, \u00f6zellikle politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyonun bu y\u0131l bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 daha zorunlu k\u0131labilece\u011fine i\u015faret etmesiyle, alt\u0131n i\u00e7in ba\u015fl\u0131ca olumsuz fakt\u00f6r olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu beklenti, g\u00f6sterge ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirisini %4,3 civar\u0131nda tutarak getiri sa\u011flamayan k\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131n ta\u015f\u0131man\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyetini art\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu nedenle, ABD verileri g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kal\u0131p tahvil getirileri y\u00fcksek seyretti\u011fi s\u00fcrece alt\u0131n taraf\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir ralli i\u00e7in alan\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da t\u0131rmanan jeopolitik gerilim, Brent petrol\u00fc varil ba\u015f\u0131na 83 dolar civar\u0131nda dengelenirken enerji piyasalar\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban olu\u015fmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oluyor. S\u00fcregelen \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tutuyor ve alt\u0131n\u0131n tamamen \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesini engelliyor. Bu dar bantta hareketi de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131ndan faydalan\u0131rken riski y\u00f6netmeye imk\u00e2n veren ay\u0131 (bear) call spread gibi n\u00f6trden negatife opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc kritik ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2013\u00c7in Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015ei Cinping g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi etraf\u0131nda artabilecek oynakl\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmak gerekiyor. Yeni ticaret gerilimleri g\u00fcvenli limana ani bir y\u00f6nelimi tetikleyerek alt\u0131n\u0131 4.410 dolardaki kritik diren\u00e7 seviyesinin \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. 4.377 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde net bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f g\u00f6rmeden agresif uzun pozisyonlar a\u00e7maktan ka\u00e7\u0131nmak gerekti\u011fi kanaatindeyiz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Alt\u0131nda y\u00f6n arayan piyasada kritik e\u015fik: XAU\/USD 4.350\u2019nin alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. Fed\u2019in \u015fahin SEP\u2019i bask\u0131 kurarken, gerilim destek sa\u011fl\u0131yor. 100G EMA 4.377; destek 4.321\/4.232, diren\u00e7 4.410.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49965,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68678","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t